TCM
Dệt may - Đầu tư - Thương mại Thành Công ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▼ Under pressure
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TCM is declining across multiple metrics versus the same period, suggesting current pressure is not coming from just one side — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. What remains unclear is whether the business can stabilize before this trend deepens.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1,010.1 | 858.1 | 902.4 | 873.0 | 1,010.9 | 925.0 | 1,104.6 | 846.7 | 934.1 | 814.6 | 919.3 | 714.5 |
| Growth | +18% | -5% | +3% | -14% | +9% | -16% | +30% | -9% | +15% | -11% | +29% | — |
| Net Income | 65.9 | 46.7 | 64.0 | 82.0 | 78.6 | 61.7 | 81.5 | 72.3 | 62.6 | 22.4 | 54.2 | 2.3 |
| Net Margin | 6.52% | 5.45% | 7.10% | 9.39% | 7.77% | 6.67% | 7.38% | 8.54% | 6.70% | 2.74% | 5.89% | 0.32% |
Drivers of TCM's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 13.4% to 10.9% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to 7.10%, falling 0.5pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.4pp and Gross margin fell 0.1pp (with lingering pressure from Other profit / Revenue fell 0.2pp).
Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 9.54%, losing 2.2pp. That translates to 9.54 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 0.3pp and capital turnover fell 0.23x, while invested capital rose by 240bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
Pressure came from turnover — added capital has not been absorbed quickly enough, a typical investment-cycle dynamic.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.70x equity, net debt at 0.12x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 987.3bn, roughly 23.7% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 106.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables. Pressure from higher inventories and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 12.2 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 9.1 days, DSO rose 13.0 days, and DPO rose 9.9 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 134.1 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +13.0 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.12x and interest coverage at 5.23x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 84.5% of total debt, cash equals 72.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,073.9bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 84.5% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 235.0bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -25.4bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +209.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +42.1bn.
CFO / net income was 1.61x.
After spending +213.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +199.4bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.61x. The main risk still sits in working capital is tied up too long in the operating cycle, with CCC extended to 134 days.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.61x.
Key risk: working capital remains tied up for too long, with cash cycle at 134.1 days.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
3,644.4 | 3,810.5 | 3,324.8 | 4,337.4 | 3,535.4 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
3,051.5 | 3,193.8 | 2,826.1 | 3,627.1 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
592.9 | 616.7 | 498.7 | 710.3 | 513.5 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
60.9 | 64.7 | 113.4 | 130.3 | -51.3 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
146.0 | 154.3 | 146.9 | 177.8 | -184.4 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
138.4 | 149.8 | 136.9 | 169.8 | -169.9 |
|
Operating Profit
|
339.0 | 339.4 | 184.5 | 346.3 | 175.7 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
338.5 | 350.4 | 188.8 | 350.3 | 178.5 |
|
Net Income
|
271.3 | 278.1 | 133.8 | 281.1 | 143.7 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
269.1 | 276.1 | 131.9 | 279.3 | 142.5 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
2,161.00 | 2,548.00 | 1,211.00 | 2,898.00 | 1,997.13 |
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