RDP
Rạng Đông Holding ·UPCOM ·2024Q2
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2024Q2 basis, RDP posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.
| Metric | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 | Q1'23 | Q4'22 | Q3'22 | Q2'22 | Q1'22 | Q4'21 | Q3'21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 246.6 | 506.2 | 621.2 | 614.1 | 776.2 | 580.8 | 766.5 | 828.9 | 554.3 | 690.8 | 580.6 | 679.8 |
| Growth | -51% | -19% | +1% | -21% | +34% | -24% | -8% | +50% | -20% | +19% | -15% | — |
| Net Income | -65.7 | 1.1 | -15.3 | 30.3 | 12.2 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 6.9 | -1.1 | 14.0 |
| Net Margin | -26.63% | 0.22% | -2.46% | 4.93% | 1.57% | 0.10% | 0.55% | 0.21% | 1.19% | 1.00% | -0.19% | 2.06% |
Drivers of RDP's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 3.1% to -10.5% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to -2.49%, losing 3.1pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 1.6pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.2pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 1.0pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 1.2pp remained a drag).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2023Q2 -> 2024Q2
Watchpoints
Margin support from financial result remains high (212.0% of PBT) — sustainability should be monitored.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to -0.69%, losing 1.6pp. That translates to -0.69 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 1.2pp and capital turnover fell 0.49x, with invested capital easing slightly by 80bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.
Watchpoints
ROIC is currently -0.69% — below the typical cost-of-capital threshold; worth tracking whether upcoming periods can rise above this level.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2023Q2 -> 2024Q2
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 2.62x equity, net debt at 4.34x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 879.0bn, roughly 35.7% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 161.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2023Q2 -> 2024Q2
Working Capital Efficiency
The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 53.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 52.7 days, DSO rose 15.5 days, and DPO rose 14.5 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.
Watchpoints
CCC stands at 171.4 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.
DSO increased by +15.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2023Q2 -> 2024Q2
Is financial risk significant?
High leverage combined with negative operating cash flow — this area needs close monitoring.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 4.34x and interest coverage only at -0.14x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 83.9% of total debt, cash equals 1.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,232.3bn.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 4.34x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is -0.14x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2023Q2 -> 2024Q2
Cash Flow
High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -93.5bn in 2022, against investing cash flow of -93.6bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +187.1bn. Financing cash flow was positive +207.5bn.
CFO / net income was -0.54x.
After spending +7.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +17.7bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2023Q2 -> 2024Q2
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is cash generation. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 3.1 pp.
Improvement: cash generation is recovering, with trailing-12M FCF improving by 210.1bn versus the same period last year.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 157.3% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -0.54x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -2.49% after a 3.1pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
2,840.5 | 2,711.8 | 2,745.5 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
2,612.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
228.5 | 225.7 | 196.8 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
103.2 | -95.7 | -98.3 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
36.9 | -29.0 | -33.6 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
77.7 | -66.9 | -64.7 |
|
Operating Profit
|
22.7 | 39.3 | 9.5 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
21.2 | 55.2 | 12.2 |
|
Net Income
|
12.5 | 40.3 | 6.6 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
8.0 | 35.6 | 4.3 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
163.00 | 747.21 | 196.00 |
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