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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 1/2026

VPI

Phát triển Bất động sản Văn Phú

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 281.6bn, fell 96.6bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower financial income, higher finance costs, higher selling expenses, and higher administrative expenses. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
57.11x
P/B
2.89x
EPS
879
BVPS
17,350
ROE
5.2%
ROA
2.0%
Market price
50,200
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VPI is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Financial income
  3. Finance costs
  4. Selling expenses
  5. Administrative expenses
  6. Other
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue287.41,180.4395.6180.2248.7749.9854.6165.3
LNST26.5132.0119.06.7142.2101.2110.027.1
Net margin9.22%11.19%30.09%3.69%57.17%13.50%12.87%16.37%

Revenue

287bn

Net income

27bn

Net margin

9.22%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to 13.91%, losing 4.9pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 8.7pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 22.4pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.4pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 14.6pp remained a drag).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2024Q4: 749.9bn

2025Q1: 248.7bn

2025Q2: 180.2bn

2025Q3: 395.6bn

2025Q4: 1,180.4bn

2026Q1: 287.4bn

Net Margin
13.91%
−4.9pp
Gross Margin
38.98%
+22.4pp
SG&A / Revenue
15.59%
+8.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 2.5% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼

ROIC narrowed to 2.46%, falling 1.3pp. That translates to 2.46 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 5.2pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; while invested capital rose by 1,176bn.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

Balance Sheet

▼

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.69x equity, net debt at 1.22x equity.

Customer advances 1,072.0bn (as of 2026Q1) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances rose 1304.24% YoY — strong sales locking in future revenue. Advances cover only 18.00% of current inventory — most of the pipeline is not yet pre-sold.

Customer advances: 1,072.0bn · YoY +995.6bn · QoQ +27.3bn

Locked-in revenue: ~2.10x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 18.00%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q1: 5,954.4bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 736.9bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward near-delivery — the revenue-recognition cycle is approaching.

Near-delivery (ST): 5,954.4bn (88.99%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 736.9bn (11.01%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q1, net debt 6,765.7bn vs project value 6,691.4bn — ratio 101.11% — net debt now EXCEEDS the project pipeline (each unit of debt backed by only 0.99x of project value). Leverage pressure to watch.

Net debt / project value: 101.11%

Development inventory ended the period at 5,245.3bn, about 35.6% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 1,313.2bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 13.9% -4.9pp
Asset turnover 0.15x -0.02x
Financial leverage 2.61x -0.05x
ROE 5.3% -2.9pp

ROE fell from 8.2% to 5.3% — all three components weakened, with net margin being the main drag.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.22x and interest coverage only at 1.93x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 27.8% of total debt, cash equals 2.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 6,908.9bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 1.22x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.93x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Net Debt / Equity
1.22x
+0.22x
Interest Coverage
1.93x
−2.63x
Cash / Debt
2.1%
−10.3pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
27.8%
+7.3pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

●

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 156.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -806.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +649.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +858.2bn.

CFO / net income was −3,83 lần.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 4.9 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 2.5%. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at −3.83x.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at −3.83x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 13.91% after a 4.9pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +1,2% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 13.91% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 156.8bn in 2025.

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