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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 2/2026

CRE

Bất động sản Thế Kỷ

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼ Under pressure

Trailing net profit reached 52.4bn, fell 15.8bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit, lower finance costs, better other profit, and lower selling expenses. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher administrative expenses and lower financial income. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
44.04x
P/B
0.39x
EPS
113
BVPS
12,875
ROE
0.9%
ROA
0.7%
Market price
4,980
20 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, CRE is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly. What is still missing is better cost control to prevent margin pressure from spreading to the overall profit result.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Finance costs
  3. Other profit
  4. Selling expenses
  5. Administrative expenses
  6. Financial income
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue450.1450.2517.9334.2348.8154.3384.0328.0
LNST4.216.312.420.041.33.110.916.0
Net margin0.93%3.63%2.40%5.99%11.85%2.03%2.83%4.88%

Revenue

450bn

Net income

4bn

Net margin

0.93%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

Revenue Growth

▲▲

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue grew 44.2% year on year — not from a single spike: quarterly growth stepped up from +2% to +29%.

4 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
1,752bn
+44.2%
Latest quarter YoY
+29%
accelerating

What is driving the margin?

▼

Net margin fell to 3.02%, losing 2.8pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 4.8pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.4pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 1.9pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 1.0pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2025Q1: 154.3bn

2025Q2: 348.8bn

2025Q3: 334.2bn

2025Q4: 517.9bn

2026Q1: 450.2bn

2026Q2: 450.1bn

Net Margin
3.02%
−2.8pp
Gross Margin
20.07%
−4.8pp
SG&A / Revenue
12.32%
+1.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

●

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 296.6bn against investing cash flow of -101.2bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +195.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +111.9bn.

CFO / net income was 4,86 lần.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 97% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at −79.3%, other profit at +3.3% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
3.3%
low
Net financial / PBT
−79.3%
Other profit / PBT
3.3%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 0.8% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼

ROIC narrowed to 0.81%, falling 0.4pp. That translates to 0.81 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Although capital turnover rose 0.07x, NOPAT margin narrowed 3.6pp still pulled ROIC lower, with invested capital easing up by 226bn.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 3.0% -2.8pp
Asset turnover 0.24x +0.07x
Financial leverage 1.27x -0.01x
ROE 0.9% -0.4pp

ROE is broadly flat at 0.9% — the components are offsetting one another.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.13x and interest coverage only at 1.14x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 94.8% of total debt, cash equals 4.9% of debt, and total debt stands at 837.2bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Net Debt / Equity
0.13x
−0.05x
Interest Coverage
1.14x
+0.02x
Cash / Debt
4.9%
−0.2pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
94.8%
+11.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.14x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 94.8% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Balance Sheet

●

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing. Capital structure is notably light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 0.27x equity, net debt at 0.13x equity.

Customer advances 5.6bn (as of 2026Q2) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances fell 45.35% while TTM revenue rose — a sign of recent handover (advances converting into revenue), positive rather than a sales slowdown. Advances cover only 0.77% of current inventory — most of the pipeline is not yet pre-sold.

Customer advances: 5.6bn · YoY −4.6bn · QoQ −19.5bn

Locked-in revenue: ~0.01x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 0.77%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q2: 731.0bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 5.4bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward near-delivery — the revenue-recognition cycle is approaching.

Near-delivery (ST): 731.0bn (99.27%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 5.4bn (0.73%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q2, net debt 796.0bn vs project value 736.3bn — ratio 108.10% — net debt now EXCEEDS the project pipeline (each unit of debt backed by only 0.93x of project value). Leverage pressure to watch.

Net debt / project value: 108.10%

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 218.7bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables. Pressure from higher inventories and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 2.8 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 0.8%. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 4.86x.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 4.86x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 3.02% after a 2.8pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue sustains its +44,2% YoY pace or begins to slow.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 3.02% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 296.6bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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