TCM

Dệt may - Đầu tư - Thương mại Thành Công ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼ Under pressure

Working capital is tied up too long in the operating cycle Working capital 134 days
Price
20,700
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 9.29x
P/B 0.94x
EPS 2,229
BVPS 21,911
ROE 10.8%
ROA 6.1%
Profit Margin 7.0%
Asset Turnover 0.87x
Equity Mult. 1.75x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TCM is declining across multiple metrics versus the same period, suggesting current pressure is not coming from just one side — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. What remains unclear is whether the business can stabilize before this trend deepens.

TTM REVENUE
VND 3,644bn
−6.3%YoY
NET MARGIN
7.10%
−0.5ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 259bn
−12.0%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 1,010.1 858.1 902.4 873.0 1,010.9 925.0 1,104.6 846.7 934.1 814.6 919.3 714.5
Growth +18% -5% +3% -14% +9% -16% +30% -9% +15% -11% +29%
Net Income 65.9 46.7 64.0 82.0 78.6 61.7 81.5 72.3 62.6 22.4 54.2 2.3
Net Margin 6.52% 5.45% 7.10% 9.39% 7.77% 6.67% 7.38% 8.54% 6.70% 2.74% 5.89% 0.32%

Drivers of TCM's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↓ 10.7bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 5.7bn
Gross profit ↓ 41.5bn
Other profit ↓ 7.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Tax ↓ 3.3bn
Other profit ↑ 3.3bn
Gross profit ↓ 11.3bn
Selling expenses ↑ 4.5bn
Financial income ↓ 3.9bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 13.4% = 7.6% × 1.06 × 1.68
2026Q1 10.9% = 7.1% × 0.87 × 1.75

ROE fell from 13.4% to 10.9% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

Net margin: 7.1% -0.5pp Asset turnover: 0.87x -0.19x Leverage: 1.75x +0.07x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 7.10%, falling 0.5pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.4pp and Gross margin fell 0.1pp (with lingering pressure from Other profit / Revenue fell 0.2pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 7.10% −0.5pp
Gross Margin 15.96% −0.1pp
SG&A / Revenue 7.91% +0.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to 9.54%, losing 2.2pp. That translates to 9.54 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 0.3pp and capital turnover fell 0.23x, while invested capital rose by 240bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Pressure came from turnover — added capital has not been absorbed quickly enough, a typical investment-cycle dynamic.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 9.54% −2.2pp
NOPAT Margin 7.06% −0.3pp
Capital Turnover 1.35x −0.23x
Average Invested Capital 2,696.5bn +240.5bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.70x equity, net debt at 0.12x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 987.3bn, roughly 23.7% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 106.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables. Pressure from higher inventories and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +155.4bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −30.1bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −18.5bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 12.2 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 9.1 days, DSO rose 13.0 days, and DPO rose 9.9 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 134.1 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +13.0 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 65.8 days +13.0 days
Inventory 113.0 days +9.1 days
Payables 44.7 days +9.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 134.1 days +12.2 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.12x and interest coverage at 5.23x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 84.5% of total debt, cash equals 72.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,073.9bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 84.5% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.12x −0.03x
Interest Coverage 5.23x −0.68x
Cash / Debt 72.7% +4.6pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 84.5% +1.6pp
CFO / NI 1.61x +1.46x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 235.0bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -25.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +209.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +42.1bn.

CFO / net income was 1.61x.

After spending +213.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +199.4bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 412.7bn +370.4bn
Cash Capex 213.3bn −35.0bn
FCF TTM +199.4bn +405.4bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.61x. The main risk still sits in working capital is tied up too long in the operating cycle, with CCC extended to 134 days.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.61x.

Key risk: working capital remains tied up for too long, with cash cycle at 134.1 days.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
3,644.4 3,810.5 3,324.8 4,337.4 3,535.4
Cost of Goods Sold
3,051.5 3,193.8 2,826.1 3,627.1 0.0
Gross Profit
592.9 616.7 498.7 710.3 513.5
Financial Expenses
60.9 64.7 113.4 130.3 -51.3
Selling Expenses
146.0 154.3 146.9 177.8 -184.4
General and Administrative Expenses
138.4 149.8 136.9 169.8 -169.9
Operating Profit
339.0 339.4 184.5 346.3 175.7
Profit Before Tax
338.5 350.4 188.8 350.3 178.5
Net Income
271.3 278.1 133.8 281.1 143.7
Profit Attributable to Parent
269.1 276.1 131.9 279.3 142.5
Earnings per Share
2,161.00 2,548.00 1,211.00 2,898.00 1,997.13

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