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UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

VGV

Tổng Công ty Tư vấn Xây dựng Việt Nam - CTCP

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲ Slightly positive

Trailing net profit reached 51.9bn, rose 11.3bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit and higher financial income. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher administrative expenses, higher minority interests, and higher tax. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
36.11x
P/B
3.64x
EPS
1,451
BVPS
14,383
ROE
10.3%
ROA
4.0%
Market price
52,400
12 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VGV is showing a few mildly positive signals versus the same period, though the magnitude is narrow — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. The direction is leaning toward improvement, but the next test will be whether the magnitude widens enough to become a trend.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Financial income
  3. Administrative expenses
  4. Minority interests
  5. Tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue357.2437.1248.6245.8177.4294.2170.8129.7
LNST21.013.716.815.98.716.012.112.8
Net margin5.88%3.14%6.75%6.48%4.93%5.45%7.09%9.89%

Revenue

357bn

Net income

21bn

Net margin

5.88%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

What is driving the margin?

▼

Net margin narrowed to 5.23%, falling 1.2pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 1.4pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 0.8pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.1pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.9pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2024Q4: 294.2bn

2025Q1: 177.4bn

2025Q2: 245.8bn

2025Q3: 248.6bn

2025Q4: 437.1bn

2026Q1: 357.2bn

Net Margin
5.23%
−1.2pp
Gross Margin
16.99%
−1.4pp
SG&A / Revenue
12.24%
−0.8pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 16.0% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▲

ROIC expanded to 15.95%, rising 4.3pp. That translates to 15.95 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is capital turnover rose 1.24x — the business is generating more revenue per unit of capital, with NOPAT margin narrowed 1.2pp; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

Balance Sheet

●

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.78x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.22x equity.

Customer advances 464.1bn (as of 2026Q1) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances rose 34.31% YoY — strong sales locking in future revenue.

Customer advances: 464.1bn · YoY +118.6bn · QoQ +25.2bn

Locked-in revenue: ~1.44x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 161.60%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q1: 287.2bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 20.3bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward near-delivery — the revenue-recognition cycle is approaching.

Near-delivery (ST): 287.2bn (93.40%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 20.3bn (6.60%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q1, net debt 114.8bn vs project value 307.5bn — ratio −37.34%; the company is in a net-cash position.

Net debt / project value: −37.34%

Inventory ended the period at 263.6bn, roughly 19.3% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 139.0bn of cash, mainly thanks to higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables and higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 5.2% -1.2pp
Asset turnover 1.00x +0.32x
Financial leverage 2.57x +0.24x
ROE 13.4% +3.2pp

ROE rose from 10.2% to 13.4% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin moving in the opposite direction.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 152.1bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at −0.22x and interest coverage at 53.32x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 421.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 35.7bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Net Debt / Equity
−0.22x
−0.14x
Interest Coverage
53.32x
−56.27x
Cash / Debt
421.9%
+218.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
100.0%
0.0pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

▲

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 152.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -53.5bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +98.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +41.3bn.

CFO / net income was 3,12 lần.

After spending +6.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +155.8bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about −0.22x. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 27.2%.

  • Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.22x of equity.
  • Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 3.12x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 27.2% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +66,9% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 5.23% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 152.1bn in 2025.

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