MCP

In và Bao bì Mỹ Châu ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin 1.80%, −3.56pp YoY
Price
27,500
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 71.99x
P/B 2.00x
EPS 382
BVPS 13,755
ROE 2.7%
ROA 2.3%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Asset Turnover 1.28x
Equity Mult. 1.19x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, MCP posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — profit is at an all-time high. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

TTM REVENUE
VND 418bn
−4.6%YoY
NET MARGIN
1.80%
−3.6ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 7bn
−68.0%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
114.5%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 88.6 116.7 111.9 100.4 89.4 106.0 117.4 125.2 118.1 125.7 130.4 120.6
Growth -24% +4% +11% +12% -16% -10% -6% +6% -6% -4% +8%
Net Income -2.2 7.4 1.3 1.0 0.8 12.5 4.2 6.0 6.6 1.9 8.2 6.5
Net Margin -2.47% 6.37% 1.12% 0.99% 0.88% 11.77% 3.60% 4.76% 5.62% 1.55% 6.27% 5.38%

Drivers of MCP's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Selling expenses ↓ 2.7bn
Gross profit ↓ 8.3bn
Financial income ↓ 7.0bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 6.3bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Financial income ↑ 0.9bn
Selling expenses ↓ 0.7bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 2.6bn
Gross profit ↓ 2.2bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 8.8% = 5.4% × 1.37 × 1.20
2026Q1 2.7% = 1.8% × 1.28 × 1.19

ROE fell from 8.8% to 2.7% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.

Net margin: 1.8% -3.6pp Asset turnover: 1.28x -0.10x Leverage: 1.19x -0.01x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to 1.80%, losing 3.6pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 1.5pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.3pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 1.6pp remained a drag).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 1.80% −3.6pp
Gross Margin 9.31% −1.5pp
SG&A / Revenue 9.86% +1.3pp
Non-core / Revenue 3.01% −1.5pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 1.5pp, financial result still accounts for 122.5% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Balance Sheet

Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.18x equity, net debt at 0.04x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 84.8bn, roughly 26.1% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 39.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −32.8bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −19.1bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +12.4bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 16.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 5.3 days, DSO fell 9.9 days, and DPO rose 1.1 days.

All 3 drivers (collection, inventory, payables) are improving — working capital turnover is strengthening across the board.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 100.6 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 54.4 days −9.9 days
Inventory 67.5 days −5.3 days
Payables 21.3 days +1.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 100.6 days −16.4 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 50.3bn due to capex of 0.7bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.04x and interest coverage at 4.50x.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.04x +0.05x
Interest Coverage 4.50x −16.97x
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI -6.62x −6.62x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -24.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 52.1bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +27.2bn. Financing cash flow was negative +7.2bn.

CFO / net income was -6.62x.

After spending +0.7bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −50.3bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 49.7bn −49.7bn
Cash Capex 0.7bn +0.7bn
FCF TTM −50.3bn −50.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 3.6 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 114.5%.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 114.5% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -6.62x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 1.80% after a 3.6pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
418.1 466.6 492.8 514.6 431.3
Cost of Goods Sold
377.0 411.1 432.6 462.3 0.0
Gross Profit
41.1 55.5 60.2 52.3 63.3
Financial Expenses
2.1 1.7 2.7 6.6 -3.7
Selling Expenses
11.8 14.6 15.5 16.7 -16.3
General and Administrative Expenses
28.8 21.9 20.0 16.6 -18.0
Operating Profit
11.2 37.6 22.8 13.9 28.1
Profit Before Tax
11.9 37.8 22.3 13.9 28.4
Net Income
9.3 30.1 17.4 11.3 22.6
Profit Attributable to Parent
9.3 30.1 17.4 11.3 22.6
Earnings per Share
466.00 1,667.00 1,159.00 749.00 1,500.00

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