MDC
Than Mông Dương - Vinacomin ·HNX ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, MDC is going through a period of clear decline across multiple metrics at once — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. What still needs to be determined is whether the business can find a stabilization point in the near term, or whether current pressure has not yet run its course.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 523.6 | 605.8 | 582.6 | 731.3 | 733.7 | 814.2 | 527.5 | 646.8 | 623.7 | 657.5 | 570.5 | 743.1 |
| Growth | -14% | +4% | -20% | -0% | -10% | +54% | -18% | +4% | -5% | +15% | -23% | — |
| Net Income | 5.1 | 12.9 | 4.9 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 18.9 | 8.9 | 12.8 | 12.8 | 14.1 | 9.5 | 15.0 |
| Net Margin | 0.98% | 2.12% | 0.84% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.33% | 1.69% | 1.99% | 2.06% | 2.15% | 1.67% | 2.03% |
Drivers of MDC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 14.6% to 9.0% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to 1.24%, falling 0.5pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 1.0pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 0.3pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.1pp remained a drag).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.
Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage is elevated, requiring monitoring — liabilities at 2.61x equity, net debt at 1.23x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 105.6bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 2.2 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.6 days, DSO fell 0.6 days, and DPO rose 2.3 days.
Extended payment timing is the main driver — consider whether this trades off supplier relationships.
Watchpoints
DIO increased by +0.6 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 90.1bn due to capex of 167.1bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 1.23x and interest coverage only at 2.08x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 52.9% of total debt, cash equals 0.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 398.7bn.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 1.23x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Cash / debt stands at 0.3%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 138.7bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -175.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +36.3bn. Financing cash flow was positive +35.3bn.
CFO / net income was 2.55x.
After spending +167.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −90.1bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with leverage and liquidity remaining the main constraint, with interest coverage at 2.08x. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 1.23x and a thin cash buffer.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
2,653.0 | 2,612.4 | 2,697.4 | 2,801.5 | 2,323.8 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
2,411.3 | 2,339.2 | 2,434.3 | 2,496.2 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
241.7 | 273.1 | 263.1 | 305.3 | 212.2 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
15.8 | 18.1 | 28.9 | 34.2 | -37.5 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
18.1 | 13.4 | 18.4 | 20.7 | -15.4 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
169.0 | 173.3 | 150.1 | 138.2 | -118.5 |
|
Operating Profit
|
39.4 | 69.2 | 66.6 | 113.0 | 41.6 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
40.4 | 70.7 | 67.4 | 115.3 | 43.1 |
|
Net Income
|
31.9 | 53.3 | 53.0 | 89.6 | 37.1 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
31.9 | 53.3 | 53.0 | 89.6 | 37.1 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,490.00 | 2,490.00 | 2,473.00 | 4,185.00 | 1,733.00 |
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