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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 2/2026

VCK

Chứng khoán VPS

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▲▲ BALANCED REVENUE MIX

TTM NPAT rose +VND 1,550bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher margin lending, higher trading, and higher brokerage. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher total costs and higher tax.

See what is changing ↓
EPS TTM
3,231
BVPS
11,675
P/E
8.5x
P/B
2.4x
ROAE TTM
20.4%
PBT Margin
56.3%
Market price
27,600
16 Oct 2026

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q2, pre-tax profit is currently about 5,599.4bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 56.3%, showing a relatively clean and sufficiently thick earnings base, while margin has narrowed by 1.2pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix is now leaning more toward lending at 37.1% after expanding by +3.7pp, while trading is down to 17.2% after narrowing by 1.2pp; brokerage and services are still 45.7% but have narrowed by 2.6pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 65.2% while Leverage is about 0.53x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture, with buffers thickening and leverage easing further.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Margin lending
  2. Trading
  3. Brokerage
  4. Other
  5. Total costs
  6. Tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
PBT1,378.41,546.91,279.41,394.6878.0918.51,052.1820.0
Trading Share21.9%16.5%18.1%12.2%16.4%16.6%19.9%19.7%
Lending Share47.0%39.7%33.8%27.3%33.6%37.3%32.7%29.0%
Service & Brokerage Share31.1%43.8%48.1%60.5%50.0%46.1%47.4%51.3%
PBT Margin58.56%61.41%54.05%51.49%50.94%62.55%68.14%49.87%
Equity / Assets65.2%56.6%59.6%35.5%39.8%33.5%37.4%36.4%
Leverage0.53x0.77x0.68x1.81x1.51x1.99x1.67x1.74x

Revenue

2,354bn

Net income

1,104bn

Net margin

46.92%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A broker's statements are read with the industry's own questions: revenue mix, balance sheet, funding.

01

Is revenue sustainable?

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

▲

Where are current earnings coming from?

The revenue engine is now leaning more toward brokerage, so earnings quality depends on whether that service line can hold at a meaningful scale.

Trading currently accounts for about 17.2%, lending is at 37.1%, brokerage is around 43.9%, other services about 1.8%, brokerage plus services together are 45.7%.

The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.

Revaluation is currently only a small component and not a headline driver.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Securities business revenue
9,948.3bn
+55.9% YoY
PBT margin
56.3%
−1.2pp
Trading Share
17.2%
−1.2pp
Brokerage Share
43.9%
−1.7pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q2

Profitability Quality & Volatility

▲▲

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Profitability currently looks relatively clean, with margins and returns strong enough not to rely heavily on unusual support.

Pre-tax margin is currently 56.3%, Return on assets is about 11.2%, revaluation accounts for 1.1% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit is still fairly readable because returns are not being materially distorted by less durable support.

Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

PBT margin
56.3%
−1.2pp
Net margin
45.0%
−0.9pp
ROAA
11.2%
+3.8pp
ROAE
20.4%
+5.8pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q2

02

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

●

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.

The margin book is about 65.4% of assets, the prop book about 13.5%, liquid assets around 10.3%, equity roughly 65.2%.

A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Margin book / Assets
65.4%
+11.1pp
Prop book / Assets
13.5%
+5.6pp
Liquid assets / Assets
10.3%
−24.4pp
Equity / Assets
65.2%
+25.3pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q2

03

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

●

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Capital and funding posture looks more balanced for now, though the effective thickness of liquidity buffers still needs monitoring.

Equity currently equals 65.2% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.53x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 22.2% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.32x of short-term borrowings.

Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.

When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Equity / Assets
65.2%
+25.3pp
Liabilities / Equity
0.53x
−0.98x
Short-term borrowings / Assets
22.2%
−19.6pp
Liquid assets / Assets
10.3%
−24.4pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q2

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

Overall, VCK is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, making it cleaner than a pure trading-led case.

  • Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether brokerage and service income can maintain a clear diversification role against dependence on trading and margin income.

  2. Track whether the current return profile can hold without requiring even greater earnings concentration.

  3. Track whether margin-book dependence can remain within a safe range as earning assets continue to grow.

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