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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 1/2026

BSI

Chứng khoán BIDV

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲ BALANCED OPERATIONS

TTM NPAT rose +VND 144bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher margin lending, higher trading, and higher other fees. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher total costs and higher tax.

See what is changing ↓
EPS TTM
1,123
BVPS
12,453
P/E
23.3x
P/B
2.1x
ROAE TTM
9.3%
PBT Margin
25.8%
Market price
26,200
16 Oct 2026

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 633.0bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 25.8%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, while margin has narrowed by 6.1pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix still leans mainly on trading at 43.9% after expanding by +6.9pp, while lending is at 35.2%; brokerage and services are still 20.9% but have narrowed by 2.5pp, so diversification needs closer monitoring. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 30.9% while Leverage is about 2.23x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Margin lending
  2. Trading
  3. Other fees
  4. Brokerage
  5. Total costs
  6. Tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
PBT117.1119.8269.2126.8100.4113.494.4136.3
Trading Share48.7%33.2%49.1%39.9%38.3%32.0%32.8%43.2%
Lending Share33.4%43.1%29.3%32.7%41.5%43.5%41.9%33.0%
Service & Brokerage Share18.0%23.7%21.5%27.4%20.1%24.5%25.2%23.8%
PBT Margin16.80%21.19%39.13%25.05%29.77%35.92%29.58%32.14%
Equity / Assets30.9%33.2%32.6%35.1%39.4%49.1%47.3%49.8%
Leverage2.23x2.01x2.07x1.85x1.54x1.04x1.11x1.01x

Revenue

697bn

Net income

89bn

Net margin

12.74%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A broker's statements are read with the industry's own questions: revenue mix, balance sheet, funding.

01

Is revenue sustainable?

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

▼▼

Where are current earnings coming from?

Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.

Trading currently accounts for about 43.9%, lending is at 35.2%, brokerage is around 18.1%, other services about 2.8%, brokerage plus services together are 20.9%.

The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.

Trading income is materially dependent on revaluation.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Revaluation volatility risk

A large part of trading income is coming from revaluation, so earnings may be more volatile than the headline suggests.

Securities business revenue
2,457.1bn
+76.0% YoY
PBT margin
25.8%
−6.1pp
Trading Share
43.9%
+6.9pp
Brokerage Share
18.1%
−2.9pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

▲

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.

Pre-tax margin is currently 25.8%, Return on assets is about 3.2%, provisions equal −0.1% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 77.9% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Revaluation volatility remains high

Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.

PBT margin
25.8%
−6.1pp
Net margin
20.4%
−5.2pp
ROAA
3.2%
+0.6pp
ROAE
9.3%
+2.6pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

02

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

●

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the margin book, so growth quality depends meaningfully on the safety of loans and receivables.

The margin book is about 50.5% of assets, the prop book about 35.1%, liquid assets around 12.1%, equity roughly 30.9%.

A high margin-book share makes the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Margin-book concentration risk

Loans and receivables are large enough to make the balance sheet more sensitive to asset quality and funding cost.

Prop-book concentration risk

A high share of FVTPL assets increases sensitivity to market revaluation and trading volatility.

Margin book / Assets
50.5%
−0.9pp
Prop book / Assets
35.1%
+2.7pp
Liquid assets / Assets
12.1%
−0.8pp
Equity / Assets
30.9%
−8.5pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

03

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

▼

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 30.9% of assets, liabilities stand at 2.23x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 61.7% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.05x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer is not yet thick enough relative to short-term funding needs.

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Equity / Assets
30.9%
−8.5pp
Liabilities / Equity
2.23x
+0.70x
Short-term borrowings / Assets
61.7%
+13.7pp
Liquid assets / Assets
11.0%
+1.3pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

Overall, BSI is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.

  • Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.
  • Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether trading income can still hold up once revaluation normalizes toward a more ordinary level.

  2. Track whether current profitability can hold once the more volatile supports move back toward normal levels.

  3. Keep short-term funding tightness on watch, as the liquidity buffer is thinning more clearly relative to current funding needs.

From one stock to the whole portfolio

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among the rest of your investments?

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How much does this stock
contribute to the portfolio?

Its weight and influence across the assets held for investment.

Is the portfolio
well balanced?

How holdings, sectors and asset groups are distributed in relation to overall risk.

What other opportunities
or risks may be present?

What becomes visible only when investments are viewed together rather than one ticker at a time.

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