BMS
Chứng khoán Bảo Minh ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▲▲ BALANCED OPERATIONS
Securities House Picture
On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 189.9bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 37.1%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, with margin also improving by +13.8pp, pointing to better earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 94.4% after expanding by +7.3pp, while lending is at 1.7%; brokerage and services are still only 3.8% and have narrowed by 7.9pp, so diversification remains thin. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 90.3% while Leverage is about 0.11x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture, with buffers thickening and leverage easing further.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBT | 44.9 | 22.6 | 44.6 | 77.8 | -14.0 | 18.2 | 43.3 | 20.8 | 19.1 |
| Trading Share | 86.0% | 94.5% | 96.2% | 94.6% | 92.2% | 85.6% | 86.4% | 51.4% | 89.1% |
| Lending Share | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.4% |
| Service & Brokerage Share | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 48.6% | 10.5% |
| PBT Margin | 64.42% | 13.90% | 32.50% | 54.60% | -16.18% | 24.10% | 53.32% | 42.01% | 22.11% |
| Equity / Assets | 90.3% | 85.9% | 50.0% | 45.4% | 46.8% | 49.0% | 47.8% | 51.0% | 59.7% |
| Leverage | 0.11x | 0.16x | 1.00x | 1.20x | 1.14x | 1.04x | 1.09x | 0.96x | 0.68x |
Drivers of BMS's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher trading. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
Is revenue sustainable?
Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine
Where are current earnings coming from?
Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.
Trading currently accounts for about 94.4%, lending is at 1.7%, brokerage is around 3.0%, other services about 0.9%, brokerage plus services together are 3.8%.
The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.
Trading income is materially dependent on revaluation.
The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.
Key risks
A large part of trading income is coming from revaluation, so earnings may be more volatile than the headline suggests.
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Profitability Quality & Volatility
How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?
Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.
Pre-tax margin is currently 37.1%, Return on assets is about 7.1%, revaluation accounts for 109.5% of pre-tax profit.
Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.
Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.
Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.
Key risks
Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.
Key signals
TTM YoY · 2026Q1
Are assets at risk?
Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition
Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?
The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.
The margin book is about 5.6% of assets, the prop book about 59.2%, liquid assets around 42.3%, equity roughly 90.3%.
A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.
The prop book is the more prominent balance-sheet component.
Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.
Key risks
A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Is leverage safe?
Capital, Funding & Risk Posture
Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?
Capital and funding posture looks more balanced for now, though the effective thickness of liquidity buffers still needs monitoring.
Equity currently equals 90.3% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.11x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 4.0% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.29x of short-term borrowings.
Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.
When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.
Liquidity buffer looks adequate for now, though it still needs monitoring as funding structure shifts.
Key risks
Key signals
Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
Overall, BMS currently looks like a more mixed case, with both supporting factors and watchpoints but no single clean direction yet.
Capital buffer is not currently the main pressure point for this case.
The current revenue mix does not yet offer a clear enough earnings anchor to read as a healthy case.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
|
1.1. Gains from financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL)
|
470.6 | 215.0 |
|
1.3. Interest income from loans and receivables
|
5.4 | 2.3 |
|
1.6. Revenue from brokerage services
|
15.5 | 25.7 |
|
Revenue from securities business (01->11)
|
528.6 | 292.3 |
|
Operating expenses (21->33)
|
306.3 | 119.0 |
|
Gross profit
|
222.3 | 173.3 |
|
Total financial income (41->44)
|
0.9 | 0.6 |
|
Total financial expenses (51->54)
|
61.4 | 45.9 |
|
VI. General and Administrative expenses
|
33.3 | 29.5 |
|
VII. Net profit from securities business (20+50-40-60-61-62)
|
128.5 | 98.5 |
|
IX. Profit before tax (70+80)
|
131.0 | 101.3 |
|
CORPORATE INCOME TAX
|
25.3 | 19.7 |
|
XI. Net profit after tax (90-100)
|
105.7 | 81.5 |
|
11.1. Profit after tax for shareholders of the parents company
|
105.7 | 81.5 |
|
13.1. Earning per share
|
1,134.00 | 1,055.00 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
518.48 | 1,146.61 |
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