PSD

Dịch vụ Phân phối Tổng hợp Dầu khí ·HNX ·2026Q1

▲▲ Improving positively

Price
17,000
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 5.11x
P/B 1.14x
EPS 3,325
BVPS 14,874
ROE 25.6%
ROA 4.5%
Profit Margin 1.9%
Asset Turnover 2.30x
Equity Mult. 5.72x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, PSD is growing strongly on the back of scale expansion, while margins have only improved slightly — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. However, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.

TTM REVENUE
VND 8,994bn
+60.2%YoY
NET MARGIN
1.95%
+0.4ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 175bn
+104.6%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-4.34x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 2,517.2 2,376.2 2,214.6 1,885.9 1,342.7 1,338.1 1,539.6 1,392.7 1,457.0 1,711.7 1,683.9 1,519.0
Growth +6% +7% +17% +40% +0% -13% +11% -4% -15% +2% +11%
Net Income 54.2 46.9 44.4 29.5 22.1 17.5 27.9 18.0 20.1 23.0 12.9 5.9
Net Margin 2.15% 1.97% 2.00% 1.56% 1.65% 1.31% 1.81% 1.29% 1.38% 1.35% 0.77% 0.39%

Drivers of PSD's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 159.4bn
Financial income ↑ 87.7bn
Selling expenses ↑ 81.2bn
Finance costs ↑ 55.5bn
Tax ↑ 21.5bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 74.4bn
Financial income ↑ 22.2bn
Selling expenses ↑ 28.2bn
Finance costs ↑ 26.9bn
Tax ↑ 8.0bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 14.7% = 1.5% × 1.80 × 5.35
2026Q1 25.6% = 1.9% × 2.30 × 5.72

ROE rose from 14.7% to 25.6% — all three components improved, with asset turnover contributing the most.

Net margin: 1.9% +0.4pp Asset turnover: 2.30x +0.49x Leverage: 5.72x +0.38x

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to 1.95%, rising 0.4pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 0.8pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 0.4pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.2pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).

The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 1.95% +0.4pp
Gross Margin 5.35% −0.4pp
SG&A / Revenue 3.63% −0.8pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital is being used more efficiently — ROIC rose and cash cycle shortened to 61.8 days.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 6.45%, rising 2.8pp. That translates to 6.45 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 0.5pp and capital turnover rose 0.81x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 473bn — capital-return quality improved from both sides.

Both margin and turnover contributed — the improvement has a dual foundation and is more durable than a single-pillar expansion.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 6.45% +2.8pp
NOPAT Margin 1.91% +0.5pp
Capital Turnover 3.37x +0.81x
Average Invested Capital 2,668.0bn +473.2bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 5.52x equity, net debt at 3.34x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 965.4bn, roughly 20.7% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 746.7bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −934.7bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −228.1bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +416.1bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 24.9 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 25.5 days, DSO fell 3.3 days, and DPO fell 3.9 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 56.8 days −3.3 days
Inventory 33.7 days −25.5 days
Payables 28.7 days −3.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 61.8 days −24.9 days

Is financial risk significant?

High leverage combined with negative operating cash flow — this area needs close monitoring.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 3.34x and interest coverage only at 1.89x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 2.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 2,649.8bn.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 3.34x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.89x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 3.34x +1.01x
Interest Coverage 1.89x +0.17x
Cash / Debt 2.9% −4.2pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -4.34x −11.25x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -458.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -399.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +857.9bn. Financing cash flow was positive +982.4bn.

CFO / net income was -4.34x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 759.2bn −1,350.3bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 27.9%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 1.89x.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 27.9% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -4.34x.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 1.89x.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
7,819.4 5,700.8 6,764.4 8,634.6 8,526.5
Cost of Goods Sold
7,412.6 5,379.9 6,469.9 8,213.7 0.0
Gross Profit
406.8 320.9 294.6 420.9 461.5
Financial Expenses
87.3 59.1 119.0 109.4 -30.8
Selling Expenses
246.4 190.8 171.5 180.5 -150.4
General and Administrative Expenses
50.8 55.2 35.0 48.8 -136.5
Operating Profit
175.5 97.8 78.9 140.6 189.8
Profit Before Tax
179.4 104.8 83.2 138.6 193.6
Net Income
143.1 82.6 63.3 112.9 138.7
Profit Attributable to Parent
143.1 82.6 62.2 112.5 143.5
Earnings per Share
2,709.00 1,559.00 1,196.00 2,770.00 4,717.00

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