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UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

HU4

Đầu tư và Xây dựng HUD4

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲ Slightly positive

Trailing net profit reached 26.9bn, rose 11.2bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit and better other profit. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher selling expenses, higher administrative expenses, higher finance costs, and higher tax. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
4.46x
P/B
0.54x
EPS
1,792
BVPS
14,754
ROE
12.6%
ROA
4.3%
Market price
8,000
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HU4 is showing a few mildly positive signals versus the same period, though the magnitude is narrow — profit is at an all-time high. The direction is leaning toward improvement, but the next test will be whether the magnitude widens enough to become a trend.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Other profit
  3. Selling expenses
  4. Administrative expenses
  5. Finance costs
  6. Tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue42.89.9255.8185.140.5-17.0101.855.4
LNST1.61.910.113.41.85.17.31.4
Net margin3.71%18.98%3.93%7.21%4.56%-29.84%7.15%2.57%

Revenue

43bn

Net income

2bn

Net margin

3.71%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

What is driving the margin?

▼

Net margin fell to 5.45%, losing 3.2pp. The main pressure is Gross margin fell 15.2pp, outweighing the improvement in SG&A / Revenue fell 3.6pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 7.2pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.7pp).

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2024Q4: 17.0bn

2025Q1: 40.5bn

2025Q2: 185.1bn

2025Q3: 255.8bn

2025Q4: 9.9bn

2026Q1: 42.8bn

Net Margin
5.45%
−3.2pp
Gross Margin
35.47%
−15.2pp
SG&A / Revenue
20.74%
−3.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 6.9% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▲

ROIC expanded to 6.90%, rising 3.8pp. That translates to 6.90 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. capital turnover rose 0.94x was enough to offset the contraction in NOPAT margin narrowed 3.8pp, while invested capital contracted by 148bn.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

Balance Sheet

●

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 1.61x equity, net debt at 0.09x equity.

Customer advances 17.5bn (as of 2026Q1) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances fell 81.90% while TTM revenue rose — a sign of recent handover (advances converting into revenue), positive rather than a sales slowdown. Advances cover only 4.68% of current inventory — most of the pipeline is not yet pre-sold.

Customer advances: 17.5bn · YoY −79.3bn · QoQ −0.3bn

Locked-in revenue: ~0.14x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 4.68%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q1: 374.8bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 0.0bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward near-delivery — the revenue-recognition cycle is approaching.

Near-delivery (ST): 374.8bn (100.00%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 0.0bn (0.00%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q1, net debt 20.7bn vs project value 374.8bn — ratio 5.54%; the project pipeline backs net debt 18.06x over.

Net debt / project value: 5.54%

Development inventory ended the period at 385.5bn, about 67.1% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 183.0bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower inventories. Pressure from higher receivables and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 5.4% -3.2pp
Asset turnover 0.79x +0.54x
Financial leverage 2.91x -0.70x
ROE 12.6% +4.7pp

ROE rose from 7.9% to 12.6% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin and leverage moving in the opposite direction.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.09x and interest coverage only at 0.94x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 52.2% of total debt, cash equals 77.0% of debt, and total debt stands at 90.1bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.94x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Net Debt / Equity
0.09x
−1.50x
Interest Coverage
0.94x
+0.15x
Cash / Debt
77.0%
+74.3pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
52.2%
−40.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

●

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 379.3bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -0.7bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +378.6bn. Financing cash flow was negative +294.7bn.

CFO / net income was 12,37 lần.

After spending +2.1bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +330.4bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 12.37x. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 6.9%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 3.2 pp.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 12.37x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 5.45% after a 3.2pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +173,2% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 5.44% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 379.3bn in 2025.

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