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UPCOM · Quý 3/2025

BGE

BCG Energy

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 3/2025

▲ Showing improvement

Trailing net profit reached 6.3bn, fell 120.5bn compared with the previous quarter. Key positives came from lower minority interests and lower tax. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower financial income and higher finance costs. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
-300.00x
P/B
0.22x
EPS
-9
BVPS
12,390
ROE
-0.1%
ROA
-0.0%
Market price
2,700
16 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a Năm 2024 basis, BGE has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. More notably, profit relies heavily on non-core sources while operating cash flow is negative — these two factors together suggest earnings quality needs cautious evaluation.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 3/2025

MetricQ3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue349.4362.9296.5248.5339.7369.3
LNST67.520.96.5-109.9213.6225.2
Net margin19.32%5.75%2.20%-44.24%62.87%60.97%

Revenue

349bn

Net income

67bn

Net margin

19.32%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are broadly flat — earnings quality is the factor to watch.

What is driving the margin?

●

Track net margin changes and the operating components against the same period last year.

None

Net Margin
−1.20%
+44.4pp
Gross Margin
48.54%
SG&A / Revenue
5.54%
Non-core / Revenue
−40.36%

TTM YoY · 2024Q3 -> 2025Q3

Financial result is supporting margin

Margin support from financial result remains high (18044.3% of PBT) — sustainability should be monitored.

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of −1.5% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

ROIC currently stands at −1.53%. Track NOPAT margin and capital turnover to assess capital efficiency.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

Balance Sheet

●

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 0.92x equity, net debt at 0.62x equity.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 605.8bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables. Pressure from higher inventories and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Efficiency

●

Track receivable, inventory, and payable turns to judge working-capital efficiency.

Track DSO, DIO, DPO components to evaluate working capital turnover efficiency.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.62x and interest coverage only at 0.09x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 24.5% of total debt, cash equals 4.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 5,823.8bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.09x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 4.3%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Net Debt / Equity
0.62x
+0.02x
Interest Coverage
0.09x
Cash / Debt
4.3%
+0.5pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
24.5%
−3.3pp

TTM YoY · 2024Q3 -> 2025Q3

Cash Flow

●

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 1,207.0bn in 2024, against investing cash flow of -894.6bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +312.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +415.2bn.

CFO / net income was −200,70 lần.

After spending +70.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +1,186.0bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 0.09x.

  • Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 15443.2% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at −200.70x.
  • Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 0.09x.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +13,5% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 30.86% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 1,207.0bn in 2024.

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