PTL
Victory Group ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▲ Showing improvement
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, PTL is improving on both revenue and margins, suggesting current growth is backed by both scale and operating efficiency — this marks a reversal from the difficult phase before. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 122.5 | 126.5 | 142.6 | 121.5 | 103.6 | 113.5 | 67.1 | 58.2 | 29.5 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Growth | -3% | -11% | +17% | +17% | -9% | +69% | +15% | +97% | +350% | +96% | +8% | — |
| Net Income | -10.4 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 3.5 | -19.1 | -13.4 | -20.1 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 0.4 | -2.1 |
| Net Margin | -8.45% | 6.37% | 3.41% | 0.65% | 3.40% | -16.81% | -20.02% | -34.64% | 11.29% | 63.25% | 10.48% | -68.63% |
Drivers of PTL's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by better other profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from -10.0% to 0.7% — all three components improved, with leverage contributing the most.
Is the profit sustainable?
Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin expanded to 0.65%, rising 15.0pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 1.3pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 8.6pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 20.5pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).
Most of the margin increase comes from non-core items — core operations have not kept pace, this is a margin expansion to watch carefully.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Other income accounts for 398.8% of PBT and lifted net margin by 20.4pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of -1.5% fluctuates with handover cycles.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to -1.51%, losing 2.9pp. That translates to -1.51 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 4.0pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; while invested capital rose by 79bn.
For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.78x equity, net debt at 0.28x equity.
Development inventory ended the period at 260.9bn, about 18.6% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 8.6bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables and higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 34.6bn due to capex of 27.6bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.28x and interest coverage only at -2.54x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 99.0% of total debt, cash equals 13.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 162.3bn.
Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is -2.54x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 99.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 216.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -218.8bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +2.1bn. Financing cash flow was positive +23.8bn.
CFO / net income was -1.42x.
After spending +27.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −34.6bn.
For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 15.0 pp. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 18.3%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at -2.54x.
Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 65.29% after expanding 15.0pp versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 18.3% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -1.42x.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at -2.54x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
494.2 | 268.2 | 20.1 | 61.7 | 98.0 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
436.3 | 217.9 | 9.9 | 55.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
57.9 | 50.4 | 10.1 | 6.7 | 37.0 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
8.3 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 39.2 | -0.0 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | -0.2 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
69.6 | 43.2 | 12.6 | 94.1 | -25.4 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-8.6 | 7.5 | 2.4 | -121.8 | 23.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
20.5 | -40.0 | 2.5 | -117.1 | 29.9 |
|
Net Income
|
15.7 | -41.7 | 2.4 | -117.1 | 29.9 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
12.4 | -48.2 | 2.5 | -114.1 | 28.8 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
125.00 | -487.00 | 25.00 | -1,154.00 | 291.00 |
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