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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 2/2026

NHA

Tổng Công ty Đầu tư Phát triển Nhà và Đô thị Nam Hà Nội

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 21.8bn, fell 48.5bn compared with the same period last year. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower gross profit. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
14.51x
P/B
0.62x
EPS
491
BVPS
11,554
ROE
3.3%
ROA
2.1%
Market price
7,130
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, NHA posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — profit is near a multi-period low. The key watch now is how long the business needs to stabilize its profit base.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue4.814.325.597.375.396.640.624.7
LNST-9.00.72.028.114.234.110.111.9
Net margin-190.37%4.85%8.03%28.87%18.89%35.29%24.84%48.08%

Revenue

5bn

Net income

-9bn

Net margin

-190.37%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

Revenue Growth

▼▼

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue declined 40.2% year on year — but the quarterly pace is slowing (+294% → −94%).

1 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
142bn
−40.2%
Latest quarter YoY
−94%
slowing

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to 15.35%, losing 14.3pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 8.4pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 3.5pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 2.9pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2025Q1: 96.6bn

2025Q2: 75.3bn

2025Q3: 97.3bn

2025Q4: 25.5bn

2026Q1: 14.3bn

2026Q2: 4.8bn

Net Margin
15.35%
−14.3pp
Gross Margin
33.92%
−8.4pp
SG&A / Revenue
7.22%
+3.5pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

▼

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 158.6bn against investing cash flow of -263.2bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was negative +104.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +144.6bn.

CFO / net income was 3,62 lần.

After spending +372.9bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −294.0bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 95% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at −22.3%, other profit at +4.6% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
4.6%
low
Net financial / PBT
−22.3%
Other profit / PBT
4.6%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 15.4% -14.3pp
Asset turnover 0.14x -0.19x
Financial leverage 1.59x +0.17x
ROE 3.3% -10.2pp

ROE fell from 13.5% to 3.3% — asset turnover weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 294.0bn due to capex of 372.9bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

●

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.46x and interest coverage at 3.48x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 44.8% of total debt, cash equals 7.8% of debt, and total debt stands at 375.6bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Net Debt / Equity
0.46x
+0.22x
Interest Coverage
3.48x
−16.89x
Cash / Debt
7.8%
+3.9pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
44.8%
−25.9pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 7.8%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Balance Sheet

▲

Capital structure is notably light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 0.73x equity, net debt at 0.46x equity.

Customer advances 39.0bn (as of 2026Q2) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances rose 516.71% YoY — strong sales locking in future revenue.

Customer advances: 39.0bn · YoY +32.6bn · QoQ −3.7bn

Locked-in revenue: ~1.10x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 75.43%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q2: 51.7bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 948.6bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward construction-in-progress — more investment is needed before revenue arrives.

Near-delivery (ST): 51.7bn (5.16%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 948.6bn (94.84%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q2, net debt 346.2bn vs project value 1,000.3bn — ratio 34.62%; the project pipeline backs net debt 2.89x over.

Net debt / project value: 34.62%

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 59.2bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 14.3 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency.

  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 15.35% after a 14.3pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue stabilizes after a −40,2% YoY decline or keeps falling.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 15.35% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 158.6bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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