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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 2/2026

TVB

Chứng khoán T-Cap

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼ OPERATIONS WEAKENING

See what is changing ↓
EPS TTM
184
BVPS
9,892
P/E
33.5x
P/B
0.6x
ROAE TTM
1.9%
PBT Margin
28.3%
Market price
6,170
16 Oct 2026

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q2, pre-tax profit is currently about 21.4bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 28.3%, showing an earnings base that is still positive but not yet clearly standout, while margin has narrowed by 5.7pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 88.0% but narrowing by 10.2pp, while lending is at 0.2%; brokerage and services are still only 11.9%, so diversification remains thin. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 98.8% while Leverage is about 0.01x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
PBT26.5-19.8-22.837.6-27.532.7-19.746.8
Trading Share37.7%97.1%135.8%99.0%85.5%99.5%106.8%99.2%
Lending Share0.1%0.1%-4.3%0.0%2.5%0.0%-1.2%0.2%
Service & Brokerage Share62.2%2.8%-31.5%1.0%12.0%0.5%-5.5%0.6%
PBT Margin235.28%-110.01%1507.35%78.53%-586.39%82.17%285.05%81.33%
Equity / Assets98.8%97.7%97.3%98.7%98.9%97.6%97.6%89.3%
Leverage0.01x0.02x0.03x0.01x0.01x0.03x0.02x0.12x

Revenue

11bn

Net income

26bn

Net margin

235.28%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A broker's statements are read with the industry's own questions: revenue mix, balance sheet, funding.

01

Is revenue sustainable?

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

●

Where are current earnings coming from?

Revenue remains tilted toward trading, but the quality of that engine still needs to be read alongside concentration and the real contribution from brokerage and services.

Trading currently accounts for about 88.0%, lending is at 0.2%, brokerage is around 1.9%, other services about 10.0%, brokerage plus services together are 11.9%.

The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.

Revaluation is currently a drag rather than a standalone headline driver.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Securities business revenue
75.6bn
−20.5% YoY
PBT margin
28.3%
−5.7pp
Trading Share
88.0%
−10.2pp
Other Fee Share
10.0%

TTM YoY · 2026Q2

Profitability Quality & Volatility

▼

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Profitability still holds on a positive base, but the quality and durability of returns are not yet strong enough to read as a clearly robust case.

Pre-tax margin is currently 28.3%, Return on assets is about 1.9%, revaluation accounts for −32.2% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit still needs to be read together with what is creating it and how thick returns really are.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Revaluation volatility remains high

Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.

Return profile remains weak

ROAA or ROAE remains in a weak range, leaving profitability on an insufficient base.

PBT margin
28.3%
−5.7pp
Net margin
28.3%
−33.2pp
ROAA
1.9%
−3.2pp
ROAE
1.9%
−3.3pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q2

02

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

▼

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.

The margin book is about 1.2% of assets, the prop book about 48.9%, liquid assets around 3.8%, equity roughly 98.8%.

A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.

The prop book is the more prominent balance-sheet component.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Prop-book concentration risk

A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.

Margin book / Assets
1.2%
−2.3pp
Prop book / Assets
48.9%
+27.0pp
Liquid assets / Assets
3.8%
−67.3pp
Equity / Assets
98.8%

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q2

03

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

●

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Capital and funding posture looks more balanced for now, though the effective thickness of liquidity buffers still needs monitoring.

Equity currently equals 98.8% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.01x of equity.

Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.

When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.

Liquidity buffer looks adequate for now, though it still needs monitoring as funding structure shifts.

Equity / Assets
98.8%
Liabilities / Equity
0.01x
Liquid assets / Assets
3.8%
−67.3pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q2

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

Overall, TVB is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but funding or capital risk still calls for caution.

  • Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.
  • Profitability does not currently show a sufficiently durable base to be read as a clean case.

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether brokerage and service income can maintain a clear diversification role against dependence on trading and margin income.

  2. Track whether profitability can stabilize soon, as the current return profile is clearly under more pressure.

  3. Track whether the prop book makes the balance sheet more sensitive to valuation swings in coming periods.

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well balanced?

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or risks may be present?

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