TMB
Kinh doanh Than Miền Bắc - Vinacomin ·HNX ·2025Q4
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2025Q4 basis, TMB is losing revenue quickly, though margins have not been hit proportionally yet. More notably, a significant portion of profit is supported by non-core sources, further affecting earnings quality.
| Metric | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 | Q1'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 6,091.6 | 5,348.4 | 9,013.2 | 9,734.0 | 9,577.2 | 8,506.0 | 11,484.5 | 12,151.2 | 8,238.6 | 8,676.2 | 11,464.4 | 8,733.9 |
| Growth | +14% | -41% | -7% | +2% | +13% | -26% | -5% | +47% | -5% | -24% | +31% | — |
| Net Income | 8.0 | -2.8 | 30.4 | 40.3 | 27.5 | 26.4 | 54.2 | 27.7 | 145.2 | 24.2 | 152.6 | 21.6 |
| Net Margin | 0.13% | -0.05% | 0.34% | 0.41% | 0.29% | 0.31% | 0.47% | 0.23% | 1.76% | 0.28% | 1.33% | 0.25% |
Drivers of TMB's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 17.8% to 9.1% — asset turnover weakened the most.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin stands at 0.25%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.
Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2024Q4 -> 2025Q4
Watchpoints
Margin support from non-core sources remains high (72.4% of PBT) — sustainability should be monitored.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 0.83%, losing 1.9pp. That translates to 0.83 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from capital turnover fell 1.49x — capital is being absorbed faster than revenue is being generated; while invested capital contracted by 577bn.
Pressure came from turnover — added capital has not been absorbed quickly enough, a typical investment-cycle dynamic.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently 0.83% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2024Q4 -> 2025Q4
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 2.81x equity, net debt at 1.27x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 2,515.2bn, roughly 75.8% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 1,239.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2024Q4 -> 2025Q4
Working Capital Efficiency
The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 3.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 8.4 days, DSO fell 1.7 days, and DPO rose 3.4 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.
Watchpoints
CCC is up by +3.3 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.
DIO increased by +8.4 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2024Q4 -> 2025Q4
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.27x and interest coverage only at 0.23x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 6.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,172.2bn.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 1.27x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is 0.23x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2024Q4 -> 2025Q4
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 1,223.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -27.7bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +1,196.0bn. Financing cash flow was negative +1,143.9bn.
CFO / net income was 16.13x.
After spending +29.9bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +1,193.8bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2024Q4 -> 2025Q4
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with capital efficiency remains weak remaining the main constraint, with ROIC at 0.8%. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is -79.9%. The main offsetting support comes from cash generation.
Improvement: cash generation is recovering, with trailing-12M FCF improving by 1,040.2bn versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 16.13x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for -79.9% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
30,187.2 | 41,775.8 | 37,113.2 | 24,839.0 | 11,028.9 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
28,923.4 | 40,193.8 | 35,602.9 | 23,820.9 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
1,263.9 | 1,582.0 | 1,510.3 | 1,018.1 | 644.1 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
136.2 | 208.0 | 131.0 | 169.9 | -35.0 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
1,055.9 | 1,183.8 | 926.7 | 656.4 | -490.8 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
77.7 | 76.8 | 85.2 | 67.2 | -41.3 |
|
Operating Profit
|
37.8 | 193.6 | 377.5 | 217.2 | 77.2 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
121.5 | 266.4 | 414.7 | 243.8 | 77.1 |
|
Net Income
|
80.9 | 199.7 | 331.6 | 194.7 | 60.3 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
80.9 | 199.7 | 331.6 | 194.7 | 60.3 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
5,393.00 | 13,310.00 | 22,108.00 | 12,981.00 | 4,018.00 |
Explore Other Stocks In The Same Sector
MVB, CST, HLC, TVD, CLM, TD6, NBC, THT, MDC, VDB, BCB, MGC, ITS, VTV, AAH
Need support? If you need support with content lookup or want to provide feedback about content on the website, please contact us below.