BMS

Chứng khoán Bảo Minh ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▲▲ BALANCED OPERATIONS

Balanced operations NPAT +180.4% YoY
Price
14,400
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
EPS TTM (TTM) 1,510
BVPS (Latest) 11,022
P/E (Price/EPS) 9.5x
P/B (Price/BVPS) 1.3x
ROAE TTM (TTM) 9.9%
PBT Margin (TTM) 37.1%
Trading Share (Mix) 94.4%
Service & Brokerage Share (Mix) 3.8%
Equity / Assets (Latest) 90.3%
Leverage (Latest) 0.1x

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 189.9bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 37.1%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, with margin also improving by +13.8pp, pointing to better earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 94.4% after expanding by +7.3pp, while lending is at 1.7%; brokerage and services are still only 3.8% and have narrowed by 7.9pp, so diversification remains thin. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 90.3% while Leverage is about 0.11x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture, with buffers thickening and leverage easing further.

Trading
Doanh thu 483 tỷ
+96,6%
Lãi thuần 266 tỷ
+106,6%
Margin lending
Doanh thu 8,18 tỷ
+212,9%
Dư nợ 138 tỷ
+484,3%
Brokerage
Doanh thu 14,3 tỷ
−36,8%
Lãi thuần 6,39 tỷ
−59,3%
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24
PBT 44.9 22.6 44.6 77.8 -14.0 18.2 43.3 20.8 19.1
Trading Share 86.0% 94.5% 96.2% 94.6% 92.2% 85.6% 86.4% 51.4% 89.1%
Lending Share 5.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 0.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.4%
Service & Brokerage Share 8.1% 4.6% 2.9% 3.9% 7.0% 12.3% 12.7% 48.6% 10.5%
PBT Margin 64.42% 13.90% 32.50% 54.60% -16.18% 24.10% 53.32% 42.01% 22.11%
Equity / Assets 90.3% 85.9% 50.0% 45.4% 46.8% 49.0% 47.8% 51.0% 59.7%
Leverage 0.11x 0.16x 1.00x 1.20x 1.14x 1.04x 1.09x 0.96x 0.68x

Drivers of BMS's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Trading +VND 137bn
Tax −VND 23.4bn
Other fees −VND 14.9bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Trading +VND 49.0bn
Total costs +VND 8.4bn
Tax −VND 11.8bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is revenue sustainable?

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

Where are current earnings coming from?

Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.

Trading currently accounts for about 94.4%, lending is at 1.7%, brokerage is around 3.0%, other services about 0.9%, brokerage plus services together are 3.8%.

The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.

Trading income is materially dependent on revaluation.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Key risks

Revaluation volatility risk

A large part of trading income is coming from revaluation, so earnings may be more volatile than the headline suggests.

Key signals

Securities business revenue 511.9bn +75.1% YoY
PBT margin 37.1% +13.8pp
Trading Share 94.4% +7.3pp
Revaluation / Trading 46.2% −32.5pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.

Pre-tax margin is currently 37.1%, Return on assets is about 7.1%, revaluation accounts for 109.5% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Key risks

Revaluation volatility remains high

Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.

Key signals

PBT margin 37.1% +13.8pp
Net margin 29.9% +11.2pp
ROAA 7.1% +4.6pp
ROAE 9.9% +6.3pp
Revaluation / PBT 109.5% −131.9pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.

The margin book is about 5.6% of assets, the prop book about 59.2%, liquid assets around 42.3%, equity roughly 90.3%.

A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.

The prop book is the more prominent balance-sheet component.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Key risks

Prop-book concentration risk

A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.

Key signals

Margin book / Assets 5.6%
Prop book / Assets 59.2% +25.6pp
Liquid assets / Assets 42.3% −5.5pp
Equity / Assets 90.3% +43.4pp
Liabilities / Equity 0.11x −1.03x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Capital and funding posture looks more balanced for now, though the effective thickness of liquidity buffers still needs monitoring.

Equity currently equals 90.3% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.11x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 4.0% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.29x of short-term borrowings.

Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.

When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.

Liquidity buffer looks adequate for now, though it still needs monitoring as funding structure shifts.

Key risks

Key signals

Equity / Assets 90.3% +43.4pp
Liabilities / Equity 0.11x −1.03x
Short-term borrowings / Assets 4.0% −19.4pp
Liquid assets / Assets 7.0% −40.8pp
Cash / Short-term borrowings 0.29x −0.62x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Investment Takeaway

Overall, BMS currently looks like a more mixed case, with both supporting factors and watchpoints but no single clean direction yet.

Capital buffer is not currently the main pressure point for this case.

The current revenue mix does not yet offer a clear enough earnings anchor to read as a healthy case.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
470.6 215.0
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
5.4 2.3
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
15.5 25.7
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
528.6 292.3
Operating expenses (21->33)
306.3 119.0
Gross profit
222.3 173.3
Total financial income (41->44)
0.9 0.6
Total financial expenses (51->54)
61.4 45.9
VI. General and Administrative expenses
33.3 29.5
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
128.5 98.5
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
131.0 101.3
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
25.3 19.7
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
105.7 81.5
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
105.7 81.5
13.1. Earning per share
1,134.00 1,055.00
Earnings per Share
518.48 1,146.61

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