TVS

Chứng khoán Thiên Việt ·HOSE ·2026Q1

● TRADING VOLATILE

Trading volatile Revaluation 69.7% of PBT
Price
12,800
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 1,444
BVPS (Latest) 13,134
P/E (Price/EPS) 8.9x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 1.0x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 9.2%
PBT Margin (TTM) 28.8%
Trading Share (Mix) 80.3%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 15.2%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 48.9%
Leverage (Latest) 1.0x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 314.0bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 28.8%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, with margin also improving by +1.4pp, pointing to better earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 80.3% after expanding by +0.2pp, while lending is at 4.5%; brokerage and services have reached 15.2% and improved by +0.9pp, making diversification more visible. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 48.9% while Leverage is about 1.04x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture, with buffers thickening and leverage easing further.

Trading
Doanh thu 924 tỷ
+9,1%
Lãi thuần 536 tỷ
−9,8%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 37,8 tỷ
+14,6%
Dư nợ 349 tỷ
−7,6%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 22,4 tỷ
+29,3%
Lãi thuần −3,53 tỷ
+61,3%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 13.0 13.6 224.2 63.2 52.1 131.9 58.1 22.5 131.2
Trading Share 82.4% 59.8% 88.6% 82.5% 68.5% 84.5% 76.2% 86.0% 90.8%
Lending Share 4.9% 6.3% 3.2% 5.0% 8.7% 3.3% 6.7% 5.9% 3.4%
Service & Brokerage Share 12.7% 33.9% 8.3% 12.6% 22.8% 12.2% 17.1% 8.0% 5.9%
PBT Margin 5.03% 5.94% 59.65% 28.04% 29.35% 45.83% 33.49% 6.93% 35.28%
Equity / Assets 48.9% 38.5% 34.1% 36.2% 34.0% 31.6% 32.4% 33.8% 14.7%
Leverage 1.04x 1.60x 1.93x 1.76x 1.94x 2.16x 2.09x 1.96x 5.82x

Drivers of TVS's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher other fees. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Other fees +VND 37.7bn
Total costs +VND 37.7bn
Brokerage +VND 5.6bn
Margin lending +VND 4.8bn
Trading −VND 57.9bn
Tax −VND 5.7bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Trading −VND 24.8bn
Total costs −VND 10.2bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.

Trading currently accounts for about 80.3%, lending is at 4.5%, brokerage is around 2.7%, other services about 12.5%, brokerage plus services together are 15.2%.

Trading is still the main engine, but brokerage and services have become large enough to start providing a more tangible diversification layer.

Revaluation does not fully dominate trading income at this stage.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Key signals

Securities business revenue 1,088.8bn +12.9% YoY
PBT margin 28.8% +1.4pp
Trading Share 80.3% +0.2pp
Other Fee Share 12.5% +1.2pp
Revaluation / Trading 32.8% +0.9pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.

Pre-tax margin is currently 28.8%, Return on assets is about 3.8%, provisions equal 4.3% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 69.7% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Revaluation volatility remains high

Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.

Key signals

PBT margin 28.8% +1.4pp
Net margin 22.6% −0.6pp
ROAA 3.8% +0.8pp
ROAE 9.2% +0.7pp
Revaluation / PBT 69.7% +13.2pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.

The margin book is about 5.8% of assets, the prop book about 18.8%, liquid assets around 62.5%, equity roughly 48.9%.

A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.

The prop book is the more prominent balance-sheet component.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 5.8% +0.3pp
Prop book / Assets 18.8% +1.6pp
Liquid assets / Assets 62.5% −4.6pp
Equity / Assets 48.9% +14.9pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.04x −0.89x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Capital and funding posture looks more balanced for now, though the effective thickness of liquidity buffers still needs monitoring.

Equity currently equals 48.9% of assets, liabilities stand at 1.04x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 43.7% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.19x of short-term borrowings.

Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.

When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Key signals

Equity / Assets 48.9% +14.9pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.04x −0.89x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 43.7% −20.4pp
Liquid assets / Assets 50.1% −12.6pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.19x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, TVS is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but funding or capital risk still calls for caution.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Revaluation is large enough to make headline earnings more volatile from period to period.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
590.0 573.8
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
38.6 30.0
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
21.2 22.5
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
1,007.5 1,149.5
Operating expenses (21->33)
405.3 339.9
Gross profit
602.2 809.6
Total financial income (41->44)
35.0 13.8
Total financial expenses (51->54)
220.3 410.9
VI. General and Administrative expenses
62.4 68.0
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
354.5 344.4
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
353.1 343.8
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
66.3 62.2
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
286.8 281.6
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
286.4 280.9
11.3. Profit after tax attribute to non-controling interest
0.4 0.8
Total other comprehensive income
-1.6
13.1. Earning per share
1,500.00 1,683.00
13.2. Diluted earning per share
1,500.00 1,683.00
Earnings per Share
1,420.59 1,671.21

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