HLD
Đầu tư và Phát triển Bất động sản Hudland ·HNX ·2026Q1
▼ Slightly negative
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HLD is showing a few mildly positive signals versus the same period, though the magnitude is narrow — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. More notably, profit is significantly supported by non-core sources and operating cash flow is not yet positive — the earnings quality picture needs close monitoring.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 169.3 | 239.8 | 23.9 | 4.0 | 9.4 | 11.3 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Growth | -29% | +903% | +505% | -58% | -17% | +4% | +171% | +38% | -40% | +64% | -4% | — |
| Net Income | 12.0 | 12.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Net Margin | 7.12% | 5.24% | 14.53% | 28.85% | 19.01% | 28.15% | 2.88% | 5.13% | 13.92% | 28.01% | 24.84% | 15.91% |
Drivers of HLD's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 1.3% to 5.3% — mainly driven by leverage, despite net margin moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 6.69%, losing 8.8pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 12.1pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 10.7pp (with lingering pressure from Other profit / Revenue fell 5.0pp and Net financial result / Revenue fell 1.3pp).
The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 6.3pp, financial result still accounts for 49.9% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 2.4% fluctuates with handover cycles.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC expanded to 2.38%, rising 1.9pp. That translates to 2.38 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is capital turnover rose 0.20x — the business is generating more revenue per unit of capital, with NOPAT margin narrowed 5.3pp; while invested capital expanded strongly by 763bn.
For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is typical for the real estate sector — liabilities at 2.99x equity, net debt at 2.04x equity.
Development inventory ended the period at 2,168.5bn, about 80.1% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
High leverage combined with negative operating cash flow — this area needs close monitoring.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 2.04x and interest coverage only at 1.95x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 44.0% of total debt, cash equals 23.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,806.1bn.
Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 2.04x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is 1.95x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -1,058.4bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -10.2bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +1,068.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +1,309.9bn.
CFO / net income was -29.64x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is -69.3%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 8.8 pp.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for -69.3% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -29.64x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 6.69% after a 8.8pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
277.0 | 29.0 | 13.5 | 35.4 | 80.9 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
184.3 | 22.7 | 7.6 | 15.2 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
92.7 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 20.3 | 74.2 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
16.1 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 3.8 | -5.4 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
4.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 8.4 | -16.3 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
37.1 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 3.7 | -38.6 |
|
Operating Profit
|
36.2 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 8.5 | 22.3 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
26.3 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 6.5 | 22.3 |
|
Net Income
|
19.0 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 15.7 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
19.0 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 15.7 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
421.00 | 187.00 | 165.00 | 244.00 | 625.00 |
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