SGI

Đầu tư SGI Holdings ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin −1.12%, −7.48pp YoY
Price
11,400
Latest close
01 Jun 2026
P/E -10.17x
P/B 0.31x
EPS -1,121
BVPS 36,713
ROE -3.0%
ROA -1.4%
Profit Margin -3.5%
Asset Turnover 0.41x
Equity Mult. 2.09x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, SGI is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. More notably, most of the profit comes from non-core sources — this needs careful evaluation before concluding on growth quality.

TTM REVENUE
VND 2,419bn
+36.9%YoY
NET MARGIN
−1.12%
−7.5ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 27bn
−124.1%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
1524.7%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 517.7 777.9 577.0 546.1 490.0 601.6 367.1 307.6 292.9 346.7 361.3 354.7
Growth -33% +35% +6% +11% -19% +64% +19% +5% -16% -4% +2%
Net Income -55.0 5.7 37.8 -15.6 48.9 26.3 23.8 13.3 -55.8 40.7 36.6 79.1
Net Margin -10.62% 0.74% 6.55% -2.86% 9.97% 4.37% 6.49% 4.32% -19.04% 11.73% 10.13% 22.31%

Drivers of SGI's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher selling expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Financial income ↑ 48.6bn
Gross profit ↑ 26.5bn
Tax ↓ 25.3bn
Selling expenses ↑ 82.2bn
Finance costs ↑ 79.6bn
Minority interests ↑ 34.4bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Minority interests ↓ 17.9bn
Tax ↓ 16.4bn
Finance costs ↑ 43.7bn
Gross profit ↓ 22.9bn
Selling expenses ↑ 19.0bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 16.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 4.0% = 6.4% × 0.35 × 1.78
2026Q1 -1.0% = -1.1% × 0.41 × 2.09

ROE fell from 4.0% to -1.0% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.

Net margin: -1.1% -7.5pp Asset turnover: 0.41x +0.06x Leverage: 2.09x +0.31x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to -1.12%, losing 7.5pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 3.7pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 0.9pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 4.2pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 1.2pp).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -1.12% −7.5pp
Gross Margin 14.10% −3.7pp
SG&A / Revenue 19.67% −0.9pp
Non-core / Revenue 6.00% −5.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 5.4pp, financial result still accounts for 1663.1% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to -1.39%, losing 4.0pp. That translates to -1.39 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 8.6pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; while invested capital rose by 577bn.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently -1.39% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC -1.39% −4.0pp
NOPAT Margin -2.67% −8.6pp
Capital Turnover 0.52x +0.09x
Average Invested Capital 4,646.3bn +576.7bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.23x equity, net debt at 0.72x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 114.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +172.8bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +21.3bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −79.3bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 19.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 4.8 days, DSO fell 2.1 days, and DPO rose 12.4 days.

All 3 drivers (collection, inventory, payables) are improving — working capital turnover is strengthening across the board.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 64.1 days −2.1 days
Inventory 56.6 days −4.8 days
Payables 40.1 days +12.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 80.6 days −19.3 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 177.0bn due to capex of 79.1bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.72x and interest coverage only at 0.08x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 99.0% of total debt, cash equals 16.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 2,382.1bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.08x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 99.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.72x +0.11x
Interest Coverage 0.08x −0.57x
Cash / Debt 16.7% −12.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 99.0% +5.1pp
CFO / NI 1.16x +1.76x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 50.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -205.6bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +154.6bn. Financing cash flow was positive +287.7bn.

CFO / net income was 1.16x.

After spending +79.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −177.0bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 97.9bn −44.5bn
Cash Capex 79.1bn +60.4bn
FCF TTM −177.0bn −104.9bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 7.5 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 1524.7%.

Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 1.16x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 1524.7% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -1.12% after a 7.5pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
2,392.3 1,569.3 1,287.2 1,639.0 1,453.3
Cost of Goods Sold
2,032.3 1,294.2 1,035.5 1,285.2 0.0
Gross Profit
360.0 275.1 251.7 353.7 243.9
Financial Expenses
251.4 296.1 86.5 238.4 -126.4
Selling Expenses
174.4 102.9 70.9 63.5 -42.4
General and Administrative Expenses
266.4 247.0 191.7 259.5 -206.0
Operating Profit
131.9 4.1 221.7 335.8 220.8
Profit Before Tax
132.2 10.1 216.4 341.2 219.7
Net Income
76.7 2.2 166.2 295.9 122.3
Profit Attributable to Parent
1.3 7.7 118.8 304.9 79.3
Earnings per Share
18.00 83.00 1,555.00 4,040.00 1,043.00

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