MDF
Gỗ MDF VRG - Quảng Trị ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, MDF is going through a period of clear decline across multiple metrics at once — margins have been expanding consistently over multiple periods. What still needs to be determined is whether the business can find a stabilization point in the near term, or whether current pressure has not yet run its course.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 269.3 | 323.0 | 239.3 | 196.6 | 227.6 | 289.1 | 280.7 | 239.3 | 215.3 | 264.0 | 186.2 | 170.8 |
| Growth | -17% | +35% | +22% | -14% | -21% | +3% | +17% | +11% | -18% | +42% | +9% | — |
| Net Income | 2.1 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 7.6 | 6.1 | -10.7 | -5.3 | -13.7 | 2.4 |
| Net Margin | 0.76% | 1.51% | 0.49% | 0.74% | 0.29% | 0.83% | 2.71% | 2.55% | -4.99% | -2.01% | -7.33% | 1.38% |
Drivers of MDF's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 2.6% to 1.5% — leverage weakened the most, though asset turnover still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to 0.93%, falling 0.7pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 1.7pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.1pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.3pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.4pp remained a drag).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.
Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.62x equity, net debt at 0.47x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 192.7bn, roughly 18.2% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 9.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.9 days, DSO rose 1.3 days, and DPO fell 8.7 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to shorter payment timing — may reflect pressure from suppliers.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 101.9 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +1.3 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.47x and interest coverage only at 0.51x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 6.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 325.5bn.
Watchpoints
Interest coverage is 0.51x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 2.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 0.9bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +3.4bn. Financing cash flow was positive +1.9bn.
CFO / net income was 1.48x.
After spending +7.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +6.8bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with leverage and liquidity remaining the main constraint, with interest coverage at 0.51x. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 0.51x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
986.5 | 1,024.3 | 784.7 | 1,287.9 | 1,119.5 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
901.9 | 922.6 | 694.2 | 1,160.1 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
84.6 | 101.7 | 90.5 | 127.7 | 218.7 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
17.5 | 26.9 | 38.1 | 31.4 | -29.9 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
45.5 | 66.5 | 68.6 | 77.7 | -58.9 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
17.1 | 15.8 | 12.9 | 15.6 | -16.2 |
|
Operating Profit
|
7.6 | -1.9 | -26.5 | 4.6 | 114.4 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
8.2 | 3.4 | -26.3 | 4.4 | 106.7 |
|
Net Income
|
8.2 | 3.4 | -26.3 | 3.3 | 88.2 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
8.2 | 3.4 | -26.3 | 3.3 | 88.2 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
148.00 | 62.00 | -477.00 | 60.00 | 1,601.00 |
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