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UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

MCG

Năng lượng và Bất động sản MCG

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 7.7bn, fell 5.3bn compared with the same period last year. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher administrative expenses, lower gross profit, and lower financial income. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
-15.44x
P/B
0.61x
EPS
-149
BVPS
3,799
ROE
-3.4%
ROA
-0.6%
Market price
2,300
16 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, MCG posted a very sharp profit drop versus the same period, showing that pressure has clearly fed through to the bottom line — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Administrative expenses
  2. Gross profit
  3. Financial income
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue7.111.19.316.88.614.97.911.4
LNST-3.3-8.61.00.7-3.10.4-2.4-0.2
Net margin-46.51%-77.04%10.28%3.95%-36.20%2.77%-30.43%-1.77%

Revenue

7bn

Net income

-3bn

Net margin

-46.51%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are under pressure while earnings still rely significantly on non-core sources.

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to −23.08%, losing 10.7pp. The main pressure comes from SG&A / Revenue rose 5.7pp and Gross margin fell 5.2pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.6pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 0.5pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Net Margin
−23.08%
−10.7pp
Gross Margin
22.09%
−5.2pp
SG&A / Revenue
17.45%
+5.7pp
Non-core / Revenue
−27.73%
+0.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Financial result is supporting margin

Margin support from financial result remains high (126.4% of PBT) — sustainability should be monitored.

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for construction contractors should be read alongside project progress and receivables collection from developers — ROIC fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For construction contractors, ROIC moves with backlog and project acceptance timing — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside working-capital cycles.

Balance Sheet

▼▼

ROIC for construction contractors swings with project progress and handover cycles — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 5.04x equity, net debt at 2.53x equity.

Owner advances stand at 13.0bn (as of 2026Q1) — the contractor is funded along the contract schedule, easing the pressure to self-finance working capital.

Owner advances: 13.0bn · YoY +0.0bn

Advances / receivables: 33.30% — funded vs stuck

The contractor's survival axis: site receivables 39.2bn vs equity 218.5bn — 17.92% of the capital base is sitting on job sites.

Receivables / equity: 17.92% · receivables YoY −19.39% · equity YoY −4.48%

DSO: 322 days

Sector note: contractor gross margins are THIN (22.09% TTM) by design — value lives in contract turnover and collection discipline, not margin. Do not compare with manufacturers.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 7.0bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and higher payables. Pressure from higher inventories only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Efficiency

▲

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 225.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 294.4 days, DSO fell 55.5 days, and DPO fell 124.6 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster inventory turnover — watch whether this trend persists in coming periods.

For construction contractors, DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by project progress, work-in-progress receivables, and milestone acceptance timing — these metrics should be read alongside developer payment cycles.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin -23.1% -10.7pp
Asset turnover 0.03x +0.00x
Financial leverage 6.00x +0.31x
ROE -4.6% +2.3pp

ROE fell from −2.3% to −4.6% — dragged by net margin.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 2.53x and interest coverage only at −0.83x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 1.4% of total debt, cash equals 0.7% of debt, and total debt stands at 555.8bn.

Leverage for construction contractors fluctuates with project working capital, performance guarantees, and progress receivables — should be read alongside receivables quality and developer payment cycles.

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 2.53x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is −0.83x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Net Debt / Equity
2.53x
+0.12x
Interest Coverage
−0.83x
−0.42x
Cash / Debt
0.7%
+0.3pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
1.4%
+0.8pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

▲

Leverage needs watching — cash flow below shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 3.3bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -5.6bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +2.3bn. Financing cash flow was negative +0.5bn.

CFO / net income was −1,99 lần.

After spending +14.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +0.6bn.

For construction contractors, FCF swings sharply with project progress and payment cycles — should be read alongside backlog and receivables quality.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 10.7 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 123.3%.

  • Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 123.3% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at −1.99x.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -23.08% after a 10.7pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +3,6% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current -23.08% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 3.3bn in 2025.

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