VNF
Vinafreight ·HNX ·2026Q1
▼ Under pressure
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VNF is declining across multiple metrics versus the same period, suggesting current pressure is not coming from just one side — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. What remains unclear is whether the business can stabilize before this trend deepens.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 272.9 | 512.3 | 416.9 | 417.1 | 310.8 | 484.7 | 497.0 | 484.7 | 303.8 | 404.5 | 283.7 | 266.5 |
| Growth | -47% | +23% | -0% | +34% | -36% | -2% | +3% | +60% | -25% | +43% | +6% | — |
| Net Income | 10.8 | 14.6 | 19.1 | 19.5 | 12.0 | 15.4 | 35.4 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 10.5 | -2.0 | 3.1 |
| Net Margin | 3.96% | 2.86% | 4.57% | 4.68% | 3.86% | 3.18% | 7.13% | 3.31% | 2.62% | 2.60% | -0.71% | 1.16% |
Drivers of VNF's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 13.8% to 10.4% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.
Is the profit sustainable?
Start with profitability and earnings quality.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin narrowed to 3.95%, falling 0.5pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 3.5pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 0.4pp (with additional support from Other profit / Revenue rose 0.6pp and Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.1pp).
Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Watchpoints
Profit includes a contribution from financial result (30.0% of PBT), not dominant but worth monitoring across periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC fell to 11.61%, losing 5.6pp. That translates to 11.61 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 0.9pp and capital turnover fell 0.55x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC declined — the balance sheet shows how capital is being deployed. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.55x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.20x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 22.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 3.6 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 0.4 days, DSO fell 2.4 days, and DPO fell 5.6 days.
Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to shorter payment timing — may reflect pressure from suppliers.
Watchpoints
CCC is up by +3.6 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.
DIO increased by +0.4 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 20.9bn.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.20x and interest coverage at 16.44x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 856.4% of debt, and total debt stands at 16.6bn.
Watchpoints
Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 20.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 33.4bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +54.3bn. Financing cash flow was negative +70.6bn.
CFO / net income was 0.75x.
Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.
Cash capex or FCF data is incomplete, so the cash-conversion view is only partial.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with some core pressures remaining the main constraint. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 17.2%. The main offsetting support comes from balance-sheet flexibility, with net cash/equity at about -0.20x.
Improvement: the balance sheet remains flexible, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.20x of equity.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 17.2% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at 0.75x.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
1,656.9 | 1,773.1 | 1,123.0 | 2,101.7 | 4,895.9 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
1,545.4 | 1,594.7 | 1,043.3 | 1,993.3 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
111.5 | 178.3 | 79.6 | 108.4 | 195.2 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
6.8 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 21.2 | -16.1 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
22.9 | 40.8 | 26.2 | 28.2 | -53.3 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
21.1 | 22.2 | 21.9 | 26.0 | -22.2 |
|
Operating Profit
|
82.1 | 100.3 | 18.3 | 39.3 | 107.7 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
85.8 | 101.7 | 18.4 | 40.0 | 107.7 |
|
Net Income
|
68.3 | 73.0 | 8.8 | 26.0 | 78.5 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
61.5 | 59.9 | 5.5 | 20.5 | 66.6 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
1,941.00 | 1,889.00 | 174.00 | 648.00 | 3,103.00 |
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