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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 4/2023

PCF

Cà phê PETEC

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 4/2023

▼ Slightly negative

Trailing net profit reached 0.0bn, rose 2.2bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower finance costs and higher gross profit. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower financial income, higher selling expenses, and weaker other profit. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
-210.00x
P/B
0.30x
EPS
-10
BVPS
7,074
ROE
-0.1%
ROA
-0.1%
Market price
2,100
15 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2023Q4 basis, PCF is still improving profit despite revenue not recovering, suggesting cost efficiency or the earnings mix is aiding current results — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Finance costs
  2. Gross profit
  3. Financial income
  4. Selling expenses
  5. Other profit
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 4/2023

MetricQ4'23Q3'23Q2'23Q1'23Q4'22Q3'22Q2'22Q1'22
Revenue34.530.333.9105.343.730.1107.148.2
LNST-0.60.10.20.2-2.8-0.00.6-0.0
Net margin-1.65%0.36%0.68%0.19%-6.35%-0.13%0.60%-0.10%

Revenue

34bn

Net income

-1bn

Net margin

-1.65%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

Revenue Growth

▼

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue declined 11.0% year on year — but the quarterly pace is slowing (+118% → −21%).

2 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
204bn
−11.0%
Latest quarter YoY
−21%
slowing

What is driving the margin?

▲

Net margin edged up to −0.01%, rising 1.0pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 1.0pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.5pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.6pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Net Margin
−0.01%
+1.0pp
Gross Margin
4.09%
+1.0pp
SG&A / Revenue
3.92%
+0.5pp
Non-core / Revenue
−0.18%
+0.4pp

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 1880.4% of PBT and lifted net margin by 0.4pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Cash Flow

●

Is profit converting into cash?

Operating cash flow reached -0.7bn against investing cash flow of 0.0bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was negative +0.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +2.0bn.

CFO / net income was −478,27 lần.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.

Earnings Quality

▼

How much income is non-core?

Non-core income reaches 1,880.4% of pre-tax profit — core earnings are thinner than the headline.

Within that, net financial result at +1,582.6%, other profit at +297.8% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
1,880.4%
high
Net financial / PBT
1,582.6%
Other profit / PBT
297.8%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Return on capital rose, but cash cycle lengthened by 28.7 days — working capital needs watching.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▲▲

ROIC expanded to −0.40%, rising 5.6pp. That translates to −0.40 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 1.1pp and capital turnover rose 1.88x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — capital-return quality improved from both sides.

NOPAT margin led the improvement, but the ROIC level has not yet cleared typical cost of capital — margin needs to hold in coming periods rather than being a one-period rebound.

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently −0.40% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

Working Capital Efficiency

▼

Rising inventory is showing up in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 28.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 6.1 days, DSO rose 22.2 days, and DPO fell 0.4 days.

All 3 drivers are deteriorating — working capital is becoming more deeply tied up in the operating cycle.

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +28.7 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +22.2 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin -0.0% +1.0pp
Asset turnover 4.31x +0.33x
Financial leverage 2.24x -0.36x
ROE -0.1% -9.9pp

ROE rose from −10.0% to −0.1% — supported by net margin and asset turnover.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at −0.29x and interest coverage only at −0.04x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 405.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 2.0bn.

Net Debt / Equity
−0.29x
−1.34x
Interest Coverage
−0.04x
+0.47x
Cash / Debt
405.3%
+403.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
100.0%
0.0pp

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is −0.04x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Balance Sheet

▲

The asset structure shows capital being allocated increasingly efficiently. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.08x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.29x equity.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 21.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at −0.4%. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 1582.6%.

  • Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 1582.6% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at −478.27x.
  • Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue stabilizes after a −11,0% YoY decline or keeps falling.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current -0.01% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its -0.7bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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