MCP
In và Bao bì Mỹ Châu ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, MCP posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — profit is at an all-time high. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 88.6 | 116.7 | 111.9 | 100.4 | 89.4 | 106.0 | 117.4 | 125.2 | 118.1 | 125.7 | 130.4 | 120.6 |
| Growth | -24% | +4% | +11% | +12% | -16% | -10% | -6% | +6% | -6% | -4% | +8% | — |
| Net Income | -2.2 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 12.5 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 8.2 | 6.5 |
| Net Margin | -2.47% | 6.37% | 1.12% | 0.99% | 0.88% | 11.77% | 3.60% | 4.76% | 5.62% | 1.55% | 6.27% | 5.38% |
Drivers of MCP's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 8.8% to 2.7% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to 1.80%, losing 3.6pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 1.5pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.3pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 1.6pp remained a drag).
Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 1.5pp, financial result still accounts for 122.5% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.
Balance Sheet
Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.18x equity, net debt at 0.04x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 84.8bn, roughly 26.1% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 39.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 16.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 5.3 days, DSO fell 9.9 days, and DPO rose 1.1 days.
All 3 drivers (collection, inventory, payables) are improving — working capital turnover is strengthening across the board.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 100.6 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 50.3bn due to capex of 0.7bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.04x and interest coverage at 4.50x.
Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.
Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -24.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 52.1bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +27.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +7.2bn.
CFO / net income was -6.62x.
After spending +0.7bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −50.3bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 3.6 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 114.5%.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 114.5% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -6.62x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 1.80% after a 3.6pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
418.1 | 466.6 | 492.8 | 514.6 | 431.3 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
377.0 | 411.1 | 432.6 | 462.3 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
41.1 | 55.5 | 60.2 | 52.3 | 63.3 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
2.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 6.6 | -3.7 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
11.8 | 14.6 | 15.5 | 16.7 | -16.3 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
28.8 | 21.9 | 20.0 | 16.6 | -18.0 |
|
Operating Profit
|
11.2 | 37.6 | 22.8 | 13.9 | 28.1 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
11.9 | 37.8 | 22.3 | 13.9 | 28.4 |
|
Net Income
|
9.3 | 30.1 | 17.4 | 11.3 | 22.6 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
9.3 | 30.1 | 17.4 | 11.3 | 22.6 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
466.00 | 1,667.00 | 1,159.00 | 749.00 | 1,500.00 |
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