MDF

Gỗ MDF VRG - Quảng Trị ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Leverage and liquidity require close discipline Debt/equity 0.51x
Price
5,000
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 29.07x
P/B 0.42x
EPS 172
BVPS 11,889
ROE 1.5%
ROA 0.9%
Profit Margin 0.9%
Asset Turnover 0.98x
Equity Mult. 1.61x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, MDF is going through a period of clear decline across multiple metrics at once — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. What still needs to be determined is whether the business can find a stabilization point in the near term, or whether current pressure has not yet run its course.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,028bn
−0.8%YoY
NET MARGIN
0.93%
−0.7ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 10bn
−43.1%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 269.3 323.0 239.3 196.6 227.6 289.1 280.7 239.3 215.3 264.0 186.2 170.8
Growth -17% +35% +22% -14% -21% +3% +17% +11% -18% +42% +9%
Net Income 2.1 4.9 1.2 1.4 0.7 2.4 7.6 6.1 -10.7 -5.3 -13.7 2.4
Net Margin 0.76% 1.51% 0.49% 0.74% 0.29% 0.83% 2.71% 2.55% -4.99% -2.01% -7.33% 1.38%

Drivers of MDF's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 13.5bn
Finance costs ↓ 6.2bn
Gross profit ↓ 17.9bn
Other profit ↓ 4.5bn
Financial income ↓ 2.5bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 1.9bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 3.1bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 0.7bn
Finance costs ↑ 0.5bn
Financial income ↓ 0.2bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.1bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 2.6% = 1.6% × 0.95 × 1.71
2026Q1 1.5% = 0.9% × 0.98 × 1.61

ROE fell from 2.6% to 1.5% — leverage weakened the most, though asset turnover still provided support.

Net margin: 0.9% -0.7pp Asset turnover: 0.98x +0.03x Leverage: 1.61x -0.09x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 0.93%, falling 0.7pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 1.7pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.1pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.3pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.4pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 0.93% −0.7pp
Gross Margin 8.53% −1.7pp
SG&A / Revenue 6.17% −1.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin
Capital Turnover 1.07x +0.02x
Average Invested Capital 960.2bn −29.4bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.62x equity, net debt at 0.47x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 192.7bn, roughly 18.2% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 9.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.9 days, DSO rose 1.3 days, and DPO fell 8.7 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to shorter payment timing — may reflect pressure from suppliers.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 101.9 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +1.3 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 39.7 days +1.3 days
Inventory 76.8 days −0.9 days
Payables 14.6 days −8.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 101.9 days +9.1 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.47x and interest coverage only at 0.51x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 6.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 325.5bn.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.51x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.47x −0.02x
Interest Coverage 0.51x +0.02x
Cash / Debt 6.3% +2.2pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI 1.48x −3.34x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 2.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 0.9bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +3.4bn. Financing cash flow was positive +1.9bn.

CFO / net income was 1.48x.

After spending +7.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +6.8bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 14.1bn −66.7bn
Cash Capex 7.3bn +4.0bn
FCF TTM +6.8bn −70.7bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with leverage and liquidity remaining the main constraint, with interest coverage at 0.51x. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 0.51x.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
986.5 1,024.3 784.7 1,287.9 1,119.5
Cost of Goods Sold
901.9 922.6 694.2 1,160.1 0.0
Gross Profit
84.6 101.7 90.5 127.7 218.7
Financial Expenses
17.5 26.9 38.1 31.4 -29.9
Selling Expenses
45.5 66.5 68.6 77.7 -58.9
General and Administrative Expenses
17.1 15.8 12.9 15.6 -16.2
Operating Profit
7.6 -1.9 -26.5 4.6 114.4
Profit Before Tax
8.2 3.4 -26.3 4.4 106.7
Net Income
8.2 3.4 -26.3 3.3 88.2
Profit Attributable to Parent
8.2 3.4 -26.3 3.3 88.2
Earnings per Share
148.00 62.00 -477.00 60.00 1,601.00

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