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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 1/2026

VRE

Vincom Retail

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲ Showing improvement

Trailing net profit reached 6,874.8bn, rose 2,684.2bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher financial income. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher deferred tax. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
7.76x
P/B
1.07x
EPS
2,969
BVPS
21,459
ROE
14.8%
ROA
11.8%
Market price
23,050
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VRE has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — profit is at an all-time high. However, profit is significantly supported by non-core sources and operating cash flow is not yet positive — the improvement signal needs more time to confirm.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Financial income
  2. Other
  3. Deferred tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue2,293.62,312.32,251.02,142.62,131.42,128.22,077.72,478.6
LNST1,606.32,658.81,376.41,233.31,177.41,085.3906.41,021.5
Net margin70.03%114.99%61.15%57.56%55.24%51.00%43.62%41.21%

Revenue

2,294bn

Net income

1,606bn

Net margin

70.03%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

What is driving the margin?

▲▲

Net margin expanded to 76.39%, rising 28.9pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 1.7pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 0.2pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 32.0pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.6pp).

Most of the margin increase comes from non-core items — core operations have not kept pace, this is a margin expansion to watch carefully.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2024Q4: 2,128.2bn

2025Q1: 2,131.4bn

2025Q2: 2,142.6bn

2025Q3: 2,251.0bn

2025Q4: 2,312.3bn

2026Q1: 2,293.6bn

Net Margin
76.39%
+28.9pp
Gross Margin
53.15%
−0.2pp
SG&A / Revenue
9.06%
−1.7pp
Non-core / Revenue
49.49%
+32.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 51.8% of PBT and lifted net margin by 32.6pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 13.3% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▲

ROIC expanded to 13.28%, rising 4.2pp. That translates to 13.28 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 28.3pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; while invested capital rose by 6,315bn.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

Balance Sheet

▼

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is notably light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 0.27x equity, net debt at 0.05x equity.

Customer advances 82.3bn (as of 2026Q1) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances fell 47.24% while TTM revenue rose — a sign of recent handover (advances converting into revenue), positive rather than a sales slowdown.

Customer advances: 82.3bn · YoY −73.7bn · QoQ −226.8bn

Locked-in revenue: ~0.04x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 37.07%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q1: 222.1bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 231.2bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward construction-in-progress — more investment is needed before revenue arrives.

Near-delivery (ST): 222.1bn (49.01%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 231.2bn (50.99%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q1, net debt 2,600.3bn vs project value 453.3bn — ratio 573.66% — net debt is 5.74x the project pipeline, far beyond the asset layer that should back it. Leverage sits in high-risk territory; repayment depends on sources outside the current pipeline.

Net debt / project value: 573.66%

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 7,018.3bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 76.4% +28.9pp
Asset turnover 0.15x -0.01x
Financial leverage 1.26x -0.02x
ROE 14.8% +4.6pp

ROE rose from 10.2% to 14.8% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover and leverage moving in the opposite direction.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 6,709.0bn due to capex of 3,031.4bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.05x and interest coverage at 7.87x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 0.3% of total debt, cash equals 59.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 6,389.0bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Net Debt / Equity
0.05x
+0.01x
Interest Coverage
7.87x
+2.78x
Cash / Debt
59.3%
−4.6pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
0.3%
−43.8pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

▼

Operating cash flow reached -3,262.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 3,007.8bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +254.4bn. Financing cash flow was positive +1,804.4bn.

CFO / net income was −0,53 lần.

After spending +3,031.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −6,709.0bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 28.9 pp. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated.

  • Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 76.39% after expanding 28.9pp versus the same period last year.
  • Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 45.7% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at −0.53x.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +2,1% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 76.39% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at -3,262.2bn in 2025.

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