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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 2/2026

BMS

Chứng khoán Bảo Minh

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▲▲ BALANCED OPERATIONS

TTM NPAT rose +VND 65.0bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher trading and lower total costs. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher tax and lower brokerage.

See what is changing ↓
EPS TTM
1,069
BVPS
10,753
P/E
11.1x
P/B
1.1x
ROAE TTM
10.3%
PBT Margin
38.4%
Market price
11,900
16 Oct 2026

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q2, pre-tax profit is currently about 206.0bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 38.4%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, with margin also improving by +5.9pp, pointing to better earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 94.2% after expanding by +2.9pp, while lending is at 2.2%; brokerage and services are still only 3.6% and have narrowed by 3.8pp, so diversification remains thin. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 76.3% while Leverage is about 0.31x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture, with buffers thickening and leverage easing further.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Trading
  2. Total costs
  3. Other
  4. Tax
  5. Brokerage
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
PBT93.944.922.644.677.8-14.018.243.3
Trading Share92.4%86.0%94.5%96.2%94.6%92.2%85.6%86.4%
Lending Share3.0%5.9%1.0%0.9%1.5%0.9%2.1%0.9%
Service & Brokerage Share4.5%8.1%4.6%2.9%3.9%7.0%12.3%12.7%
PBT Margin56.19%64.42%13.90%32.50%54.60%-16.18%24.10%53.32%
Equity / Assets76.3%90.3%85.9%50.0%45.4%46.8%49.0%47.8%
Leverage0.31x0.11x0.16x1.00x1.20x1.14x1.04x1.09x

Revenue

167bn

Net income

75bn

Net margin

44.72%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A broker's statements are read with the industry's own questions: revenue mix, balance sheet, funding.

01

Is revenue sustainable?

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

▼▼

Where are current earnings coming from?

Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.

Trading currently accounts for about 94.2%, lending is at 2.2%, brokerage is around 2.8%, other services about 0.8%, brokerage plus services together are 3.6%.

The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.

Trading income is materially dependent on revaluation.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Revaluation volatility risk

A large part of trading income is coming from revaluation, so earnings may be more volatile than the headline suggests.

Securities business revenue
536.4bn
+39.1% YoY
PBT margin
38.4%
+5.9pp
Trading Share
94.2%
+2.9pp
Revaluation / Trading
51.8%
−10.4pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q2

Profitability Quality & Volatility

▲

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.

Pre-tax margin is currently 38.4%, Return on assets is about 6.6%, revaluation accounts for 117.3% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Revaluation volatility remains high

Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.

PBT margin
38.4%
+5.9pp
Net margin
30.8%
+4.8pp
ROAA
6.6%
+1.9pp
ROAE
10.3%
+3.7pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q2

02

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

▼

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.

The margin book is about 10.1% of assets, the prop book about 64.9%, liquid assets around 28.7%, equity roughly 76.3%.

A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.

The prop book is the more prominent balance-sheet component.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Prop-book concentration risk

A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.

Margin book / Assets
10.1%
+6.4pp
Prop book / Assets
64.9%
+27.5pp
Liquid assets / Assets
28.7%
−29.6pp
Equity / Assets
76.3%
+30.8pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q2

03

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

●

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Capital and funding posture looks more balanced for now, though the effective thickness of liquidity buffers still needs monitoring.

Equity currently equals 76.3% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.31x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 14.8% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.26x of short-term borrowings.

Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.

When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.

Liquidity buffer looks adequate for now, though it still needs monitoring as funding structure shifts.

Equity / Assets
76.3%
+30.8pp
Liabilities / Equity
0.31x
−0.89x
Short-term borrowings / Assets
14.8%
−15.1pp
Liquid assets / Assets
8.7%
−25.5pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q2

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

Overall, BMS currently looks like a more mixed case, with both supporting factors and watchpoints but no single clean direction yet.

  • Capital buffer is not currently the main pressure point for this case.
  • The current revenue mix does not yet offer a clear enough earnings anchor to read as a healthy case.

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether trading income can still hold up once revaluation normalizes toward a more ordinary level.

  2. Track whether current profitability can hold once the more volatile supports move back toward normal levels.

  3. Track whether the prop book makes the balance sheet more sensitive to valuation swings in coming periods.

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