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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 2/2026

EMS

Tổng Công ty Chuyển phát nhanh Bưu Điện - CTCP

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▲ Showing improvement

Trailing net profit reached 90.3bn, rose 28.7bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower administrative expenses, higher gross profit, and higher financial income. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher tax and higher selling expenses. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
4.98x
P/B
1.32x
EPS
4,300
BVPS
16,214
ROE
28.0%
ROA
11.4%
Market price
21,400
15 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, EMS has not accelerated revenue, but profitability is improving more visibly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. The positive sign is better operations, though this signal only becomes convincing if accompanied by a revenue recovery.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Administrative expenses
  2. Gross profit
  3. Financial income
  4. Tax
  5. Selling expenses
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue594.8480.7528.8441.2484.7518.9613.9435.1
LNST26.115.228.121.010.210.223.817.4
Net margin4.38%3.15%5.31%4.76%2.11%1.97%3.87%4.01%

Revenue

595bn

Net income

26bn

Net margin

4.38%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

Revenue Growth

●

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue declined 0.3% year on year — not from a single spike: quarterly growth stepped up from +1% to +23%.

2 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
2,046bn
−0.3%
Latest quarter YoY
+23%
accelerating

What is driving the margin?

▲

Net margin edged up to 4.41%, rising 1.4pp. The main driver is SG&A / Revenue fell 1.1pp and Gross margin rose 0.4pp, moving in line with the stronger net margin (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.3pp).

The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.

Net Margin
4.41%
+1.4pp
Gross Margin
15.12%
+0.4pp
SG&A / Revenue
10.08%
−1.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

▼

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 57.8bn against investing cash flow of -19.4bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +38.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +20.8bn.

CFO / net income was 0,70 lần.

After spending +7.9bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +55.7bn.

Earnings Quality

●

How much income is non-core?

Non-core income makes up 10.4% of pre-tax profit — worth monitoring.

Within that, net financial result at +9.9%, other profit at +0.5% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
10.4%
moderate
Net financial / PBT
9.9%
Other profit / PBT
0.5%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

Working Capital Efficiency

●

Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.4 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 1.5 days, DSO rose 8.7 days, and DPO rose 7.6 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +8.7 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 4.4% +1.4pp
Asset turnover 2.58x -0.40x
Financial leverage 2.45x +0.17x
ROE 28.0% +7.5pp

ROE rose from 20.5% to 28.0% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover moving in the opposite direction.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 57.8bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at −0.13x and interest coverage at 291.85x.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.

Net Debt / Equity
−0.13x
Interest Coverage
291.85x
+260.63x
Cash / Debt
None
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
None

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Balance Sheet

●

Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.33x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.13x equity.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 1.4 pp. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency.

  • Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 4.41% after expanding 1.4pp versus the same period last year.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue stabilizes after a −0,3% YoY decline or keeps falling.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 4.41% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 57.8bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

From one stock to the whole portfolio

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among the rest of your investments?

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How much does this stock
contribute to the portfolio?

Its weight and influence across the assets held for investment.

Is the portfolio
well balanced?

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What other opportunities
or risks may be present?

What becomes visible only when investments are viewed together rather than one ticker at a time.

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