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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 2/2026

BFC

Phân bón Bình Điền

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 259.5bn, fell 74.6bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower selling expenses, lower administrative expenses, lower tax, and lower minority interests. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower gross profit, higher finance costs, and lower financial income. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
14.45x
P/B
1.87x
EPS
4,084
BVPS
31,513
ROE
15.5%
ROA
6.4%
Market price
59,000
16 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, BFC is declining across multiple metrics versus the same period, suggesting current pressure is not coming from just one side — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Selling expenses
  2. Administrative expenses
  3. Tax
  4. Minority interests
  5. Gross profit
  6. Finance costs
  7. Financial income
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue1,698.53,345.42,466.22,059.53,534.62,554.32,470.82,031.0
LNST51.7142.268.373.3147.5111.199.964.3
Net margin3.04%4.25%2.77%3.56%4.17%4.35%4.04%3.17%

Revenue

1,698bn

Net income

52bn

Net margin

3.04%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

Revenue Growth

▼

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue declined 9.6% year on year — but the quarterly pace is slowing (+1% → −52%).

2 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
9,570bn
−9.6%
Latest quarter YoY
−52%
slowing

What is driving the margin?

●

Net margin narrowed to 3.51%, falling 0.5pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 1.0pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 0.8pp (with lingering pressure from Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.4pp).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Net Margin
3.51%
−0.5pp
Gross Margin
12.48%
−1.0pp
SG&A / Revenue
7.32%
−0.8pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

▼▼

Is profit converting into cash?

Operating cash flow reached -731.6bn against investing cash flow of -69.8bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was negative +801.5bn. Financing cash flow was positive +425.0bn.

CFO / net income was −4,38 lần.

After spending +100.5bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −1,237.6bn.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 100% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at −19.9%, other profit at +0.4% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
0.4%
low
Net financial / PBT
−19.9%
Other profit / PBT
0.4%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency is declining — check whether the drag is from margins or turnover.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼▼

ROIC fell to 12.28%, losing 9.0pp. That translates to 12.28 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 0.5pp and capital turnover fell 1.84x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 743bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Pressure came from turnover — added capital has not been absorbed quickly enough, a typical investment-cycle dynamic.

Working Capital Efficiency

▼▼

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 38.2 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 39.7 days, DSO fell 3.8 days, and DPO fell 2.3 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 106.9 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +39.7 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 3.5% -0.5pp
Asset turnover 2.36x -0.61x
Financial leverage 2.41x -0.01x
ROE 20.0% -8.8pp

ROE fell from 28.8% to 20.0% — all three components weakened, with asset turnover being the main drag.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 1,237.6bn due to capex of 100.5bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

●

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.93x and interest coverage at 4.07x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 99.8% of total debt, cash equals 9.2% of debt, and total debt stands at 1,840.0bn.

Net Debt / Equity
0.93x
+0.66x
Interest Coverage
4.07x
−3.05x
Cash / Debt
9.2%
−37.0pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
99.8%
+0.9pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 99.8% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 9.2%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Balance Sheet

▼

The balance sheet shows capital-allocation efficiency slipping. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.34x equity, net debt at 0.93x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 2,283.0bn, roughly 57.5% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 1,496.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with leverage and liquidity remaining the main constraint, with interest coverage at 4.07x. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at −4.38x.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at −4.38x.
  • Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 0.93x and a thin cash buffer.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue stabilizes after a −9,6% YoY decline or keeps falling.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 3.51% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its -731.6bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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