FTS

Chứng khoán FPT ·HOSE ·2026Q1

● PROVISION HEAVY

Provision drag PBT margin 41.0%, -14.5% YoY
Price
23,700
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 1,165
BVPS (Latest) 13,072
P/E (Price/EPS) 20.3x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 1.8x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 9.2%
PBT Margin (TTM) 41.0%
Trading Share (Mix) 14.8%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 23.4%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 34.7%
Leverage (Latest) 1.9x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 522.0bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 41.0%, but earnings quality is still being dragged down by provisioning, while margin has narrowed by 14.5pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix is now leaning more toward lending at 61.8% after expanding by +7.2pp, while trading is down to 14.8% after narrowing by 6.6pp; brokerage and services are still 23.4% but have narrowed by 0.6pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 34.7% while Leverage is about 1.88x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.

Trading
Doanh thu 188 tỷ
−24,2%
Lãi thuần 185 tỷ
−25,0%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 786 tỷ
+24,1%
Dư nợ 6.243 tỷ
−18,0%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 215 tỷ
+1,0%
Lãi thuần 22,6 tỷ
−47,0%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 184.4 164.3 88.6 84.7 173.1 179.1 103.2 189.6 191.3
Trading Share 31.3% 22.9% -2.0% -3.9% 28.2% 30.5% 1.2% 19.7% 28.6%
Lending Share 54.6% 57.5% 68.1% 72.5% 55.7% 50.9% 68.1% 47.4% 43.3%
Service & Brokerage Share 14.2% 19.6% 33.9% 31.4% 16.1% 18.6% 30.7% 32.9% 28.2%
PBT Margin 48.74% 44.38% 31.15% 35.41% 55.47% 56.19% 45.96% 62.11% 63.92%
Equity / Assets 34.7% 31.8% 31.4% 37.6% 39.9% 42.2% 45.5% 42.6% 46.3%
Leverage 1.88x 2.15x 2.19x 1.66x 1.51x 1.37x 1.20x 1.35x 1.16x

Drivers of FTS's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher total costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 153bn
Other fees +VND 16.8bn
Total costs −VND 211bn
Trading −VND 61.9bn
Tax −VND 27.0bn
Brokerage −VND 20.0bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher margin lending. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Margin lending +VND 32.7bn
Trading +VND 30.0bn
Other fees +VND 4.2bn
Total costs −VND 49.6bn
Brokerage −VND 5.9bn
Tax −VND 4.4bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Current earnings lean more heavily on margin lending, so the quality of the revenue engine should be read together with margin-book dependence.

Margin income currently accounts for about 61.8%, trading is at 14.8%, brokerage and services together remain around 23.4% of the engine mix.

When lending is the main engine, headline quality depends more heavily on margin-book safety and funding cost.

Revaluation is currently a drag rather than a standalone headline driver.

The revenue headline should be read together with leakage into provisioning and net margin, not just the surface mix.

Key risks

Provision drag is eroding revenue

Provision load is large enough relative to revenue to weaken the quality of the earnings engine.

Key signals

Securities business revenue 1,272.1bn +9.6% YoY
PBT margin 41.0% −14.5pp
Lending Share 61.8% +7.2pp
Brokerage Share 16.9% −1.4pp
Other Fee Share 6.5% +0.8pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Profit remains positive, but quality is no longer clean because provisioning is materially eroding headline returns.

Pre-tax margin is currently 41.0%, Return on assets is about 3.4%, provisions equal 79.2% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for -22.5% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit needs a discount because provisioning is eating into core returns.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is a meaningful drag on profit.

Key risks

Provision drag remains meaningful

Provision load relative to PBT is high enough to weigh on profitability quality.

Key signals

PBT margin 41.0% −14.5pp
Net margin 31.7% −16.0pp
ROAA 3.4% −1.3pp
ROAE 9.2% −3.8pp
Provisions / PBT 79.2% +45.3pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.

The margin book is about 47.8% of assets, the prop book about 45.3%, liquid assets around 4.9%, equity roughly 34.7%.

A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Prop-book concentration risk

A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 47.8% −23.3pp
Prop book / Assets 45.3% +26.0pp
Liquid assets / Assets 4.9% −2.7pp
Equity / Assets 34.7% −5.2pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.88x +0.38x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 34.7% of assets, liabilities stand at 1.88x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 63.6% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.08x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer is not yet thick enough relative to short-term funding needs.

Key risks

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Key signals

Equity / Assets 34.7% −5.2pp
Liabilities / Equity 1.88x +0.38x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 63.6% +6.8pp
Liquid assets / Assets 4.9% −2.7pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.08x −0.06x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, FTS is still profitable, but headline quality is being pulled down more clearly by provisioning, so earnings should be read with caution.

Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Profit is still positive, but provisioning is large enough to make earnings durability less certain.

Provisioning is now large enough that headline profitability should be read with more caution.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
157.8 245.5
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
753.6 589.3
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
215.5 250.4
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
1,205.8 1,147.7
Operating expenses (21->33)
620.1 405.6
Gross profit
585.7 742.2
Total financial income (41->44)
9.3 8.8
VI. General and Administrative expenses
85.6 89.8
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
509.4 661.2
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
510.7 663.2
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
113.9 95.9
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
396.8 567.3
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
396.8 567.3
13.1. Earning per share
1,161.00 1,869.00
13.2. Diluted earning per share
1,161.00 1,869.00
Earnings per Share
1,145.01 1,854.42

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