SJC
Sông Đà 1.01 ·UPCOM ·2022Q4
▼▼ Declining sharply
TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity
What Is Changing
On a TTM 2022Q4 basis, SJC posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.
| Metric | Q4'22 | Q3'22 | Q2'22 | Q1'22 | Q4'21 | Q3'21 | Q2'21 | Q1'21 | Q4'20 | Q3'20 | Q2'20 | Q1'20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 40.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Growth | -8% | -5% | +49% | -15% | -96% | +2142% | +10% | -3% | -4% | +0% | -1% | — |
| Net Income | -5.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.0 |
| Net Margin | -302.13% | -5.38% | 10.92% | -19.75% | -15.12% | 6.12% | 2.36% | 0.01% | -8.35% | -5.24% | -17.40% | 2.13% |
Drivers of SJC's profit
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:
Financial Highlights
Detailed analysis of each financial dimension
ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
ROE fell from 2.3% to -5.5% — net margin weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.
Is the profit sustainable?
Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.
What is driving the margin?
Net margin fell to -77.97%, losing 83.0pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 33.2pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 8.2pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.0pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 65.8pp remained a drag).
The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.
Profitability trend
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Watchpoints
Even though contribution decreased by 65.8pp, financial result still accounts for 84.4% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.
Is capital being used efficiently?
Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of -0.9% fluctuates with handover cycles.
Is capital being deployed efficiently?
ROIC narrowed to -0.86%, falling 1.2pp. That translates to -0.86 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 83.0pp and capital turnover fell 0.06x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.
For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Balance Sheet
ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage is well above the real estate sector norm — liquidity risk becomes material if handover slips — liabilities at 16.45x equity, net debt at 5.44x equity.
Development inventory ended the period at 1,410.2bn, about 85.8% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.
Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.
Working Capital Drivers
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Is financial risk significant?
Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.
Leverage & Liquidity
Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 5.44x and interest coverage only at -1.18x.
At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 3.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 527.9bn.
Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.
Watchpoints
Net debt / equity stands at 5.44x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.
Interest coverage is -1.18x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.
Leverage and liquidity trend
TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Cash Flow
Leverage needs watching — cash flow below shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 12.8bn in 2022, against investing cash flow of 0.0bn.
Post-investment cash flow was positive +12.8bn. Financing cash flow was positive 0.0bn.
CFO / net income was -2.41x.
After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +12.8bn.
For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.
Cash Conversion
TTM Cash Conversion · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4
Investment Takeaway
The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 83.0 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 84.4%.
Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 84.4% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -2.41x.
Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -77.97% after a 83.0pp decline versus the same period last year.
Statement Data
| Item | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Net Revenue
|
6.8 | 45.5 | 7.0 |
|
Cost of Goods Sold
|
5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Gross Profit
|
1.2 | 4.4 | 1.3 |
|
Financial Expenses
|
4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
Selling Expenses
|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
|
General and Administrative Expenses
|
2.0 | -1.5 | -1.8 |
|
Operating Profit
|
-5.3 | 2.9 | -0.5 |
|
Profit Before Tax
|
-5.3 | 2.9 | -0.5 |
|
Net Income
|
-5.3 | 2.3 | -0.5 |
|
Profit Attributable to Parent
|
-5.3 | 2.3 | -0.5 |
|
Earnings per Share
|
-733.27 | 316.73 | -69.47 |
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