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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

CSI

Chứng khoán Kiến thiết Việt Nam

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲ BALANCED OPERATIONS

See what is changing ↓
EPS TTM
257
BVPS
9,805
P/E
54.4x
P/B
1.4x
ROAE TTM
2.7%
PBT Margin
5.5%
Market price
14,000
16 Oct 2026

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 5.1bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 5.5%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 85.2% after expanding by +27.4pp, while lending is at 1.4%; brokerage and services are still 13.5% but have narrowed by 24.4pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 96.7% while Leverage is about 0.03x, indicating a still relatively balanced capital posture, but equity buffers have weakened year on year.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
PBT-8.8-2.67.19.4-5.4-4.0-2.0-4.1
Trading Share92.5%60.0%87.4%62.2%74.2%40.3%74.5%—
Lending Share2.3%1.7%0.7%0.3%1.5%1.7%2.9%12.1%
Service & Brokerage Share5.2%38.3%11.9%37.5%24.2%58.0%22.6%87.9%
PBT Margin-56.46%-13.64%25.26%30.93%-88.01%-64.87%-51.11%-523.59%
Equity / Assets96.7%96.6%98.1%98.5%98.4%99.0%99.0%99.2%
Leverage0.03x0.03x0.02x0.01x0.02x0.01x0.01x0.01x

Revenue

16bn

Net income

-9bn

Net margin

-56.46%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A broker's statements are read with the industry's own questions: revenue mix, balance sheet, funding.

01

Is revenue sustainable?

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

▼▼

Where are current earnings coming from?

Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.

Trading currently accounts for about 85.2%, lending is at 1.4%, brokerage is around 13.2%, other services about 0.2%, brokerage plus services together are 13.5%.

The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.

Trading income is materially dependent on revaluation.

The revenue headline should be read together with leakage into provisioning and net margin, not just the surface mix.

Revaluation volatility risk

A large part of trading income is coming from revaluation, so earnings may be more volatile than the headline suggests.

Securities business revenue
93.0bn
+446.4% YoY
PBT margin
5.5%
Trading Share
85.2%
+27.4pp
Brokerage Share
13.2%
−23.1pp

Annual YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

▼

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.

Pre-tax margin is currently 5.5%, Return on assets is about 2.6%, provisions equal −3.3% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 739.7% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Revaluation volatility remains high

Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.

PBT margin
5.5%
Net margin
4.6%
ROAA
2.6%
ROAE
2.7%

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

02

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

▼

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.

The margin book is about 7.3% of assets, the prop book about 52.4%, liquid assets around 22.7%, equity roughly 96.7%.

A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.

The prop book is the more prominent balance-sheet component.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Prop-book concentration risk

A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.

Margin book / Assets
7.3%
Prop book / Assets
52.4%
−1.8pp
Liquid assets / Assets
22.7%
+5.1pp
Equity / Assets
96.7%
−1.7pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

03

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

●

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Capital and funding posture looks more balanced for now, though the effective thickness of liquidity buffers still needs monitoring.

Equity currently equals 96.7% of assets, liabilities stand at 0.03x of equity.

Capital and funding are mainly acting as a buffer for the case, rather than the main source of headline distortion.

When funding and liquidity remain adequate, capital posture works more as a buffer than a veto point.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Equity / Assets
96.7%
−1.7pp
Liabilities / Equity
0.03x
Liquid assets / Assets
22.7%
+5.1pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

Overall, CSI is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but funding or capital risk still calls for caution.

  • Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.
  • Profitability does not currently show a sufficiently durable base to be read as a clean case.

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether trading income can still hold up once revaluation normalizes toward a more ordinary level.

  2. Track whether profitability can stabilize soon, as the current return profile is clearly under more pressure.

  3. Track whether the prop book makes the balance sheet more sensitive to valuation swings in coming periods.

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