ORS
Chứng khoán Tiên Phong ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▼ BALANCED REVENUE MIX
Securities House Picture
On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 187.7bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 14.4%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, while margin has narrowed by 4.7pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 46.4% after expanding by +3.7pp, while lending is at 10.9%; brokerage and services are still 42.7% but have narrowed by 2.6pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 52.5% while Leverage is about 0.91x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture, with buffers thickening and leverage easing further.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBT | 42.3 | 113.7 | 133.9 | -102.1 | 2.1 | 96.6 | 165.6 | 125.9 | 93.3 |
| Trading Share | 51.5% | 52.5% | 49.0% | 27.3% | 53.1% | 34.7% | 41.0% | 39.6% | 60.5% |
| Lending Share | 15.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Service & Brokerage Share | 33.0% | 37.5% | 43.1% | 61.9% | 30.9% | 51.7% | 47.9% | 52.9% | 32.9% |
| PBT Margin | 15.62% | 29.11% | 37.63% | -35.08% | 0.46% | 19.42% | 30.59% | 22.53% | 19.46% |
| Equity / Assets | 52.5% | 53.3% | 33.6% | 34.5% | 31.3% | 35.0% | 33.8% | 37.8% | 35.0% |
| Leverage | 0.91x | 0.88x | 1.97x | 1.90x | 2.19x | 1.86x | 1.96x | 1.65x | 1.86x |
Drivers of ORS's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower other fees. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
Is revenue sustainable?
Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine
Where are current earnings coming from?
Revenue remains tilted toward trading, but the quality of that engine still needs to be read alongside concentration and the real contribution from brokerage and services.
Trading currently accounts for about 46.4%, lending is at 10.9%, brokerage is around 4.9%, other services about 37.8%, brokerage plus services together are 42.7%.
Trading is still the main engine, but brokerage and services have become large enough to start providing a more tangible diversification layer.
Revaluation does not fully dominate trading income at this stage.
The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.
Key risks
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Profitability Quality & Volatility
How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?
Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.
Pre-tax margin is currently 14.4%, Return on assets is about 1.2%, revaluation accounts for 33.2% of pre-tax profit.
Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.
Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.
Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.
Key risks
Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.
ROAA or ROAE remains in a weak range, leaving profitability on an insufficient base.
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Are assets at risk?
Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition
Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?
The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.
The margin book is about 11.5% of assets, the prop book about 15.3%, liquid assets around 32.8%, equity roughly 52.5%.
A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.
The prop book is the more prominent balance-sheet component.
Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.
Key risks
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Is leverage safe?
Capital, Funding & Risk Posture
Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?
Funding and liquidity look relatively comfortable, so risk posture is not currently the veto point for the case.
Equity currently equals 52.5% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.91x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 13.5% of assets, cash covers roughly 1.77x of short-term borrowings.
Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.
When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.
Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.
Key risks
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
Overall, ORS is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but funding or capital risk still calls for caution.
Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.
Profitability does not currently show a sufficiently durable base to be read as a clean case.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
|
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
|
671.1 | 889.4 |
|
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
|
163.9 | 196.2 |
|
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
|
60.5 | 61.3 |
|
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
|
1,484.2 | 2,077.1 |
|
Operating expenses (21->33)
|
716.2 | 970.9 |
|
Gross profit
|
768.0 | 1,106.2 |
|
Total financial income (41->44)
|
6.1 | 5.4 |
|
Total financial expenses (51->54)
|
554.1 | 517.8 |
|
VI. General and Administrative expenses
|
71.6 | 135.1 |
|
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
|
148.3 | 458.7 |
|
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
|
147.5 | 481.4 |
|
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
|
29.0 | 102.3 |
|
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
|
118.5 | 379.1 |
|
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
|
118.5 | 379.1 |
|
13.1. Earning per share
|
352.00 | 1,135.00 |
|
13.2. Diluted earning per share
|
352.00 | 1,135.00 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
170.13 | 1,126.33 |
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