SJC

Sông Đà 1.01 ·UPCOM ·2022Q4

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin −77.97%, −83.01pp YoY
Price
Latest close
P/E
P/B
EPS -733
BVPS 13,028
ROE -5.5%
ROA -0.3%
Profit Margin -78.0%
Asset Turnover 0.00x
Equity Mult. 16.86x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2022Q4 basis, SJC posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

TTM REVENUE
VND 7bn
−85.1%YoY
NET MARGIN
−77.97%
−83.0ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 5bn
−331.5%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
84.4%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q4'22 Q3'22 Q2'22 Q1'22 Q4'21 Q3'21 Q2'21 Q1'21 Q4'20 Q3'20 Q2'20 Q1'20
Revenue 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.3 1.5 40.5 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8
Growth -8% -5% +49% -15% -96% +2142% +10% -3% -4% +0% -1%
Net Income -5.2 -0.1 0.2 -0.3 -0.2 2.5 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 0.0
Net Margin -302.13% -5.38% 10.92% -19.75% -15.12% 6.12% 2.36% 0.01% -8.35% -5.24% -17.40% 2.13%

Drivers of SJC's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to higher finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↑ 4.5bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 3.5bn
Gross profit ↓ 3.2bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to higher finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↑ 4.5bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 1.4bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2021Q4 2.3% = 5.0% × 0.03 × 16.43
2022Q4 -5.5% = -78.0% × 0.00 × 16.86

ROE fell from 2.3% to -5.5% — net margin weakened the most, though leverage still provided support.

Net margin: -78.0% -83.0pp Asset turnover: 0.00x -0.02x Leverage: 16.86x +0.42x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to -77.97%, losing 83.0pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 33.2pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 8.2pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.0pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 65.8pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -77.97% −83.0pp
Gross Margin 17.87% +8.2pp
SG&A / Revenue 30.03% +33.2pp
Non-core / Revenue -65.82% −65.8pp

TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4

Watchpoints

Financial result share remains high

Even though contribution decreased by 65.8pp, financial result still accounts for 84.4% of PBT — earnings durability should be monitored in coming periods.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of -0.9% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC narrowed to -0.86%, falling 1.2pp. That translates to -0.86 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 83.0pp and capital turnover fell 0.06x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4

ROIC -0.86% −1.2pp
NOPAT Margin -77.98% −83.0pp
Capital Turnover 0.01x −0.06x
Average Invested Capital 615.2bn −9.3bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage is well above the real estate sector norm — liquidity risk becomes material if handover slips — liabilities at 16.45x equity, net debt at 5.44x equity.

Development inventory ended the period at 1,410.2bn, about 85.8% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4

Receivables were broadly stable → neutral CFO: 0.0bn
Inventories were broadly stable → neutral CFO: 0.0bn
Payables were broadly stable → neutral CFO: 0.0bn

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 5.44x and interest coverage only at -1.18x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 100.0% of total debt, cash equals 3.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 527.9bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Watchpoints

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 5.44x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is -1.18x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 5.44x +0.15x
Interest Coverage -1.18x
Cash / Debt 3.0% +2.4pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 100.0% 0.0pp
CFO / NI -2.41x −3.70x

TTM YoY · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4

Cash Flow

Leverage needs watching — cash flow below shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 12.8bn in 2022, against investing cash flow of 0.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +12.8bn. Financing cash flow was positive 0.0bn.

CFO / net income was -2.41x.

After spending 0.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +12.8bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2021Q4 -> 2022Q4

CFO TTM 12.8bn +9.8bn
Cash Capex 0.0bn 0.0bn
FCF TTM +12.8bn +9.8bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 83.0 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 84.4%.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 84.4% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -2.41x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -77.97% after a 83.0pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2022 2021 2020
Net Revenue
6.8 45.5 7.0
Cost of Goods Sold
5.6 0.0 0.0
Gross Profit
1.2 4.4 1.3
Financial Expenses
4.5 0.0 0.0
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0 0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
2.0 -1.5 -1.8
Operating Profit
-5.3 2.9 -0.5
Profit Before Tax
-5.3 2.9 -0.5
Net Income
-5.3 2.3 -0.5
Profit Attributable to Parent
-5.3 2.3 -0.5
Earnings per Share
-733.27 316.73 -69.47

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