PCF

Cà phê PETEC ·UPCOM ·2023Q4

▼ Slightly negative

Capital efficiency remains weak ROE −0.40%, +5.56pp YoY
Price
3,300
Latest close
01 Jun 2026
P/E -330.00x
P/B 0.47x
EPS -10
BVPS 7,074
ROE -0.1%
ROA -0.1%
Profit Margin -0.0%
Asset Turnover 4.31x
Equity Mult. 2.24x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2023Q4 basis, PCF is still improving profit despite revenue not recovering, suggesting cost efficiency or the earnings mix is aiding current results — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

TTM REVENUE
VND 204bn
−11.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
−0.01%
+1.0ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 0bn
+98.7%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
1582.6%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23 Q1'23 Q4'22 Q3'22 Q2'22 Q1'22 Q4'21 Q3'21 Q2'21 Q1'21
Revenue 34.5 30.3 33.9 105.3 43.7 30.1 107.1 48.2 66.2 40.9 57.4 120.0
Growth +14% -11% -68% +141% +46% -72% +122% -27% +62% -29% -52%
Net Income -0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 -2.8 -0.0 0.6 -0.0 -0.5 0.2 -0.3 0.7
Net Margin -1.65% 0.36% 0.68% 0.19% -6.35% -0.13% 0.60% -0.10% -0.71% 0.43% -0.46% 0.57%

Drivers of PCF's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 2.0bn
Gross profit ↑ 1.3bn
Financial income ↓ 0.6bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.4bn
Other profit ↓ 0.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 2.4bn
Gross profit ↑ 0.9bn
Administrative expenses ↓ 0.4bn
Financial income ↓ 0.7bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.6bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2022Q4 -10.0% = -1.0% × 3.98 × 2.60
2023Q4 -0.1% = -0.0% × 4.31 × 2.24

ROE rose from -10.0% to -0.1% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: -0.0% +1.0pp Asset turnover: 4.31x +0.33x Leverage: 2.24x -0.36x

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to -0.01%, rising 1.0pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 1.0pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.5pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.6pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -0.01% +1.0pp
Gross Margin 4.09% +1.0pp
SG&A / Revenue 3.92% +0.5pp
Non-core / Revenue -0.18% +0.4pp

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

Watchpoints

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 1880.4% of PBT and lifted net margin by 0.4pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Return on capital rose, but cash cycle lengthened by 28.7 days — working capital needs watching.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to -0.40%, rising 5.6pp. That translates to -0.40 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 1.1pp and capital turnover rose 1.88x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — capital-return quality improved from both sides.

NOPAT margin led the improvement, but the ROIC level has not yet cleared typical cost of capital — margin needs to hold in coming periods rather than being a one-period rebound.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently -0.40% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

ROIC -0.40% +5.6pp
NOPAT Margin -0.06% +1.1pp
Capital Turnover 7.04x +1.88x
Average Invested Capital 29.0bn −15.4bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.08x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.29x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 21.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +4.0bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +24.4bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −6.7bn

Working Capital Efficiency

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 28.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 6.1 days, DSO rose 22.2 days, and DPO fell 0.4 days.

All 3 drivers are deteriorating — working capital is becoming more deeply tied up in the operating cycle.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +28.7 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +22.2 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

Receivables 42.6 days +22.2 days
Inventory 28.7 days +6.1 days
Payables 17.9 days −0.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 53.4 days +28.7 days

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at -0.29x and interest coverage only at -0.04x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 405.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 2.0bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is -0.04x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.29x −1.34x
Interest Coverage -0.04x +0.47x
Cash / Debt 405.3% +403.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -478.27x −477.06x

TTM YoY · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -0.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 0.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +0.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +2.0bn.

CFO / net income was -478.27x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2022Q4 -> 2023Q4

CFO TTM 13.8bn +11.1bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at -0.4%. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 1582.6%.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 1582.6% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -478.27x.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1.8 26.6 203.9 229.1 284.5
Cost of Goods Sold
0.2 23.9 195.6 222.1 0.0
Gross Profit
1.6 2.7 8.4 7.0 6.1
Financial Expenses
-0.0 -0.6 1.2 4.7 -0.8
Selling Expenses
0.1 1.0 5.0 4.6 -4.2
General and Administrative Expenses
1.4 2.2 3.0 3.1 -3.1
Operating Profit
0.1 0.1 0.1 -2.6 -1.2
Profit Before Tax
0.1 0.1 0.2 -2.2 0.1
Net Income
0.1 0.1 0.2 -2.2 0.1
Profit Attributable to Parent
0.1 0.1 0.2 -2.2 0.1
Earnings per Share
34.00 20.00 69.00 -728.00 43.00

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