SGI
Đầu tư SGI Holdings ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, SGI is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. More notably, most of the profit comes from non-core sources — this needs careful evaluation before concluding on growth quality.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 517.7 | 777.9 | 577.0 | 546.1 | 490.0 | 601.6 | 367.1 | 307.6 | 292.9 | 346.7 | 361.3 | 354.7 |
| Growth | -33% | +35% | +6% | +11% | -19% | +64% | +19% | +5% | -16% | -4% | +2% | — |
| Net Income | -55.0 | 5.7 | 37.8 | -15.6 | 48.9 | 26.3 | 23.8 | 13.3 | -55.8 | 40.7 | 36.6 | 79.1 |
| Net Margin | -10.62% | 0.74% | 6.55% | -2.86% | 9.97% | 4.37% | 6.49% | 4.32% | -19.04% | 11.73% | 10.13% | 22.31% |
Drivers of SGI's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 4.0% to -1.0% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to -1.12%, losing 7.5pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 3.7pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 0.9pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 4.2pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 1.2pp).
The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 5.4pp, financial result still accounts for 1663.1% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to -1.39%, losing 4.0pp. That translates to -1.39 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 8.6pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; while invested capital rose by 577bn.
Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently -1.39% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.23x equity, net debt at 0.72x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 114.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 19.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 4.8 days, DSO fell 2.1 days, and DPO rose 12.4 days.
All 3 drivers (collection, inventory, payables) are improving — working capital turnover is strengthening across the board.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 177.0bn due to capex of 79.1bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.72x and interest coverage only at 0.08x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 99.0% of total debt, cash equals 16.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 2,382.1bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is 0.08x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 99.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 50.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -205.6bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +154.6bn. Financing cash flow was positive +287.7bn.
CFO / net income was 1.16x.
After spending +79.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −177.0bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 7.5 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 1524.7%.
Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 1.16x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 1524.7% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -1.12% after a 7.5pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
2,392.3 | 1,569.3 | 1,287.2 | 1,639.0 | 1,453.3 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
2,032.3 | 1,294.2 | 1,035.5 | 1,285.2 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
360.0 | 275.1 | 251.7 | 353.7 | 243.9 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
251.4 | 296.1 | 86.5 | 238.4 | -126.4 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
174.4 | 102.9 | 70.9 | 63.5 | -42.4 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
266.4 | 247.0 | 191.7 | 259.5 | -206.0 |
|
Operating Profit
|
131.9 | 4.1 | 221.7 | 335.8 | 220.8 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
132.2 | 10.1 | 216.4 | 341.2 | 219.7 |
|
Net Income
|
76.7 | 2.2 | 166.2 | 295.9 | 122.3 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
1.3 | 7.7 | 118.8 | 304.9 | 79.3 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
18.00 | 83.00 | 1,555.00 | 4,040.00 | 1,043.00 |
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