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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

CFV

Cà phê Thắng Lợi

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 14.2bn, fell 23.4bn compared with the same period last year. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher finance costs, lower gross profit, and weaker other profit. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
19.11x
P/B
1.33x
EPS
1,125
BVPS
16,175
ROE
7.3%
ROA
3.4%
Market price
21,500
16 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, CFV is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Finance costs
  2. Gross profit
  3. Other profit
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue116.976.222.3191.590.121.67.199.5
LNST1.415.0-2.70.60.615.22.918.9
Net margin1.18%19.66%-12.15%0.30%0.69%70.47%41.03%18.99%

Revenue

117bn

Net income

1bn

Net margin

1.18%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to 3.50%, losing 13.8pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 13.2pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 2.0pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 3.5pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 2.6pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Net Margin
3.50%
−13.8pp
Gross Margin
10.74%
−13.2pp
SG&A / Revenue
4.20%
−2.0pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

Balance Sheet

●

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 0.71x equity, net debt at 0.95x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 103.7bn, roughly 29.8% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Efficiency

▲▲

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 135.6 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 126.1 days, DSO fell 10.9 days, and DPO fell 1.5 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 222.4 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 3.5% -13.8pp
Asset turnover 0.96x +0.31x
Financial leverage 2.16x +0.17x
ROE 7.3% -15.2pp

ROE fell from 22.5% to 7.3% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 209.5bn due to capex of 23.8bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.95x and interest coverage only at 1.72x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 91.1% of total debt, cash equals 0.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 194.3bn.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.72x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 91.1% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Net Debt / Equity
0.95x
−0.24x
Interest Coverage
1.72x
−14.82x
Cash / Debt
0.1%
−0.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
91.1%
−8.9pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

▼▼

Operating cash flow reached -105.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 13.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +92.2bn. Financing cash flow was positive +92.2bn.

CFO / net income was −13,05 lần.

After spending +23.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −209.5bn.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 17.2%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 13.8 pp.

  • Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 17.2% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at −13.05x.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 3.50% after a 13.8pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +86,4% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 3.50% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at -105.2bn in 2025.

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