BKG

Đầu tư BKG Việt Nam ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Capital efficiency remains weak ROE 1.41%, −0.35pp YoY
Price
2,650
Latest close
02 Jun 2026
P/E 20.70x
P/B 0.25x
EPS 128
BVPS 10,668
ROE 1.2%
ROA 1.1%
Profit Margin 3.9%
Asset Turnover 0.29x
Equity Mult. 1.07x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, BKG is going through a period of clear decline across multiple metrics at once — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

TTM REVENUE
VND 237bn
−10.2%YoY
NET MARGIN
3.96%
−1.3ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 9bn
−32.2%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-2.21x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 46.7 62.5 41.2 86.3 44.5 65.6 65.2 88.5 69.7 44.6 45.2 42.7
Growth -25% +52% -52% +94% -32% +1% -26% +27% +56% -1% +6%
Net Income 1.7 2.9 1.3 3.5 2.7 3.9 2.9 4.3 4.1 1.7 2.6 1.7
Net Margin 3.58% 4.56% 3.23% 4.07% 6.11% 5.94% 4.38% 4.92% 5.90% 3.88% 5.77% 3.91%

Drivers of BKG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↓ 2.4bn
Other profit ↓ 0.8bn
Selling expenses ↑ 0.8bn
Financial income ↓ 0.5bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 0.4bn
Selling expenses ↓ 0.4bn
Tax ↓ 0.2bn
Gross profit ↓ 2.0bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 1.7% = 5.2% × 0.31 × 1.05
2026Q1 1.2% = 4.0% × 0.29 × 1.07

ROE is broadly flat at 1.2% — the components are offsetting one another.

Net margin: 4.0% -1.3pp Asset turnover: 0.29x -0.01x Leverage: 1.07x +0.01x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin narrowed to 3.96%, falling 1.3pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 0.6pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 0.1pp (with lingering pressure from Other profit / Revenue fell 0.4pp and Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.4pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 3.96% −1.3pp
Gross Margin 10.41% +0.1pp
SG&A / Revenue 4.04% +0.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC narrowed to 1.41%, falling 0.3pp. That translates to 1.41 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 1.0pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; with invested capital easing slightly by 71bn.

Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.

Watchpoints

ROIC remains low

ROIC is currently 1.41% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC 1.41% −0.3pp
NOPAT Margin 4.49% −1.0pp
Capital Turnover 0.31x −0.01x
Average Invested Capital 753.8bn −70.5bn

Balance Sheet

Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.07x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.02x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 145.2bn, roughly 17.8% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 29.9bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −24.8bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +3.3bn
Payables decreased → lower CFO: −8.4bn

Working Capital Efficiency

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 47.5 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 41.0 days, DSO rose 9.6 days, and DPO rose 3.1 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 293.8 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +9.6 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 95.0 days +9.6 days
Inventory 224.8 days +41.0 days
Payables 26.0 days +3.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 293.8 days +47.5 days

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.02x and interest coverage at 8.57x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 160.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 27.6bn.

Watchpoints

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.02x −0.03x
Interest Coverage 8.57x −4.25x
Cash / Debt 160.7% +92.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -2.21x +3.94x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -52.3bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 46.2bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +6.1bn. Financing cash flow was positive +2.7bn.

CFO / net income was -2.21x.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 20.2bn +63.3bn
Cash Capex
FCF TTM

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -2.21x. The next item to monitor is cash generation still needs confirmation. The main risk still sits in capital efficiency remains weak, with ROIC at 1.4%.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -2.21x.

Watchpoint: Cash generation still needs confirmation.

Key risk: Capital efficiency remains weak.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
233.8 288.7 186.1 385.0 366.7
Cost of Goods Sold
207.6 260.6 161.8 343.0 0.0
Gross Profit
26.2 28.1 24.3 42.0 39.1
Financial Expenses
1.6 1.3 1.7 2.4 -4.0
Selling Expenses
4.8 2.9 3.7 3.3 -2.7
General and Administrative Expenses
6.0 5.4 6.5 6.1 -4.6
Operating Profit
14.9 19.4 14.2 32.2 27.9
Profit Before Tax
13.2 18.5 13.6 31.8 27.0
Net Income
10.3 14.9 10.8 26.3 22.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
10.1 14.6 10.5 25.9 22.3
Earnings per Share
141.00 208.00 155.00 471.00 697.00

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