SSI
Chứng khoán SSI ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▲▲ TRADING-LED STRONG
Securities House Picture
On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 5,629.3bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 40.4%, showing a relatively clean and sufficiently thick earnings base, while margin has narrowed by 1.5pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 47.7% but narrowing by 1.8pp, while lending has widened to 29.7%; brokerage and services are still 22.6% but have narrowed by 1.0pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 42.6% while Leverage is about 1.35x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, with buffers thickening and leverage easing further.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBT | 1,593.4 | 1,003.2 | 1,834.9 | 1,197.8 | 1,047.1 | 554.8 | 986.6 | 1,059.5 | 942.7 |
| Trading Share | 41.9% | 46.8% | 50.7% | 50.3% | 50.2% | 49.7% | 50.8% | 47.2% | 48.8% |
| Lending Share | 34.4% | 31.9% | 24.7% | 29.0% | 30.3% | 26.5% | 28.0% | 23.2% | 24.0% |
| Service & Brokerage Share | 23.6% | 21.3% | 24.7% | 20.7% | 19.5% | 23.8% | 21.2% | 29.7% | 27.3% |
| PBT Margin | 50.14% | 27.85% | 43.93% | 40.02% | 48.49% | 24.98% | 48.65% | 45.92% | 47.78% |
| Equity / Assets | 42.6% | 34.1% | 31.0% | 31.1% | 33.0% | 36.5% | 36.4% | 34.9% | 36.7% |
| Leverage | 1.35x | 1.93x | 2.22x | 2.22x | 2.03x | 1.74x | 1.74x | 1.86x | 1.73x |
Drivers of SSI's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
Is revenue sustainable?
Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine
Where are current earnings coming from?
Revenue remains tilted toward trading, but the quality of that engine still needs to be read alongside concentration and the real contribution from brokerage and services.
Trading currently accounts for about 47.7%, lending is at 29.7%, brokerage is around 19.7%, other services about 2.9%, brokerage plus services together are 22.6%.
Trading is still the main engine, but brokerage and services have become large enough to start providing a more tangible diversification layer.
Revaluation does not fully dominate trading income at this stage.
The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.
Key risks
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Profitability Quality & Volatility
How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?
Profitability currently looks relatively clean, with margins and returns strong enough not to rely heavily on unusual support.
Pre-tax margin is currently 40.4%, Return on assets is about 5.1%, provisions equal -0.7% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 12.5% of pre-tax profit.
Headline profit is still fairly readable because returns are not being materially distorted by less durable support.
Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.
Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.
Key risks
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Are assets at risk?
Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition
Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?
The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.
The margin book is about 39.7% of assets, the prop book about 45.6%, liquid assets around 8.2%, equity roughly 42.6%.
A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.
The prop book is the more prominent balance-sheet component.
Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.
Key risks
Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.
A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Is leverage safe?
Capital, Funding & Risk Posture
Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?
Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.
Equity currently equals 42.6% of assets, liabilities stand at 1.35x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 55.8% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.02x of short-term borrowings.
The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.
Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.
Liquidity buffer is not yet thick enough relative to short-term funding needs.
Key risks
Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
Overall, SSI is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.
Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.
Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
|
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
|
6,160.8 | 4,021.6 |
|
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
|
3,562.0 | 2,079.4 |
|
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
|
2,344.7 | 1,667.4 |
|
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
|
12,930.7 | 8,529.3 |
|
Operating expenses (21->33)
|
5,107.2 | 3,288.0 |
|
Gross profit
|
7,823.6 | 5,241.3 |
|
Total financial income (41->44)
|
181.7 | 179.3 |
|
Total financial expenses (51->54)
|
2,667.7 | 1,574.9 |
|
VI. General and Administrative expenses
|
260.6 | 301.7 |
|
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
|
5,077.0 | 3,543.9 |
|
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
|
5,083.0 | 3,543.5 |
|
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
|
976.1 | 698.4 |
|
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
|
4,106.9 | 2,845.1 |
|
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
|
4,106.1 | 2,835.0 |
|
11.3. Profit after tax attribute to non-controling interest
|
0.8 | 10.1 |
|
Total other comprehensive income
|
9.9 | 35.5 |
|
13.1. Earning per share
|
2,053.00 | 1,554.00 |
|
13.2. Diluted earning per share
|
1,939.00 | 1,465.00 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,706.30 | 1,373.58 |
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