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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 2/2026

HDB

Ngân hàng TMCP Phát triển Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼ SPREAD COMPRESSION

TTM PATMI rose +VND 4,791.1bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher net interest income, higher net fee income, and higher investment securities. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher corporate income tax, lower trading securities, and higher operating expenses.

See what is changing ↓
P/B
1.3x
ROAE
24.6%
NIM
4.2%
Asset Yield
9.33%
Funding Cost
5.09%
ROAA
2.1%
Market price
22,800
16 Oct 2026

Bank Picture

HDB bank opening narrative plan rendered.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Net interest income
  2. Net fee income
  3. Investment securities
  4. FX & gold trading
  5. Provision for credit losses
  6. Corporate income tax
  7. Trading securities
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Net Interest Income9.752,88.483,09.755,67.763,39.819,27.408,18.202,77.773,4
NII Growth YoY−1%+15%+19%−0%+27%+3%——
NIM4,25%4,58%4,64%5,12%5,21%5,24%5,26%—
Net Fee Income1.503,3847,1874,41.187,21.331,6733,3423,5412,1
Provision Expense2.569,51.258,51.991,12.294,04.141,11.324,81.831,91.093,5
Net Profit After Tax5.797,94.902,15.220,23.798,83.676,14.357,73.237,23.545,6
Net Income Growth YoY+58%+12%+61%+7%+13%+36%——

Net interest income

9,753bn

Provision expense

2,570bn

Net income

5,798bn

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A bank's statements are read with a bank's own questions: credit quality, margin, liquidity, funding.

01

Is credit clean?

Credit Quality

●

Is asset quality deteriorating?

Direct credit reading is still thin, but the available signals have eased: credit cost fell to 0.96% while reserve buffer edged up to 1.40%.

Reserve buffer on gross loans is around 1.40%. LDR stands at 83.2%.

Credit reading currently relies mainly on credit cost and reserve buffer; NPL, group-2, and bad-debt coverage signals will be added next.

Credit cost
0.96%
−0.3pp
Reserve / Gross loans
1.40%
+0.1pp
LDR
83.2%
+1.4pp

2026Q2

02

Is interest margin sustainable?

Interest Margin Quality

▼▼

Is spread coming under pressure?

Spread is under pressure from funding costs, with funding cost at 5.09%. More broadly, spread conditions are becoming less favorable as asset-yield improvement has not kept pace with funding costs.

In the period, NIM reached 4.25%, −1.0pp YoY; asset yield was 9.33%, −0.4pp; while funding cost was 5.09%, +0.5pp. This suggests spread is under pressure from both softer asset yields and rising funding costs.

Spread compression in progress

Spread is under pressure from both sides, with softer asset yields and rising funding costs.

Funding cost is elevated

Funding cost is 5.09%, pressuring net interest margin.

NIM
4.25%
−1.0pp
Asset yield
9.33%
−0.4pp
Funding cost
5.09%
+0.5pp

2026Q2

Earnings Mix

▲▲

Is profit coming from core or supporting income sources?

Earnings remain primarily core-led, with NII contributing around 80.3% of total operating income.

Nii accounts for 80.3% of toi, fee income is 9.9% of toi, other income is 1.7% of toi, cir stands at 26.9%, net profit equals 44.3% of toi.

NII / TOI
80.3%
−2.2pp
Fee / TOI
9.9%
+0.1pp
Other income / TOI
1.7%
CIR
26.9%
−0.0pp

2026Q2

03

Is liquidity safe?

Funding & Liquidity

●

Are funding and capital buffers sufficiently safe?

Funding and liquidity look more balanced, with LDR at 83.2% while customer funding share is improving.

Ldr stands at 83.2%, equity equals 8.6% of assets, customer funding accounts for 72.5% of interest-bearing funding, market funding accounts for 27.5%.

LDR
83.2%
+1.4pp
Equity / Assets
8.6%
+0.2pp
Customer funding
72.5%
+1.7pp
Market funding
27.5%
−1.7pp

2026Q2

Profitability Quality

▼▼

What is sustaining current profitability?

Profitability is under clearer pressure as provisioning is rising sharply, with ROAA currently at 2.16%.

Net income on average earning assets is 2.34%, nim stands at 4.25%, credit cost is 0.96%, cir stands at 26.9%, average leverage is around 11.81 times.

Provisioning is rising sharply

Quarterly provision expense increased 104.2% QoQ.

ROAA
2.16%
+0.1pp
ROAE
25.47%
+1.1pp
NI / Avg EA
2.34%
+0.1pp
Quarterly provision
VND 2,570bn
+104.2% QoQ

2026Q2

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

HDB bank investment takeaway — spread compression. [Placeholder for EN translation.]

  • [Placeholder for EN evidence line 1.]
  • [Placeholder for EN evidence line 2.]
  • [Placeholder for EN conclusion.]

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether this quarter's provision spike is a one-off clean-up move or a drag that will continue to pressure earnings in coming quarters.

  2. Track whether the recent shift back toward customer funding can hold, rather than proving to be only a short-term quarterly improvement.

  3. Track whether core income can remain the main earnings anchor while fee income continues to broaden in a sustainable way.

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