TCX
Chứng khoán Kỹ Thương ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▲▲ MARGIN LENDING STRONG
Securities House Picture
On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 7,257.3bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 60.6%, showing a relatively clean and sufficiently thick earnings base, while margin has narrowed by 1.7pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix is now leaning more toward lending at 37.7% but narrowing by 0.4pp, while trading is at 32.7%; brokerage and services are still 29.6% but have narrowed by 0.3pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 51.3% while Leverage is about 0.95x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture, with buffers thickening and leverage easing further.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBT | 1,458.4 | 2,041.4 | 2,024.4 | 1,733.1 | 1,309.8 | 932.8 | 1,097.1 | 1,611.9 | 1,160.3 |
| Trading Share | 20.7% | 36.9% | 38.6% | 33.1% | 28.5% | 36.4% | 28.7% | 34.2% | 39.6% |
| Lending Share | 47.7% | 37.0% | 33.4% | 33.2% | 39.9% | 40.6% | 41.7% | 31.2% | 35.8% |
| Service & Brokerage Share | 31.6% | 26.2% | 28.0% | 33.6% | 31.6% | 23.0% | 29.6% | 34.6% | 24.5% |
| PBT Margin | 52.40% | 60.66% | 63.98% | 65.15% | 64.58% | 50.61% | 59.47% | 72.17% | 68.51% |
| Equity / Assets | 51.3% | 54.7% | 51.9% | 46.2% | 48.5% | 49.4% | 51.3% | 47.4% | 52.0% |
| Leverage | 0.95x | 0.83x | 0.93x | 1.17x | 1.06x | 1.02x | 0.95x | 1.11x | 0.92x |
Drivers of TCX's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
Is revenue sustainable?
Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine
Where are current earnings coming from?
Lending edges ahead only slightly in the earnings engine while trading remains close behind, so the durability of the case depends on both margin-book quality and the trading engine.
Margin income currently accounts for about 37.7%, trading is at 32.7%, brokerage and services together remain around 29.6% of the engine mix.
When lending is the main engine, headline quality depends more heavily on margin-book safety and funding cost.
Revaluation is currently only a small component and not a headline driver.
The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.
Key risks
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Profitability Quality & Volatility
How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?
Profitability currently looks relatively clean, with margins and returns strong enough not to rely heavily on unusual support.
Pre-tax margin is currently 60.6%, Return on assets is about 8.0%, provisions equal 0.0% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 0.1% of pre-tax profit.
Headline profit is still fairly readable because returns are not being materially distorted by less durable support.
Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.
Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.
Key risks
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Are assets at risk?
Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition
Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?
The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.
The margin book is about 50.5% of assets, the prop book about 0.1%, liquid assets around 8.2%, equity roughly 51.3%.
A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.
The margin book is larger than the prop book.
Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.
Key risks
Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Is leverage safe?
Capital, Funding & Risk Posture
Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?
Capital and funding posture looks more balanced for now, though the effective thickness of liquidity buffers still needs monitoring.
Equity currently equals 51.3% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.95x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 42.1% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.15x of short-term borrowings.
Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.
When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.
Liquidity buffer looks adequate for now, though it still needs monitoring as funding structure shifts.
Key risks
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
Overall, TCX is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, making it cleaner than a pure trading-led case.
Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.
When earnings lean heavily on margin lending, margin-book asset quality and funding need closer monitoring.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
|
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
|
3,669.5 | 2,449.7 |
|
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
|
3,727.5 | 2,621.9 |
|
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
|
957.6 | 600.9 |
|
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
|
11,217.4 | 7,615.3 |
|
Operating expenses (21->33)
|
1,213.6 | 695.5 |
|
Gross profit
|
10,003.9 | 6,919.8 |
|
Total financial income (41->44)
|
46.1 | 26.5 |
|
Total financial expenses (51->54)
|
2,281.9 | 1,577.1 |
|
VI. General and Administrative expenses
|
659.0 | 566.9 |
|
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
|
7,109.1 | 4,802.4 |
|
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
|
7,108.7 | 4,802.1 |
|
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
|
1,425.4 | 952.4 |
|
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
|
5,683.3 | 3,849.7 |
|
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
|
5,683.3 | 3,849.7 |
|
Total other comprehensive income
|
12.4 | 11.6 |
|
13.1. Earning per share
|
2,713.00 | 8,716.00 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,791.72 | 1,962.81 |
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