EMS

Tổng Công ty Chuyển phát nhanh Bưu Điện - CTCP ·UPCOM ·2026Q1

▲ Slightly positive

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT 0.61x
Price
18,400
Latest close
03 Jun 2026
P/E 5.19x
P/B 1.11x
EPS 3,545
BVPS 16,616
ROE 22.1%
ROA 9.7%
Profit Margin 3.8%
Asset Turnover 2.52x
Equity Mult. 2.27x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, EMS has not moved the needle on revenue, but profitability has edged up slightly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. What remains unclear is whether this improvement can widen without revenue momentum to back it.

TTM REVENUE
VND 1,935bn
−1.1%YoY
NET MARGIN
3.85%
+1.0ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 74bn
+32.0%YoY
Metric Q1'26 Q4'25 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23
Revenue 480.7 528.8 441.2 484.7 518.9 613.9 435.1 388.2 410.9 483.1 438.1 422.2
Growth -9% +20% -9% -7% -15% +41% +12% -6% -15% +10% +4%
Net Income 15.2 28.1 21.0 10.2 10.2 23.8 17.4 5.0 19.6 22.4 28.6 5.3
Net Margin 3.15% 5.31% 4.76% 2.11% 1.97% 3.87% 4.01% 1.28% 4.76% 4.64% 6.52% 1.26%

Drivers of EMS's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 19.1bn
Financial income ↑ 4.0bn
Selling expenses ↑ 2.4bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Administrative expenses ↓ 10.9bn
Financial income ↑ 1.0bn
Gross profit ↓ 3.4bn
Selling expenses ↑ 2.9bn
Tax ↑ 1.2bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 17.4% = 2.9% × 2.87 × 2.10
2026Q1 22.1% = 3.8% × 2.52 × 2.27

ROE rose from 17.4% to 22.1% — mainly driven by leverage, despite asset turnover moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 3.8% +1.0pp Asset turnover: 2.52x -0.35x Leverage: 2.27x +0.17x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin edged up to 3.85%, rising 1.0pp. The main driver is SG&A / Revenue fell 0.7pp and Gross margin rose 0.1pp, moving in line with the stronger net margin (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.2pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.0pp remained a drag).

The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 3.85% +1.0pp
Gross Margin 15.48% +0.1pp
SG&A / Revenue 10.98% −0.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

ROIC
NOPAT Margin 3.84% +1.0pp
Capital Turnover
Average Invested Capital

Balance Sheet

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.33x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.29x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO:
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO:

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 0.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.4 days, DSO rose 9.8 days, and DPO rose 9.0 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +0.3 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +9.8 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 93.5 days +9.8 days
Inventory 0.7 days −0.4 days
Payables 42.6 days +9.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 51.6 days +0.3 days

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 57.8bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.29x and interest coverage at 66.49x.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity -0.29x
Interest Coverage 66.49x +15.22x
Cash / Debt
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
CFO / NI 0.61x −1.26x

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 57.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -19.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +38.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +20.8bn.

CFO / net income was 0.61x.

After spending +2.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +42.6bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 45.2bn −60.2bn
Cash Capex 2.6bn +1.0bn
FCF TTM +42.6bn −61.2bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 0.61x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 0.61x.

Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Statement Data

Item 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Net Revenue
1,973.7 1,848.1 1,797.1 2,235.9 2,495.4
Cost of Goods Sold
1,670.2 1,540.0 1,466.7 1,864.4 0.0
Gross Profit
303.4 308.0 330.4 371.5 471.7
Financial Expenses
1.9 1.1 0.7 2.6 -1.8
Selling Expenses
84.5 80.3 90.5 111.6 -199.8
General and Administrative Expenses
136.4 145.4 163.9 175.1 -189.6
Operating Profit
89.3 86.7 80.0 89.6 84.2
Profit Before Tax
89.1 87.0 81.1 89.5 84.5
Net Income
69.5 65.6 64.7 71.3 67.3
Profit Attributable to Parent
69.5 65.6 64.7 71.3 67.3
Earnings per Share
3,311.00 3,125.00 3,083.00 3,398.00 4,434.00

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