TVB
Chứng khoán T-Cap ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▼▼ BALANCED OPERATIONS
Securities House Picture
On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 32.5bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of -47.1%, showing a profit base that is under clearer pressure, while margin has narrowed by 119.0pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 96.8% but narrowing by 1.6pp, while lending is at 0.3%; brokerage and services are still only 2.9%, so diversification remains thin. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 97.7% while Leverage is about 0.02x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBT | -19.8 | -22.8 | 37.6 | -27.5 | 32.7 | -19.7 | 46.8 | 38.8 | 48.5 |
| Trading Share | 97.1% | 135.8% | 99.0% | 85.5% | 99.5% | 106.8% | 99.2% | 98.0% | 98.6% |
| Lending Share | 0.1% | -4.3% | 0.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% | -1.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Service & Brokerage Share | 2.8% | -31.5% | 1.0% | 12.0% | 0.5% | -5.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| PBT Margin | -110.01% | 1507.35% | 78.53% | -586.39% | 82.17% | 285.05% | 81.33% | 83.14% | 55.91% |
| Equity / Assets | 97.7% | 97.3% | 98.7% | 98.9% | 97.6% | 97.6% | 89.3% | 96.6% | 96.4% |
| Leverage | 0.02x | 0.03x | 0.01x | 0.01x | 0.03x | 0.02x | 0.12x | 0.04x | 0.04x |
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
Is revenue sustainable?
Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine
Where are current earnings coming from?
Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.
Trading currently accounts for about 96.8%, lending is at 0.3%, brokerage is around 2.4%, other services about 0.5%, brokerage plus services together are 2.9%.
The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.
Revaluation is currently a drag rather than a standalone headline driver.
The revenue headline should be read together with leakage into provisioning and net margin, not just the surface mix.
Key risks
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Profitability Quality & Volatility
How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?
Profitability has broken more clearly, so this section should be read as a profit-hit case rather than a technical fluctuation.
Pre-tax margin is currently -47.1%, Return on assets is about -2.8%.
Headline profit still needs to be read together with what is creating it and how thick returns really are.
Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.
Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.
Key risks
ROAA or ROAE remains in a weak range, leaving profitability on an insufficient base.
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Are assets at risk?
Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition
Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?
The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.
The margin book is about 0.4% of assets, the prop book about 25.3%, liquid assets around 7.4%, equity roughly 97.7%.
A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.
The prop book is the more prominent balance-sheet component.
Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.
Key risks
A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Is leverage safe?
Capital, Funding & Risk Posture
Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?
Capital and funding posture looks more balanced for now, though the effective thickness of liquidity buffers still needs monitoring.
Equity currently equals 97.7% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.02x of equity.
Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.
When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.
Liquidity buffer looks adequate for now, though it still needs monitoring as funding structure shifts.
Key risks
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
Overall, TVB currently looks like a more mixed case, with both supporting factors and watchpoints but no single clean direction yet.
Capital buffer is not currently the main pressure point for this case.
Profitability does not currently show a sufficiently durable base to be read as a clean case.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
|
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
|
82.0 | 178.5 |
|
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
|
0.2 | 0.7 |
|
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
|
1.2 | 2.1 |
|
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
|
90.9 | 184.1 |
|
Operating expenses (21->33)
|
50.6 | 51.7 |
|
Gross profit
|
40.3 | 132.3 |
|
Total financial income (41->44)
|
1.2 | 2.4 |
|
VI. General and Administrative expenses
|
21.5 | 20.2 |
|
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
|
20.0 | 114.5 |
|
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
|
20.0 | 114.4 |
|
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
|
-0.9 | -11.8 |
|
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
|
20.9 | 126.1 |
|
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
|
20.9 | 126.1 |
|
Total other comprehensive income
|
-28.1 | -2.4 |
|
13.1. Earning per share
|
191.00 | 1,125.00 |
|
13.2. Diluted earning per share
|
— | 1,125.00 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
188.42 | 1,108.83 |
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