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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 1/2026

TDW

Cấp nước Thủ Đức

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲ Slightly positive

Trailing net profit reached 59.1bn, rose 3.6bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit and lower selling expenses. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher administrative expenses, higher finance costs, weaker other profit, and higher tax. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
6.43x
P/B
1.39x
EPS
6,956
BVPS
32,063
ROE
22.5%
ROA
9.2%
Market price
44,700
06 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, TDW shows mild improvement in both revenue and margins, but the magnitude of change is narrow — profit is at an all-time high. This signal only becomes convincing if the improvement widens in coming periods.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Selling expenses
  3. Administrative expenses
  4. Finance costs
  5. Other profit
  6. Tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue325.3341.8335.5348.1317.3330.1323.8342.5
LNST10.023.110.615.411.516.010.417.8
Net margin3.09%6.76%3.16%4.42%3.61%4.84%3.20%5.19%

Revenue

325bn

Net income

10bn

Net margin

3.09%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

What is driving the margin?

●

Net margin stands at 4.38%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Net Margin
4.38%
+0.1pp
Gross Margin
35.23%
+0.1pp
SG&A / Revenue
29.91%
−0.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 17.2% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼

ROIC fell to 17.17%, losing 2.1pp. That translates to 17.17 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from capital turnover fell 1.10x — capital is being absorbed faster than revenue is being generated; while invested capital expanded strongly by 68bn.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

Balance Sheet

●

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 1.73x equity, net debt at 0.34x equity.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 4.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories and higher payables. Pressure from higher receivables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Efficiency

●

Cash conversion cycle improved by 0.6 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 3.8 days, DSO rose 0.7 days, and DPO fell 2.5 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +0.7 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 4.4% +0.1pp
Asset turnover 2.10x -0.44x
Financial leverage 2.44x +0.38x
ROE 22.5% +0.3pp

ROE is broadly flat at 22.5% — the components are offsetting one another.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 77.4bn due to capex of 198.8bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.34x and interest coverage at 10.30x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 41.7% of total debt, cash equals 44.8% of debt, and total debt stands at 166.0bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Net Debt / Equity
0.34x
+0.36x
Interest Coverage
10.30x
−20.83x
Cash / Debt
44.8%
−69.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
41.7%
+20.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

▼

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 151.1bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -211.1bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +60.0bn. Financing cash flow was positive +92.5bn.

CFO / net income was 2,05 lần.

After spending +198.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −77.4bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 2.05x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 17.2%.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 2.05x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +2,8% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 4.38% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 151.1bn in 2025.

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