HLC

Than Hà Lầm - Vinacomin ·HNX ·2026Q1

● Maintaining

Price
11,500
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 3.71x
P/B 0.66x
EPS 3,102
BVPS 17,544
ROE 18.1%
ROA 5.1%
Profit Margin 2.8%
Asset Turnover 1.81x
Equity Mult. 3.57x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HLC is in an offsetting state — revenue softened slightly but margins improved. What is still missing is a signal strong enough to tilt this picture clearly in either direction.

TTM REVENUE
VND 2,868bn
−7.7%YoY
NET MARGIN
2.81%
+0.4ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 81bn
+9.0%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 828.8 464.1 729.0 846.2 838.7 943.1 565.2 759.3 731.0 710.9 787.2 860.4
Growth +79% -36% -14% +1% -11% +67% -26% +4% +3% -10% -9%
Net Income 11.9 -29.4 74.3 23.7 15.0 26.3 11.3 21.2 21.3 21.0 22.7 24.0
Net Margin 1.44% -6.33% 10.19% 2.80% 1.79% 2.79% 2.00% 2.79% 2.92% 2.95% 2.88% 2.79%

Drivers of HLC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 8.9bn
Tax ↓ 8.8bn
Other profit ↑ 5.2bn
Finance costs ↓ 4.3bn
Selling expenses ↑ 36.8bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Other profit ↑ 2.7bn
Gross profit ↑ 1.9bn
Tax ↓ 0.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 3.4bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 16.7% = 2.4% × 1.95 × 3.61
2026Q1 18.1% = 2.8% × 1.81 × 3.57

ROE rose from 16.7% to 18.1% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover and leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 2.8% +0.4pp Asset turnover: 1.81x -0.14x Leverage: 3.57x -0.04x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to 2.81%, rising 0.4pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 1.1pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 0.8pp (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 0.2pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.0pp).

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 2.81% +0.4pp
Gross Margin 10.47% +1.1pp
SG&A / Revenue 6.21% +0.8pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Return on capital rose, but cash cycle lengthened by 25.5 days — working capital needs watching.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC edged up to 7.90%, rising 1.4pp. That translates to 7.90 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 0.6pp, with capital turnover fell 0.14x; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

NOPAT margin expansion has lifted ROIC above the deposit-rate threshold but below typical cost of equity — more same-direction periods are needed to confirm a structural shift.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 7.90% +1.4pp
NOPAT Margin 2.97% +0.6pp
Capital Turnover 2.66x −0.14x
Average Invested Capital 1,078.1bn −31.7bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC is improving — the asset structure below shows how capital is being allocated. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 2.72x equity, net debt at 1.59x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 582.0bn, roughly 36.0% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 181.9bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +188.9bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −357.6bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −13.1bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 25.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 30.2 days, DSO fell 4.0 days, and DPO rose 0.8 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +25.5 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +30.2 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 33.5 days −4.0 days
Inventory 51.7 days +30.2 days
Payables 28.4 days +0.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 56.8 days +25.5 days

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.59x and interest coverage only at 3.25x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 64.5% of total debt, cash equals 0.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 711.7bn.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 1.59x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 64.5% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 1.59x +0.31x
Interest Coverage 3.25x +0.52x
Cash / Debt 0.6% +0.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 64.5% −0.5pp
CFO / NI 0.45x −4.36x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Leverage needs watching — cash flow below shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 143.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -185.3bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +41.6bn. Financing cash flow was positive +35.9bn.

CFO / net income was 0.45x.

After spending +168.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −132.2bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 36.3bn −319.1bn
Cash Capex 168.5bn +24.7bn
FCF TTM −132.2bn −343.8bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with leverage and liquidity remaining the main constraint, with interest coverage at 3.25x. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 0.45x.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 0.45x.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 1.59x and a thin cash buffer.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
2,874.8 2,999.1 3,134.1 3,751.4 3,234.5
Cost of Goods Sold
2,579.2 2,663.0 2,752.1 3,361.0 0.0
Gross Profit
295.6 336.1 382.0 390.3 407.8
Financial Expenses
25.8 35.4 112.4 142.4 -175.4
Selling Expenses
3.8 3.8 4.4 4.6 -4.1
General and Administrative Expenses
167.9 157.0 146.8 146.3 -134.5
Operating Profit
98.8 141.1 119.3 98.0 94.8
Profit Before Tax
102.8 117.5 124.0 99.0 94.6
Net Income
82.1 87.7 99.2 78.6 75.4
Profit Attributable to Parent
82.1 87.7 99.2 78.6 75.4
Earnings per Share
3,229.00 3,452.00 3,902.00 3,094.00 1.00

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