MDC

Than Mông Dương - Vinacomin ·HNX ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Leverage and liquidity require close discipline Debt/equity 2.08x
Price
9,200
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 6.53x
P/B 0.61x
EPS 1,409
BVPS 15,036
ROE 9.0%
ROA 2.9%
Profit Margin 1.2%
Asset Turnover 2.33x
Equity Mult. 3.14x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, MDC is going through a period of clear decline across multiple metrics at once — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. What still needs to be determined is whether the business can find a stabilization point in the near term, or whether current pressure has not yet run its course.

TTM REVENUE
VND 2,443bn
−10.2%YoY
NET MARGIN
1.24%
−0.5ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 30bn
−37.1%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 523.6 605.8 582.6 731.3 733.7 814.2 527.5 646.8 623.7 657.5 570.5 743.1
Growth -14% +4% -20% -0% -10% +54% -18% +4% -5% +15% -23%
Net Income 5.1 12.9 4.9 7.3 7.3 18.9 8.9 12.8 12.8 14.1 9.5 15.0
Net Margin 0.98% 2.12% 0.84% 1.00% 1.00% 2.33% 1.69% 1.99% 2.06% 2.15% 1.67% 2.03%

Drivers of MDC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 32.6bn
Gross profit ↓ 54.0bn
Selling expenses ↑ 5.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 15.7bn
Gross profit ↓ 16.5bn
Finance costs ↑ 1.3bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.7bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 14.6% = 1.8% × 2.58 × 3.20
2026Q1 9.0% = 1.2% × 2.33 × 3.14

ROE fell from 14.6% to 9.0% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.

Net margin: 1.2% -0.5pp Asset turnover: 2.33x -0.25x Leverage: 3.14x -0.06x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 1.24%, falling 0.5pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 1.0pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 0.3pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 1.24% −0.5pp
Gross Margin 9.24% −1.0pp
SG&A / Revenue 7.10% −0.3pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin
Capital Turnover 3.60x −0.54x
Average Invested Capital 679.6bn +21.1bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 2.61x equity, net debt at 1.23x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 105.6bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables decreased → higher CFO: +84.1bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +6.0bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +15.5bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 2.2 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.6 days, DSO fell 0.6 days, and DPO rose 2.3 days.

Extended payment timing is the main driver — consider whether this trades off supplier relationships.

Watchpoints

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +0.6 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 35.1 days −0.6 days
Inventory 10.3 days +0.6 days
Payables 30.2 days +2.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 15.2 days −2.2 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 90.1bn due to capex of 167.1bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.23x and interest coverage only at 2.08x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 52.9% of total debt, cash equals 0.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 398.7bn.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 1.23x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 0.3%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 1.23x +0.38x
Interest Coverage 2.08x −1.59x
Cash / Debt 0.3% −1.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 52.9% −3.9pp
CFO / NI 2.55x −1.64x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 138.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -175.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +36.3bn. Financing cash flow was positive +35.3bn.

CFO / net income was 2.55x.

After spending +167.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −90.1bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 77.0bn −124.2bn
Cash Capex 167.1bn +40.3bn
FCF TTM −90.1bn −164.6bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with leverage and liquidity remaining the main constraint, with interest coverage at 2.08x. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 1.23x and a thin cash buffer.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
2,653.0 2,612.4 2,697.4 2,801.5 2,323.8
Cost of Goods Sold
2,411.3 2,339.2 2,434.3 2,496.2 0.0
Gross Profit
241.7 273.1 263.1 305.3 212.2
Financial Expenses
15.8 18.1 28.9 34.2 -37.5
Selling Expenses
18.1 13.4 18.4 20.7 -15.4
General and Administrative Expenses
169.0 173.3 150.1 138.2 -118.5
Operating Profit
39.4 69.2 66.6 113.0 41.6
Profit Before Tax
40.4 70.7 67.4 115.3 43.1
Net Income
31.9 53.3 53.0 89.6 37.1
Profit Attributable to Parent
31.9 53.3 53.0 89.6 37.1
Earnings per Share
1,490.00 2,490.00 2,473.00 4,185.00 1,733.00

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