EMS
Tổng Công ty Chuyển phát nhanh Bưu Điện - CTCP ·UPCOM ·2026Q1
▲ Slightly positive
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, EMS has not moved the needle on revenue, but profitability has edged up slightly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. What remains unclear is whether this improvement can widen without revenue momentum to back it.
| Metric | Q1'26 | Q4'25 | Q3'25 | Q2'25 | Q1'25 | Q4'24 | Q3'24 | Q2'24 | Q1'24 | Q4'23 | Q3'23 | Q2'23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 480.7 | 528.8 | 441.2 | 484.7 | 518.9 | 613.9 | 435.1 | 388.2 | 410.9 | 483.1 | 438.1 | 422.2 |
| Growth | -9% | +20% | -9% | -7% | -15% | +41% | +12% | -6% | -15% | +10% | +4% | — |
| Net Income | 15.2 | 28.1 | 21.0 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 23.8 | 17.4 | 5.0 | 19.6 | 22.4 | 28.6 | 5.3 |
| Net Margin | 3.15% | 5.31% | 4.76% | 2.11% | 1.97% | 3.87% | 4.01% | 1.28% | 4.76% | 4.64% | 6.52% | 1.26% |
Drivers of EMS's profit
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by lower administrative expenses. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE rose from 17.4% to 22.1% — mainly driven by leverage, despite asset turnover moving in the opposite direction.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin edged up to 3.85%, rising 1.0pp. The main driver is SG&A / Revenue fell 0.7pp and Gross margin rose 0.1pp, moving in line with the stronger net margin (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 0.2pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.0pp remained a drag).
The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.
Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Balance Sheet
ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 1.33x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.29x equity.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Working Capital Efficiency
Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 0.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.4 days, DSO rose 9.8 days, and DPO rose 9.0 days.
Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.
Watchpoints
CCC is up by +0.3 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.
DSO increased by +9.8 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.
Working Capital Efficiency
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Is financial risk significant?
Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 57.8bn.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at -0.29x and interest coverage at 66.49x.
Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.
Some leverage signals are missing, so the current read should be treated as contextual.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Cash Flow
With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 57.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -19.4bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +38.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +20.8bn.
CFO / net income was 0.61x.
After spending +2.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +42.6bn.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1
Investment Takeaway
The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 0.61x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency.
Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 0.61x.
Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
Statement Data
| Item | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
1,973.7 | 1,848.1 | 1,797.1 | 2,235.9 | 2,495.4 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
1,670.2 | 1,540.0 | 1,466.7 | 1,864.4 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
303.4 | 308.0 | 330.4 | 371.5 | 471.7 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
1.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 2.6 | -1.8 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
84.5 | 80.3 | 90.5 | 111.6 | -199.8 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
136.4 | 145.4 | 163.9 | 175.1 | -189.6 |
|
Operating Profit
|
89.3 | 86.7 | 80.0 | 89.6 | 84.2 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
89.1 | 87.0 | 81.1 | 89.5 | 84.5 |
|
Net Income
|
69.5 | 65.6 | 64.7 | 71.3 | 67.3 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
69.5 | 65.6 | 64.7 | 71.3 | 67.3 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
3,311.00 | 3,125.00 | 3,083.00 | 3,398.00 | 4,434.00 |
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