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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

VUA

Chứng khoán Stanley Brothers

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲▲ TRADING-LED STRONG

See what is changing ↓
EPS TTM
283
BVPS
9,746
P/E
50.5x
P/B
1.5x
ROAE TTM
2.2%
PBT Margin
45.5%
Market price
14,300
16 Oct 2026

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 24.5bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 45.5%, showing a relatively clean and sufficiently thick earnings base. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 73.4% after expanding by +13.3pp, while lending is at 7.5%; brokerage and services are still 19.2% but have narrowed by 13.8pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 99.9% while Leverage is about 0.00x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
PBT18.010.8-4.1-0.2-3.2-17.8-5.60.1
Trading Share90.4%96.9%2.3%——0.8%59.9%78.5%
Lending Share2.9%0.0%7.9%48.6%23.1%20.9%3.7%4.1%
Service & Brokerage Share6.7%3.1%89.8%51.4%76.9%78.3%36.4%17.4%
PBT Margin53.75%62.54%-374.90%-7.62%-167.46%-427.03%-86.41%0.70%
Equity / Assets99.9%91.2%99.6%99.4%99.4%99.4%99.0%99.4%
Leverage0.00x0.10x0.00x0.01x0.01x0.01x0.01x0.01x

Revenue

33bn

Net income

18bn

Net margin

53.75%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A broker's statements are read with the industry's own questions: revenue mix, balance sheet, funding.

01

Is revenue sustainable?

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

●

Where are current earnings coming from?

Revenue remains tilted toward trading, but the quality of that engine still needs to be read alongside concentration and the real contribution from brokerage and services.

Trading currently accounts for about 73.4%, lending is at 7.5%, brokerage is around 15.5%, other services about 3.7%, brokerage plus services together are 19.2%.

Trading is still the main engine, but brokerage and services have become large enough to start providing a more tangible diversification layer.

Revaluation is currently only a small component and not a headline driver.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Securities business revenue
53.8bn
+164.1% YoY
PBT margin
45.5%
Trading Share
73.4%
+13.3pp
Brokerage Share
15.5%
−7.5pp

Annual YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

▲▲

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Profitability currently looks relatively clean, with margins and returns strong enough not to rely heavily on unusual support.

Pre-tax margin is currently 45.5%, Return on assets is about 2.2%.

Headline profit is still fairly readable because returns are not being materially distorted by less durable support.

Profit appears cleaner and less dependent on revaluation.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

PBT margin
45.5%
Net margin
45.5%
ROAA
2.2%
ROAE
2.2%

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

02

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

▼

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.

The margin book is about 3.7% of assets, liquid assets around 7.2%, equity roughly 99.9%.

A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Margin book / Assets
3.7%
−4.0pp
Liquid assets / Assets
7.2%
−23.4pp
Equity / Assets
99.9%
+0.6pp
Liabilities / Equity
0.00x

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

03

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

●

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Capital and funding posture looks more balanced for now, though the effective thickness of liquidity buffers still needs monitoring.

Equity currently equals 99.9% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.00x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 1.3% of assets, cash covers roughly 5.56x of short-term borrowings.

Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.

When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Equity / Assets
99.9%
+0.6pp
Liabilities / Equity
0.00x
Short-term borrowings / Assets
1.3%
Liquid assets / Assets
7.2%
−23.4pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

Overall, VUA is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, making it cleaner than a pure trading-led case.

  • Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether brokerage and service income can maintain a clear diversification role against dependence on trading and margin income.

  2. Track whether the current return profile can hold without requiring even greater earnings concentration.

  3. Track whether the prop book makes the balance sheet more sensitive to valuation swings in coming periods.

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