BFC
Phân bón Bình Điền ·HOSE ·2026Q1
▼ Under pressure
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, BFC is maintaining revenue, but margins are compressing slightly — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,345.4 | 2,466.2 | 2,059.5 | 3,534.6 | 2,554.3 | 2,470.8 | 2,031.0 | 2,916.0 | 1,940.4 | 2,202.9 | 2,708.9 | 2,334.6 |
| Growth | +36% | +20% | -42% | +38% | +3% | +22% | -30% | +50% | -12% | -19% | +16% | — |
| Net Income | 142.2 | 68.3 | 73.3 | 147.5 | 111.1 | 99.9 | 64.3 | 190.3 | 73.5 | 50.7 | 58.7 | 65.8 |
| Net Margin | 4.25% | 2.77% | 3.56% | 4.17% | 4.35% | 4.04% | 3.17% | 6.53% | 3.79% | 2.30% | 2.17% | 2.82% |
Drivers of BFC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 31.7% to 25.6% — leverage weakened the most, though asset turnover still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to 3.78%, falling 0.9pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 2.9pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 1.9pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.1pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 0.0pp).
The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 17.87%, losing 1.9pp. That translates to 17.87 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Although capital turnover rose 0.49x, NOPAT margin narrowed 0.9pp still pulled ROIC lower, with invested capital holding roughly steady.
Pressure came from the margin side — core operations are weakening, not just a temporary asset-management issue.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.34x equity, net debt at 0.55x equity.
Inventory ended the period at 2,283.0bn, roughly 57.5% of total assets.
Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 746.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 8.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 8.6 days, DSO rose 0.5 days, and DPO rose 0.6 days.
Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.
Watchpoints
DSO increased by +0.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 322.9bn due to capex of 77.1bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.55x and interest coverage at 6.03x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 99.7% of total debt, cash equals 25.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,311.8bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 99.7% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow reached -731.6bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -69.8bn.
Post-investment cash flow was negative +801.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +425.0bn.
CFO / net income was -0.72x.
After spending +77.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −322.9bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at -0.72x. The main risk still sits in self-funded cash generation remains weak.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at -0.72x.
Key risk: self-funded cash generation remains weak, with trailing-12M FCF still at 322.9bn.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
10,616.5 | 9,358.2 | 8,588.3 | 8,581.4 | 7,708.1 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
9,291.2 | 7,964.8 | 7,680.2 | 7,693.2 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
1,325.3 | 1,393.5 | 908.1 | 888.1 | 898.3 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
72.8 | 88.8 | 140.4 | 145.4 | -87.2 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
565.7 | 589.7 | 423.7 | 346.2 | -285.1 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
217.5 | 211.7 | 165.6 | 164.3 | -164.4 |
|
Operating Profit
|
492.9 | 531.2 | 199.3 | 246.2 | 368.8 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
494.8 | 530.6 | 196.2 | 245.6 | 371.4 |
|
Net Income
|
400.2 | 425.6 | 134.8 | 193.5 | 296.7 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
309.9 | 357.0 | 148.2 | 149.8 | 219.7 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
4,878.00 | 5,620.00 | 2,334.00 | 2,358.00 | 3,458.00 |
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