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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 2/2026

HU4

Đầu tư và Xây dựng HUD4

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼ Under pressure

Trailing net profit reached 17.3bn, fell 10.2bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower finance costs, lower administrative expenses, lower tax, and higher financial income. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher selling expenses and lower gross profit. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
6.93x
P/B
0.58x
EPS
1,155
BVPS
13,845
ROE
8.1%
ROA
3.0%
Market price
8,000
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, HU4 is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — profit is near a multi-period low. What is still missing is better cost control to prevent margin pressure from spreading to the overall profit result.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Finance costs
  2. Administrative expenses
  3. Tax
  4. Financial income
  5. Selling expenses
  6. Gross profit
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue49.742.89.9255.8185.140.5-17.0101.8
LNST3.81.61.910.113.41.85.17.3
Net margin7.63%3.71%18.98%3.93%7.21%4.56%-29.84%7.15%

Revenue

50bn

Net income

4bn

Net margin

7.63%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

Revenue Growth

▲

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue grew 15.4% year on year — but the quarterly pace is slowing (+151% → −73%).

3 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
358bn
+15.4%
Latest quarter YoY
−73%
slowing

What is driving the margin?

▼

Net margin fell to 4.83%, losing 4.0pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 11.4pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 0.2pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 5.5pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.2pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2025Q1: 40.5bn

2025Q2: 185.1bn

2025Q3: 255.8bn

2025Q4: 9.9bn

2026Q1: 42.8bn

2026Q2: 49.7bn

Net Margin
4.83%
−4.0pp
Gross Margin
33.98%
−11.4pp
SG&A / Revenue
21.65%
−0.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

●

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 379.3bn against investing cash flow of -0.7bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +378.6bn. Financing cash flow was negative +294.7bn.

CFO / net income was 11,84 lần.

After spending +1.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +203.3bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 98% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at −92.3%, other profit at +2.0% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
2.0%
low
Net financial / PBT
−92.3%
Other profit / PBT
2.0%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 4.7% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼

ROIC narrowed to 4.68%, falling 1.1pp. That translates to 4.68 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Although capital turnover rose 0.32x, NOPAT margin narrowed 4.2pp still pulled ROIC lower, while invested capital contracted by 116bn.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 4.8% -4.0pp
Asset turnover 0.62x +0.17x
Financial leverage 2.70x -0.62x
ROE 8.1% -5.3pp

ROE fell from 13.4% to 8.1% — net margin weakened the most, though asset turnover still provided support.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.41x and interest coverage only at 1.02x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 65.8% of total debt, cash equals 29.4% of debt, and total debt stands at 121.4bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Net Debt / Equity
0.41x
−0.70x
Interest Coverage
1.02x
−0.05x
Cash / Debt
29.4%
+22.3pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
65.8%
−23.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.02x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 65.8% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Balance Sheet

▼

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.61x equity, net debt at 0.41x equity.

Customer advances 33.1bn (as of 2026Q2) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances cover only 8.70% of current inventory — most of the pipeline is not yet pre-sold.

Customer advances: 33.1bn · YoY −0.8bn · QoQ +15.6bn

Locked-in revenue: ~0.37x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 8.70%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q2: 380.8bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 0.0bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward near-delivery — the revenue-recognition cycle is approaching.

Near-delivery (ST): 380.8bn (100.00%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 0.0bn (0.00%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q2, net debt 85.7bn vs project value 380.8bn — ratio 22.51%; the project pipeline backs net debt 4.44x over.

Net debt / project value: 22.51%

Development inventory ended the period at 385.5bn, about 67.1% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 69.6bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories. Pressure from higher receivables and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 4.0 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 4.7%. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 11.84x.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 11.84x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 4.83% after a 4.0pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue sustains its +15,4% YoY pace or begins to slow.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 4.83% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 379.3bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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