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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 2/2026

SHB

Ngân hàng TMCP Sài Gòn - Hà Nội

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼ SPREAD COMPRESSION

TTM PATMI rose +VND 1,329.8bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher net fee income, lower provision for credit losses, and higher other income. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower net interest income, higher operating expenses, and higher corporate income tax.

See what is changing ↓
P/B
0.6x
ROAE
17.6%
NIM
2.6%
Asset Yield
8.15%
Funding Cost
5.53%
ROAA
1.4%
Market price
10,550
20 Oct 2026

Bank Picture

SHB bank opening narrative plan rendered.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Net fee income
  2. Provision for credit losses
  3. Other income
  4. FX & gold trading
  5. Net interest income
  6. Operating expenses
  7. Corporate income tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Net Interest Income6.708,75.497,23.830,85.323,89.126,85.543,78.283,83.261,8
NII Growth YoY−26%−1%−54%+63%+123%+7%——
NIM2,62%3,00%3,18%3,98%3,80%3,20%3,28%—
Net Fee Income2.535,91.288,71.318,5874,5684,6329,3754,9144,7
Provision Expense3.825,01.532,2891,41.490,44.140,8621,14.632,7517,4
Net Profit After Tax3.561,63.726,02.259,92.606,73.606,53.496,31.981,61.739,9
Net Income Growth YoY−1%+7%+14%+50%+59%+9%——

Net interest income

6,709bn

Provision expense

3,825bn

Net income

3,562bn

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A bank's statements are read with a bank's own questions: credit quality, margin, liquidity, funding.

01

Is credit clean?

Credit Quality

●

Is asset quality deteriorating?

Direct credit reading is still thin, but reserve buffer is the more notable signal now, having slipped to 1.71% of gross loans.

Reserve buffer on gross loans is around 1.71%. LDR stands at 97.0%.

Credit reading currently relies mainly on credit cost and reserve buffer; NPL, group-2, and bad-debt coverage signals will be added next.

Reserve buffer thinning

Provision-to-gross-loans is declining quarter over quarter, suggesting a thinner loss-absorbing reserve buffer.

Credit cost
0.95%
−0.1pp
Reserve / Gross loans
1.71%
−0.1pp
LDR
97.0%
+2.7pp

2026Q2

02

Is interest margin sustainable?

Interest Margin Quality

▼▼

Is spread coming under pressure?

Spread is under pressure from funding costs, with funding cost at 5.53%. More broadly, spread conditions are becoming less favorable as asset-yield improvement has not kept pace with funding costs.

In the period, NIM reached 2.62%, −1.2pp YoY; asset yield was 8.15%, −0.3pp; while funding cost was 5.53%, +0.9pp. This suggests spread is under pressure from both softer asset yields and rising funding costs.

Spread compression in progress

Spread is under pressure from both sides, with softer asset yields and rising funding costs.

Funding cost is elevated

Funding cost is 5.53%, pressuring net interest margin.

NIM
2.62%
−1.2pp
Asset yield
8.15%
−0.3pp
Funding cost
5.53%
+0.9pp

2026Q2

Earnings Mix

●

Is profit coming from core or supporting income sources?

Earnings mix looks more balanced thanks to fee income, now at 20.5% of total operating income.

Nii accounts for 72.7% of toi, fee income is 20.5% of toi, other income is 5.1% of toi, cir stands at 22.0%, net profit equals 41.4% of toi.

Fee income is helping diversify the earnings mix

Fee income share is improving clearly enough to make the earnings mix less dependent on net interest income.

NII / TOI
72.7%
−6.7pp
Fee / TOI
20.5%
+6.6pp
Other income / TOI
5.1%
−0.2pp
CIR
22.0%
−0.1pp

2026Q2

03

Is liquidity safe?

Funding & Liquidity

●

Are funding and capital buffers sufficiently safe?

Funding structure still looks broadly balanced, but the cushion is not especially wide with LDR at 97.0% even though customer funding remains the main base.

Ldr stands at 97.0%, equity equals 7.8% of assets, customer funding accounts for 75.7% of interest-bearing funding, market funding accounts for 24.3%.

LDR
97.0%
+2.7pp
Equity / Assets
7.8%
+0.1pp
Customer funding
75.7%
+1.7pp
Market funding
24.3%
−1.7pp

2026Q2

Profitability Quality

▼▼

What is sustaining current profitability?

Profitability is under clearer pressure as provisioning is rising sharply, with ROAA currently at 1.36%.

Net income on average earning assets is 1.49%, nim stands at 2.62%, credit cost is 0.95%, cir stands at 22.0%, average leverage is around 12.93 times.

Average leverage is elevated

Average leverage is currently around 12.93 times.

Provisioning is rising sharply

Quarterly provision expense increased 149.6% QoQ.

ROAA
1.36%
−0.1pp
ROAE
17.58%
−0.7pp
NI / Avg EA
1.49%
−0.0pp
Quarterly provision
VND 3,825bn
+149.6% QoQ

2026Q2

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

SHB bank investment takeaway — spread compression. [Placeholder for EN translation.]

  • [Placeholder for EN evidence line 1.]
  • [Placeholder for EN evidence line 2.]
  • [Placeholder for EN conclusion.]

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether this quarter's provision spike is a one-off clean-up move or a drag that will continue to pressure earnings in coming quarters.

  2. Track whether the recent shift back toward customer funding can hold, rather than proving to be only a short-term quarterly improvement.

  3. Track whether core income can remain the main earnings anchor while fee income continues to broaden in a sustainable way.

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