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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 1/2026

NHA

Tổng Công ty Đầu tư Phát triển Nhà và Đô thị Nam Hà Nội

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 45.1bn, fell 40.3bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower tax. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower gross profit. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
7.72x
P/B
0.61x
EPS
924
BVPS
11,694
ROE
6.9%
ROA
4.5%
Market price
7,130
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, NHA is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — profit is at an all-time high. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Tax
  2. Gross profit
  3. Other
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue14.325.597.375.396.640.624.760.8
LNST0.72.028.114.234.110.111.929.3
Net margin4.85%8.03%28.87%18.89%35.29%24.84%48.08%48.27%

Revenue

14bn

Net income

1bn

Net margin

4.85%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to 21.21%, losing 17.1pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 17.1pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.5pp (with lingering pressure from Other profit / Revenue fell 1.6pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2024Q4: 40.6bn

2025Q1: 96.6bn

2025Q2: 75.3bn

2025Q3: 97.3bn

2025Q4: 25.5bn

2026Q1: 14.3bn

Net Margin
21.21%
−17.1pp
Gross Margin
35.34%
−17.1pp
SG&A / Revenue
5.00%
+1.5pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 5.4% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼

ROIC fell to 5.37%, losing 8.6pp. That translates to 5.37 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 15.9pp and capital turnover fell 0.12x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 261bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

Balance Sheet

▲

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is notably light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 0.73x equity, net debt at 0.40x equity.

Customer advances 42.6bn (as of 2026Q1) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances rose 20.24% YoY — strong sales locking in future revenue.

Customer advances: 42.6bn · YoY +7.2bn · QoQ −0.3bn

Locked-in revenue: ~0.80x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 85.15%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q1: 50.1bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 876.7bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward construction-in-progress — more investment is needed before revenue arrives.

Near-delivery (ST): 50.1bn (5.40%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 876.7bn (94.60%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q1, net debt 299.9bn vs project value 926.7bn — ratio 32.36%; the project pipeline backs net debt 3.09x over.

Net debt / project value: 32.36%

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 49.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 21.2% -17.1pp
Asset turnover 0.21x -0.10x
Financial leverage 1.54x +0.08x
ROE 6.9% -10.3pp

ROE fell from 17.2% to 6.9% — net margin weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 220.9bn due to capex of 312.4bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.40x and interest coverage at 9.40x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 51.7% of total debt, cash equals 12.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 340.7bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 12.0%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Net Debt / Equity
0.40x
+0.18x
Interest Coverage
9.40x
−16.72x
Cash / Debt
12.0%
+6.0pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
51.7%
−33.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

▼

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 158.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -263.2bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +104.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +144.6bn.

CFO / net income was 2,03 lần.

After spending +312.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −220.9bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 17.1 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 5.4%. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.03x.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.03x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 21.21% after a 17.1pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Ability to stabilize revenue after a −4,6% YoY decline.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 21.21% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 158.6bn in 2025.

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