HID

Halcom Việt Nam ·HOSE ·2026Q1

▼▼ Declining sharply

Margins remain under pressure Net margin −3.77%, −10.44pp YoY
Price
4,200
Latest close
04 Jun 2026
P/E 23.09x
P/B 0.36x
EPS 182
BVPS 11,771
ROE 1.5%
ROA 0.8%
Profit Margin 2.8%
Asset Turnover 0.28x
Equity Mult. 1.96x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, HID is holding revenue at an acceptable level, but margins are eroding visibly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. More notably, operating cash flow is significantly negative relative to profit — this is pressure that needs close monitoring.

TTM REVENUE
VND 497bn
+44.7%YoY
NET MARGIN
−3.77%
−10.4ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
−VND 19bn
−181.6%YoY
CFO / Net Income
-9.10x
negative cash flow vs profit
Metric Q1'26 Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q2'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23 Q1'23 Q4'22 Q3'22 Q2'22
Revenue 75.8 91.6 208.7 121.0 92.9 43.5 131.9 75.3 64.3 74.0 69.9 68.0
Growth -17% -56% +72% +30% +114% -67% +75% +17% -13% +6% +3%
Net Income -15.0 -28.3 59.1 -34.5 3.9 27.5 -11.2 2.7 -19.1 -5.3 -19.0 1.7
Net Margin -19.83% -30.89% 28.32% -28.50% 4.17% 63.27% -8.48% 3.64% -29.67% -7.22% -27.23% 2.48%

Drivers of HID's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs last year, mainly due to lower financial income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 45.0bn
Minority interests ↓ 18.3bn
Other profit ↑ 2.4bn
Financial income ↓ 36.8bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 35.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 9.7bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent declined vs prior quarter, mainly due to lower gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 7.0bn
Financial income ↑ 5.2bn
Gross profit ↓ 24.0bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 11.5bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2025Q1 -1.6% = -3.7% × 0.23 × 1.82
2026Q1 -2.1% = -3.8% × 0.28 × 1.96

ROE edged down from -1.6% to -2.1% — the components are broadly offsetting.

Net margin: -3.8% -0.1pp Asset turnover: 0.28x +0.05x Leverage: 1.96x +0.14x

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin fell to -3.77%, losing 10.4pp. The main pressure is SG&A / Revenue rose 5.6pp, outweighing the improvement in Gross margin rose 2.8pp (in addition, Other profit / Revenue rose 0.7pp added support while Net financial result / Revenue fell 7.8pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from non-core items while core operations hold their rhythm — margin has a basis to recover once this factor passes.

Profitability trend

Net Margin -3.77% −10.4pp
Gross Margin 23.03% +2.8pp
SG&A / Revenue 10.73% +5.6pp

TTM YoY · 2024Q2 -> 2026Q1

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of -1.5% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC fell to -1.49%, losing 3.1pp. That translates to -1.49 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from NOPAT margin narrowed 12.1pp, outweighing the movement in capital turnover; while invested capital rose by 116bn.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2024Q2 -> 2026Q1

ROIC -1.49% −3.1pp
NOPAT Margin -4.85% −12.1pp
Capital Turnover 0.31x +0.08x
Average Invested Capital 1,619.8bn +116.2bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 0.77x equity, net debt at 0.93x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 202.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories and higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2024Q2 -> 2026Q1

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −374.4bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +9.1bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +162.8bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 31.3 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 2.6 days, DSO fell 35.5 days, and DPO fell 6.8 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2024Q2 -> 2026Q1

Receivables 52.7 days −35.5 days
Inventory 11.1 days −2.6 days
Payables 20.9 days −6.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 42.8 days −31.3 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 359.1bn due to capex of 232.0bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.93x and interest coverage only at 0.02x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 31.3% of total debt, cash equals 1.2% of debt, and total debt stands at 851.8bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.02x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 1.2%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.93x +0.29x
Interest Coverage 0.02x −0.46x
Cash / Debt 1.2% −0.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 31.3% +9.3pp
CFO / NI -9.10x −9.35x

TTM YoY · 2024Q2 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -14.2bn in 2023, against investing cash flow of 57.2bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +42.9bn. Financing cash flow was negative +46.7bn.

CFO / net income was -9.10x.

After spending +232.0bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −359.1bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2024Q2 -> 2026Q1

CFO TTM 127.1bn −136.2bn
Cash Capex 232.0bn +228.1bn
FCF TTM −359.1bn −364.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The next item to monitor is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 28.8%. The main risk still sits in core profitability, with net margin down 10.4 pp.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 28.8% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -9.10x.

Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at -3.77% after a 10.4pp decline versus the same period last year.

Statement Data

Item 2023 2022 2021 2020
Net Revenue
315.3 253.3 309.4 348.4
Cost of Goods Sold
272.7 216.1 0.0 0.0
Gross Profit
42.6 37.2 45.6 39.7
Financial Expenses
68.8 40.2 -18.4 -126.0
Selling Expenses
0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0
General and Administrative Expenses
30.9 22.8 -25.0 -13.9
Operating Profit
-3.9 -24.5 57.6 -108.8
Profit Before Tax
-7.0 -19.3 91.4 -109.9
Net Income
-12.5 -19.4 91.2 -114.0
Profit Attributable to Parent
5.7 -17.3 72.0 -94.9
Earnings per Share
74.00 -242.00 1,227.10 -1,613.30

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