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iShareInvest Research

HNX · Quý 2/2026

X20

X20

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼ Under pressure

Trailing net profit reached 38.7bn, fell 10.3bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower selling expenses, higher financial income, and higher gross profit. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher administrative expenses. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
4.68x
P/B
0.63x
EPS
2,246
BVPS
16,756
ROE
13.7%
ROA
7.5%
Market price
10,500
16 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, X20 is declining across multiple metrics versus the same period, suggesting current pressure is not coming from just one side — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. What remains unclear is whether the business can stabilize before this trend deepens.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Selling expenses
  2. Financial income
  3. Gross profit
  4. Administrative expenses
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue226.8288.3418.9275.0171.5256.4575.5226.4
LNST2.416.87.611.96.29.229.83.9
Net margin1.07%5.82%1.81%4.34%3.60%3.57%5.17%1.72%

Revenue

227bn

Net income

2bn

Net margin

1.07%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

Revenue Growth

●

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue declined 1.7% year on year — not from a single spike: quarterly growth stepped up from +21% to +32%.

3 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
1,209bn
−1.7%
Latest quarter YoY
+32%
accelerating

What is driving the margin?

▼

Net margin narrowed to 3.20%, falling 0.8pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 1.2pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 0.4pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.1pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Net Margin
3.20%
−0.8pp
Gross Margin
19.42%
+0.4pp
SG&A / Revenue
15.79%
+1.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

▲▲

Is profit converting into cash?

Operating cash flow reached -19.5bn against investing cash flow of -55.9bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was negative +75.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +23.0bn.

CFO / net income was 2,34 lần.

After spending +12.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +78.1bn.

Earnings Quality

●

How much income is non-core?

Non-core income makes up 10.7% of pre-tax profit — worth monitoring.

Within that, net financial result at +9.6%, other profit at +1.1% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
10.7%
moderate
Net financial / PBT
9.6%
Other profit / PBT
1.1%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼▼

ROIC fell to 20.36%, losing 7.7pp. That translates to 20.36 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 0.7pp and capital turnover fell 0.89x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.

Working Capital Efficiency

●

Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 1.2 days, DSO fell 3.4 days, and DPO fell 1.7 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +1.2 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 3.2% -0.8pp
Asset turnover 2.35x -0.17x
Financial leverage 1.82x +0.04x
ROE 13.7% -4.2pp

ROE fell from 17.9% to 13.7% — net margin weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at −0.27x and interest coverage at 52.29x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 15.2% of total debt, cash equals 943.8% of debt, and total debt stands at 9.1bn.

Net Debt / Equity
−0.27x
+0.13x
Interest Coverage
52.29x
Cash / Debt
943.8%
−78.7pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
15.2%
+3.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Balance Sheet

▲

The balance sheet shows capital-allocation efficiency slipping. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.05x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.27x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 142.0bn, roughly 23.7% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 36.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.34x. Warning and risk signals are not yet decisive enough to shift the picture.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.34x.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue stabilizes after a −1,7% YoY decline or keeps falling.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 3.20% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its -19.5bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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