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HOSE · Quý 1/2026

TAL

Đầu tư Bất động sản Taseco

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▼ Slightly negative

Trailing net profit reached 789.2bn, rose 119.9bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit, lower finance costs, and better other profit. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower financial income, higher selling expenses, higher tax, and higher deferred tax. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
8.96x
P/B
1.18x
EPS
2,444
BVPS
18,530
ROE
14.3%
ROA
6.0%
Market price
21,900
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TAL posted slightly higher revenue but margins narrowed — the two forces offset each other, leaving the overall picture largely unchanged — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Finance costs
  3. Other profit
  4. Financial income
  5. Selling expenses
  6. Tax
  7. Deferred tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue692.81,559.21,238.2556.9375.9435.3310.6599.3
LNST156.6391.5222.737.622.3476.2185.16.4
Net margin22.61%25.11%17.99%6.75%5.94%109.41%59.58%1.07%

Revenue

693bn

Net income

157bn

Net margin

22.61%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

What is driving the margin?

▼

Net margin fell to 19.98%, losing 20.1pp. Gross margin rose 11.1pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 6.7pp improved but not enough to offset the weakness in Net financial result / Revenue fell 37.8pp (Other profit / Revenue rose 1.3pp still added support).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2024Q4: 435.3bn

2025Q1: 375.9bn

2025Q2: 556.9bn

2025Q3: 1,238.2bn

2025Q4: 1,559.2bn

2026Q1: 692.8bn

Net Margin
19.98%
−20.1pp
Gross Margin
37.97%
+11.1pp
SG&A / Revenue
10.33%
−6.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 9.0% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼

ROIC narrowed to 9.04%, falling 0.5pp. That translates to 9.04 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Although capital turnover rose 0.23x, NOPAT margin narrowed 21.2pp still pulled ROIC lower, while invested capital rose by 1,368bn.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

Balance Sheet

▼

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.35x equity, net debt at 0.48x equity.

Customer advances 3,304.1bn (as of 2026Q1) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances rose 1558.10% YoY — strong sales locking in future revenue.

Customer advances: 3,304.1bn · YoY +3,104.8bn · QoQ +857.9bn

Locked-in revenue: ~3.27x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 41.08%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q1: 8,043.6bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 1,070.2bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward near-delivery — the revenue-recognition cycle is approaching.

Near-delivery (ST): 8,043.6bn (88.26%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 1,070.2bn (11.74%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q1, net debt 3,206.0bn vs project value 9,113.8bn — ratio 35.18%; the project pipeline backs net debt 2.84x over.

Net debt / project value: 35.18%

Development inventory ended the period at 7,305.5bn, about 47.7% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 2,145.3bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 20.0% -20.1pp
Asset turnover 0.31x +0.13x
Financial leverage 2.39x +0.12x
ROE 14.6% -1.9pp

ROE fell from 16.5% to 14.6% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover and leverage still provided support.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 1,675.4bn due to capex of 120.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.48x and interest coverage at 6.02x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 22.7% of total debt, cash equals 30.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 4,600.1bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Net Debt / Equity
0.48x
−0.22x
Interest Coverage
6.02x
+2.40x
Cash / Debt
30.3%
+15.7pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
22.7%
−0.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

▲

Operating cash flow reached -1,654.2bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 47.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +1,607.2bn. Financing cash flow was positive +2,409.0bn.

CFO / net income was −1,97 lần.

After spending +120.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −1,675.4bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at −1.97x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 9.0%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 20.1 pp.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at −1.97x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 19.98% after a 20.1pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +135,1% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 19.98% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at -1,654.2bn in 2025.

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