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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 1/2026

NBB

Đầu tư Năm Bảy Bảy

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲ Slightly positive

Trailing net profit reached 11.3bn, rose 9.9bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower finance costs, higher financial income, and lower administrative expenses. Offsetting pressure came mainly from weaker other profit, lower gross profit, and higher tax. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
159.26x
P/B
0.95x
EPS
108
BVPS
18,124
ROE
0.6%
ROA
0.1%
Market price
17,200
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, NBB posted a sharp profit increase versus the same period, suggesting a clear improvement from a low base — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Finance costs
  2. Financial income
  3. Administrative expenses
  4. Other
  5. Other profit
  6. Gross profit
  7. Tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue3.85.96.712.513.612.711.514.6
LNST0.19.80.70.20.10.40.20.4
Net margin3.67%165.92%10.37%1.39%0.39%3.16%1.62%3.01%

Revenue

4bn

Net income

0bn

Net margin

3.67%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

What is driving the margin?

▲

Net margin expanded to 37.32%, rising 35.3pp. Despite pressure from Gross margin fell 26.1pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 16.6pp, the offset came from Net financial result / Revenue rose 316.4pp (pressure remains from Other profit / Revenue fell 212.3pp).

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2024Q4: 12.7bn

2025Q1: 13.6bn

2025Q2: 12.5bn

2025Q3: 6.7bn

2025Q4: 5.9bn

2026Q1: 3.8bn

Net Margin
37.32%
+35.3pp
Gross Margin
6.45%
−26.1pp
SG&A / Revenue
45.28%
+16.6pp
Non-core / Revenue
133.03%
+104.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 808.0% of PBT and lifted net margin by 104.1pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 0.7% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▲

ROIC edged up to 0.66%, rising 0.6pp. That translates to 0.66 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 138.0pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; while invested capital rose by 800bn.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

Balance Sheet

▼

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is typical for the real estate sector — liabilities at 3.27x equity, net debt at 2.56x equity.

Customer advances 28.5bn (as of 2026Q1) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances fell 42.83% without a matching rise in TTM revenue — sales pace to watch. Advances cover only 0.66% of current inventory — most of the pipeline is not yet pre-sold.

Customer advances: 28.5bn · YoY −21.4bn · QoQ 0.0bn

Locked-in revenue: ~3.93x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 0.66%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q1: 4,341.9bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 5.8bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward near-delivery — the revenue-recognition cycle is approaching.

Near-delivery (ST): 4,341.9bn (99.87%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 5.8bn (0.13%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q1, net debt 4,665.8bn vs project value 4,347.7bn — ratio 107.32% — net debt now EXCEEDS the project pipeline (each unit of debt backed by only 0.93x of project value). Leverage pressure to watch.

Net debt / project value: 107.32%

Development inventory ended the period at 4,093.7bn, about 52.6% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 482.4bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 37.3% +35.3pp
Asset turnover 0.00x -0.00x
Financial leverage 4.37x +0.20x
ROE 0.6% +0.5pp

ROE rose from 0.1% to 0.6% — mainly driven by net margin, despite asset turnover moving in the opposite direction.

03

Is financial risk significant?

High leverage combined with negative operating cash flow — this area needs close monitoring.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 2.56x and interest coverage only at 0.55x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 30.2% of total debt, cash equals 0.1% of debt, and total debt stands at 4,669.6bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 2.56x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.55x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Net Debt / Equity
2.56x
+0.09x
Interest Coverage
0.55x
+0.27x
Cash / Debt
0.1%
−0.5pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
30.2%
−8.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

●

High leverage combined with cash flow below reveals the actual liquidity pressure. Operating cash flow reached -759.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of 672.3bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +86.8bn. Financing cash flow was positive +57.8bn.

CFO / net income was −76,41 lần.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 35.3 pp. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 0.55x.

  • Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 37.32% after expanding 35.3pp versus the same period last year.
  • Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 474.6% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at −76.41x.
  • Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 0.55x.

Questions for the next period

  1. Ability to stabilize revenue after a −44,7% YoY decline.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 37.32% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at -759.1bn in 2025.

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