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HOSE · Quý 1/2026

SZC

Sonadezi Châu Đức

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 235.9bn, fell 127.4bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower selling expenses. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower gross profit, weaker other profit, and lower financial income. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
14.58x
P/B
1.04x
EPS
1,276
BVPS
17,890
ROE
7.3%
ROA
2.9%
Market price
18,600
20 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, SZC is declining on both revenue and margins simultaneously, showing pressure from multiple directions at once — profit is at an all-time high. What still needs to be determined is whether the business can stabilize before this pressure deepens into the profit structure.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Selling expenses
  2. Other
  3. Gross profit
  4. Other profit
  5. Financial income
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue101.9379.486.5217.8414.2229.8164.8262.4
LNST17.1103.020.894.9126.375.259.6102.2
Net margin16.82%27.15%24.08%43.58%30.50%32.72%36.17%38.95%

Revenue

102bn

Net income

17bn

Net margin

16.82%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to 30.03%, losing 3.9pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 0.2pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 3.3pp (with lingering pressure from Other profit / Revenue fell 5.1pp and Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.6pp).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Net Margin
30.03%
−3.9pp
Gross Margin
51.85%
+3.3pp
SG&A / Revenue
8.18%
+0.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC of 5.1% may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼

ROIC fell to 5.07%, losing 2.8pp. That translates to 5.07 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 0.6pp and capital turnover fell 0.08x, while invested capital rose by 518bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

Balance Sheet

●

ROIC above should be read with industry context — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.55x equity, net debt at 0.67x equity.

Unearned revenue 546.4bn (as of 2026Q1, 6.56% of total assets) — land-lease cash already collected, waiting to be amortised into revenue; ≈ 0.7 years of current revenue already banked. For a collect-upfront park amortising over 30-50 years, accounting profit typically UNDERSTATES true cash health — the cash arrived long ago; accounting recognises it gradually. Over the last four quarters, operating cash flow was 324.6bn vs net profit 235.9bn — 1.38x. Up 67.35% YoY — the future-amortisation reserve is thickening.

Unearned revenue (ST + LT): 546.4bn

Share of total assets: 6.56%

Years of revenue banked: 0.7

CFO / NPAT (TTM): 1.38x

Development inventory ended the period at 1,892.7bn, about 23.2% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Efficiency

▼

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 597.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 644.8 days, DSO rose 9.5 days, and DPO rose 57.2 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

Working capital metrics in this industry should be read alongside business model specifics — DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by operational factors not reflected in raw numbers.

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 1580.0 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +9.5 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 30.0% -3.9pp
Asset turnover 0.10x -0.04x
Financial leverage 2.53x -0.06x
ROE 7.3% -4.4pp

ROE fell from 11.7% to 7.3% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 483.0bn due to capex of 807.6bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

●

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.67x and interest coverage at 13.49x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 16.8% of total debt, cash equals 15.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 2,577.8bn.

Leverage should be read alongside project structure, regulated assets, or industry-specific capital recovery.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 15.9%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Net Debt / Equity
0.67x
+0.16x
Interest Coverage
13.49x
−0.71x
Cash / Debt
15.9%
−2.3pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
16.8%
−1.9pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

▼

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 236.0bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -488.8bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +252.8bn. Financing cash flow was negative +35.3bn.

CFO / net income was 1,38 lần.

After spending +807.6bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −483.0bn.

FCF and CFO in this industry should be read alongside investment cycles and business model specifics.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.38x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 5.1%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 3.9 pp.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.38x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 30.03% after a 3.9pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Ability to stabilize revenue after a −26,7% YoY decline.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 30.03% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 236.0bn in 2025.

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