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iShareInvest Research

HNX · Quý 2/2026

NFC

Phân lân Ninh Bình

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▲▲ Improving positively

Trailing net profit reached 169.4bn, rose 84.7bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit and lower selling expenses. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher tax and higher administrative expenses. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
4.75x
P/B
2.45x
EPS
10,770
BVPS
20,863
ROE
58.3%
ROA
35.4%
Market price
51,200
16 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, NFC has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — profit is at an all-time high. However, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this needs monitoring in coming periods.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Selling expenses
  3. Tax
  4. Administrative expenses
  5. Other
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue376.1515.1219.7196.8368.7452.6156.2182.4
LNST39.554.049.426.628.338.810.86.9
Net margin10.49%10.48%22.48%13.51%7.68%8.57%6.88%3.81%

Revenue

376bn

Net income

39bn

Net margin

10.49%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

Revenue Growth

▲

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue grew 12.7% year on year — but the quarterly pace is slowing (+8% → +2%).

4 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
1,308bn
+12.7%
Latest quarter YoY
+2%
slowing

What is driving the margin?

▲▲

Net margin expanded to 12.96%, rising 5.6pp. The main driver is Gross margin rose 4.7pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 2.6pp, moving in line with the stronger net margin (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.2pp).

The improvement comes from core operations — this is a high-quality margin expansion.

Net Margin
12.96%
+5.6pp
Gross Margin
27.24%
+4.7pp
SG&A / Revenue
11.06%
−2.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

▼▼

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 32.5bn against investing cash flow of -11.7bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +20.9bn. Financing cash flow was negative +31.5bn.

CFO / net income was −0,98 lần.

After spending +12.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −179.0bn.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 100% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at −0.0% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
0.0%
low
Net financial / PBT
−0.0%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency should be read in industry context — ROIC may fluctuate with business specifics.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

Industry characteristics make ROIC cyclical — this is a reference signal and should be read with the business context.

Working Capital Efficiency

▼▼

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 41.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 34.6 days, DSO rose 7.9 days, and DPO rose 1.4 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 94.8 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +7.9 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 13.0% +5.6pp
Asset turnover 2.73x -0.56x
Financial leverage 1.65x +0.10x
ROE 58.3% +21.1pp

ROE rose from 37.2% to 58.3% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover moving in the opposite direction.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 179.0bn due to capex of 12.3bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.08x and interest coverage at 29.30x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 30.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 39.8bn.

Net Debt / Equity
0.08x
Interest Coverage
29.30x
−7.87x
Cash / Debt
30.3%
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
100.0%

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Balance Sheet

▼

Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.26x equity, net debt at 0.08x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 253.4bn, roughly 61.4% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 309.9bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 5.6 pp. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency. The main risk still sits in self-funded cash generation remains weak.

  • Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 12.96% after expanding 5.6pp versus the same period last year.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: self-funded cash generation remains weak, with trailing-12M FCF still at 179.0bn.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue sustains its +12,7% YoY pace or begins to slow.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 12.96% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 32.5bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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