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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

ABW

Chứng khoán An Bình

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲ BALANCED REVENUE MIX

TTM NPAT rose +VND 50.7bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher trading, higher margin lending, and higher other fees. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher total costs and higher tax.

See what is changing ↓
EPS TTM
1,684
BVPS
15,959
P/E
8.6x
P/B
0.9x
ROAE TTM
11.1%
PBT Margin
36.6%
Market price
14,400
16 Oct 2026

Securities House Picture

On a TTM basis through 2026Q1, pre-tax profit is currently about 218.2bn, equivalent to a pre-tax margin of 36.6%, but headline durability remains more sensitive to revaluation, while margin has narrowed by 1.6pp, pointing to greater pressure on earnings quality. The revenue mix is now leaning more toward lending at 45.0% after expanding by +3.5pp, while trading is down to 21.9% after narrowing by 11.0pp; brokerage and services have reached 33.1% and improved by +7.5pp, making diversification more visible. On the balance sheet, Equity / Assets is 39.8% while Leverage is about 1.52x, indicating that buffers and funding are not yet truly roomy, but buffers have thinned while leverage has risen further.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Trading
  2. Margin lending
  3. Other fees
  4. Brokerage
  5. Total costs
  6. Tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
PBT29.990.757.839.933.035.733.149.7
Trading Share34.1%55.2%19.5%24.8%21.3%40.1%33.7%35.6%
Lending Share36.0%29.2%37.9%40.0%51.4%37.2%40.1%31.7%
Service & Brokerage Share29.9%15.6%42.6%35.3%27.2%22.7%26.2%32.7%
PBT Margin20.28%45.49%41.14%36.48%36.29%32.71%37.44%45.93%
Equity / Assets39.8%33.9%36.9%40.2%41.7%42.6%43.2%50.0%
Leverage1.52x1.95x1.71x1.49x1.40x1.35x1.32x1.00x

Revenue

147bn

Net income

21bn

Net margin

14.55%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A broker's statements are read with the industry's own questions: revenue mix, balance sheet, funding.

01

Is revenue sustainable?

Revenue Mix & Earnings Engine

▼▼

Where are current earnings coming from?

Earnings are still being supported by trading, but revaluation has become large enough to make the headline less durable than usual.

Trading currently accounts for about 21.9%, lending is at 45.0%, brokerage is around 29.9%, other services about 3.2%, brokerage plus services together are 33.1%.

The earnings engine is already less one-dimensional, so the more important question is whether diversification can hold.

Trading income is materially dependent on revaluation.

The mix is still fairly readable for now, but case durability will depend on whether brokerage and services keep thickening.

Revaluation volatility risk

A large part of trading income is coming from revaluation, so earnings may be more volatile than the headline suggests.

Securities business revenue
596.3bn
+50.3% YoY
PBT margin
36.6%
−1.6pp
Trading Share
21.9%
−11.0pp
Brokerage Share
29.9%
+6.0pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

Profitability Quality & Volatility

▲

How strong is current profitability, and how durable is it?

Headline profitability remains solid, but durability is weaker because part of the result is still sensitive to revaluation.

Pre-tax margin is currently 36.6%, Return on assets is about 4.5%, provisions equal 3.3% of pre-tax profit, revaluation accounts for 32.7% of pre-tax profit.

Headline profit should not be read purely off reported PBT because revaluation still makes the result more volatile.

Profit remains sensitive to revaluation swings.

Provisioning is not currently the main drag on profit.

Revaluation volatility remains high

Revaluation makes up a large enough share of PBT to make profit quality less durable than the headline suggests.

PBT margin
36.6%
−1.6pp
Net margin
28.6%
−1.6pp
ROAA
4.5%
+1.5pp
ROAE
11.1%
+3.2pp

TTM YoY · 2026Q1

02

Are assets at risk?

Balance Sheet Quality & Asset Composition

▼

Where is the balance sheet exposed, and how resilient does it look?

The balance sheet is leaning more toward the prop book, making market-valuation sensitivity a key issue to monitor.

The margin book is about 23.9% of assets, the prop book about 13.0%, liquid assets around 59.1%, equity roughly 39.8%.

A high prop-book share lets market-valuation swings flow more directly into the balance sheet.

The margin book is larger than the prop book.

Capital buffer is not the main weakness for now, so the key reading point shifts to which assets are driving the balance sheet.

Margin book / Assets
23.9%
−14.0pp
Prop book / Assets
13.0%
+6.7pp
Liquid assets / Assets
59.1%
+8.8pp
Equity / Assets
39.8%
−2.0pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

03

Is leverage safe?

Capital, Funding & Risk Posture

▼

Are capital buffers and funding posture sufficiently safe?

Short-term funding is the tighter part of the balance sheet, even if the case is not yet in outright capital stress.

Equity currently equals 39.8% of assets, liabilities stand at 1.52x of equity, short-term borrowings are about 58.6% of assets, cash covers roughly 0.10x of short-term borrowings.

The point that needs the closest reading now is short-term funding structure rather than the earnings headline.

Risk is coming more from short-term funding, so the key reading point is not just borrowing size but cash and liquid-asset cover.

Liquidity buffer remains relatively better than short-term funding needs.

Short-term funding pressure

Short-term borrowings or cash coverage are in a range that creates more pressure on funding and liquidity posture.

Equity / Assets
39.8%
−2.0pp
Liabilities / Equity
1.52x
+0.12x
Short-term borrowings / Assets
58.6%
+1.2pp
Liquid assets / Assets
44.8%
+12.8pp

Quarterly YoY · 2026Q1

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

Overall, ABW is showing a more balanced earnings mix thanks to brokerage and service income, but short-term funding remains tight enough for caution.

  • Brokerage and service income are now large enough to reduce pure dependence on trading or margin.
  • Short-term funding structure is tight enough to become the most visible risk in the current capital posture.

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether trading income can still hold up once revaluation normalizes toward a more ordinary level.

  2. Track whether current profitability can hold once the more volatile supports move back toward normal levels.

  3. Keep short-term funding tightness on watch, as the liquidity buffer is thinning more clearly relative to current funding needs.

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